WW INTERNATIONAL, INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2020

WW International, Inc. — Q3 2020 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 26, 2020. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are in millions unless noted. The filing is unaudited.

Business context and reporting period

WW operates subscription-based Digital and Studio + Digital weight-management services, sells products, and reports four segments: North America, Continental Europe, United Kingdom, and Other. COVID-19 closures and limited reopening of studios materially affected the quarter. The company shifted workshops to virtual delivery and accelerated its digital transformation.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ3 2020Q3 2019Nine months 2020Nine months 2019
Revenue$320.7$348.6$1,054.7$1,080.8
Gross profit / margin$190.1 / 59.3%$194.8 / 55.9%$595.8 / 56.5%$611.5 / 56.6%
Operating income / margin$92.6 / 28.9%$94.7 / 27.2%$168.5 / 16.0%$222.1 / 20.6%
Net income attributable to WW$54.5$47.1$62.5$90.2
Diluted EPS$0.78$0.68$0.89$1.30

Q3 Digital subscription revenue rose 22.6% to $188.7 million, while Studio + Digital fees fell 35.1% to $93.6 million. End-of-quarter subscribers totaled 4.66 million, up 5.3% year over year: 3.81 million Digital subscribers (+23.5%) and 0.85 million Studio + Digital subscribers (-36.5%). Management said approximately 90% of Q3 recruitments came from Digital.

For the nine months, operating cash flow was $127.4 million, down from $151.7 million. Investing cash use was $47.8 million, including $20.5 million of capital expenditures and $22.2 million of capitalized software spending; financing cash use was $61.0 million, primarily scheduled debt repayments. Cash increased $21.7 million from year-end to $204.4 million.

At September 26, cash was $204.4 million and revolver availability was $173.8 million, with no revolver borrowings. Principal debt was $1.548 billion; net debt, as defined by the company, was $1.318 billion and net debt/Adjusted EBITDAS was 3.7x. Current debt maturities were $96.3 million. The company reported a working-capital deficit of $42.9 million, or $151.1 million excluding cash and current debt. Total deficit was $584.8 million. Its first-lien leverage ratio was 2.80x.

Material changes versus the prior period

  • Q3 revenue declined 8.0% (9.4% constant currency), chiefly from lower Studio + Digital fees and in-studio product sales. Gross margin improved 3.4 percentage points, mainly from the higher-margin Digital mix.
  • Q3 operating income declined 2.2%; reported net income attributable to WW rose 15.8%, with diluted EPS increasing to $0.78. Results included a $7.6 million discrete tax benefit related to GILTI, equivalent to about $0.11 per diluted share, as well as $2.3 million of restructuring charges.
  • Nine-month revenue declined 2.4%, operating income declined 24.1%, and net income attributable to WW declined 30.8%. The period included $32.7 million of one-time Oprah Winfrey option compensation, $13.5 million of restructuring charges, and a $3.7 million Brazil goodwill impairment. Excluding these items, the company reported adjusted operating income of $218.3 million versus $222.1 million in the prior-year period.
  • Nine-month Digital subscription revenue increased 17.7%, while Studio + Digital fees declined 21.8%. Debt principal fell $57.8 million through scheduled repayments; interest expense declined 10.4% year over year.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expects COVID-19 to significantly affect Q4 2020 results and potentially later periods. It expects continued weakness in Studio + Digital recruitment; the duration and financial impact of the pandemic cannot be reliably estimated.
  • The company began phased, reduced studio reopenings in June, but said locations may need to close or operate with restrictions. It expects its studio footprint to remain below pre-pandemic levels for the foreseeable future.
  • WW launched a $100 million cost-savings initiative to preserve liquidity and support investment and debt obligations. Management said savings may not all be achieved or prove sufficient. It expects about $9 million of additional restructuring expense; the remaining restructuring liability was $5.4 million, expected to be paid by the end of fiscal 2021. Headcount had been reduced approximately 35% since fiscal 2019 year-end.
  • The June 2020 credit agreement amendment increased revolving commitments to $175 million and relaxed the financial maintenance covenant through Q2 fiscal 2022, with specified conditions and leverage thresholds. The company said it was in compliance with applicable covenants at quarter-end. Variable-rate debt, interest-rate exposure, substantial leverage, and ability to generate cash to service debt remain significant risks.
  • Other risks include consumer demand and retention, execution of the digital transition, studio realignment costs, competition, foreign currency and international operations, impairment assumptions, and litigation. Disclosed litigation includes a securities class action and a member class action concerning fees during virtual workshop substitution; the company disputes the claims.
  • The company recorded $3.7 million of Brazil goodwill impairment after deciding to shift that market to a Digital-only business amid COVID-19 and difficult local conditions. Canada and New Zealand franchise-rights impairment headroom was narrower than in most other markets; management identified New Zealand as particularly sensitive to assumption changes.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Digital subscriber growth and retention can offset continued Studio + Digital weakness, and how recruitment trends develop after Q3.
  • Actual Q4 and subsequent effects of COVID-19, studio reopenings and closures, and the pace and costs of studio realignment and digital investment.
  • Progress against the $100 million savings initiative, additional restructuring charges, and the company’s ability to sustain operating cash flow and meet debt obligations.
  • Debt covenant terms and headroom, revolver availability, variable-rate exposure, and the reported 3.7x net debt/Adjusted EBITDAS ratio.
  • The extent to which Q3 earnings benefited from the $7.6 million GILTI tax benefit and the comparability of reported results with adjusted, non-GAAP measures.
  • Potential outcomes and financial exposure from the disclosed litigation and sensitivity of franchise-rights valuations, particularly in New Zealand.