Allison Transmission Holdings Inc annual report, FY2012

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. — 2012 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2012; filed February 28, 2013. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. Allison designs and manufactures automatic transmissions and hybrid propulsion systems for commercial and military vehicles. It reported one operating segment and generated approximately 78% of sales in North America.

Financial performance

MetricFY 2012FY 2011
Net sales$2,141.8 million$2,162.8 million
Gross profit / margin$954.3 million / 44.6%$954.5 million / 44.1%
Operating income / margin$420.2 million / 19.6%$429.0 million / 19.9%
Net income$514.2 million$103.0 million
Diluted earnings per share$2.76$0.56
Cash from operations$497.5 million$469.2 million
Capital expenditures$123.9 million$96.9 million
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$705.1 million; 32.9% margin$711.9 million; 32.9% margin

Net income included a $298.0 million income tax benefit, chiefly from releasing the domestic deferred-tax-asset valuation allowance; the second quarter included a $384.8 million tax benefit. Cash taxes paid were $10.7 million. Adjusted free cash flow, a non-GAAP measure, was $401.6 million.

In the fourth quarter, sales were $487.0 million, gross profit $194.2 million, operating income $54.1 million, and net income $11.2 million. Compared with the fourth quarter of 2011, sales declined from $516.1 million; gross profit from $222.4 million; operating income from $86.5 million; and net income from $44.5 million.

Balance sheet, liquidity and debt

  • At year-end, cash and cash equivalents were $80.2 million, total debt $2,820.8 million, and stockholders’ equity $1,356.9 million. Cash had declined from $314.0 million and debt from $3,378.6 million a year earlier.
  • Available revolving-credit capacity was $372.1 million, net of letters of credit; no revolver borrowings were outstanding at year-end. The company reported compliance with debt covenants and a 3.22x senior secured leverage ratio against a 5.50x maximum.
  • Operating cash flow was $497.5 million; investing activities used $138.7 million and financing activities used $593.5 million. Financing outflows included debt repayments and $32.8 million in dividends.
  • In 2012, Allison repaid the remaining 11.0% senior notes and extended portions of its term loans. On February 6, 2013, it refinanced $411.4 million of Term B-1 and $793.1 million of Term B-2 loans into debt due August 2017; the transaction also extended the revolver to August 2016.

Material changes and management outlook

  • Annual sales fell 1%. North American on-highway sales rose 12% and outside-North-America off-highway sales rose 31%; North American off-highway sales fell 44%, primarily with weaker natural-gas hydraulic-fracturing demand. North American hybrid-transit sales fell 14%, principally amid municipal spending and subsidy constraints.
  • Gross profit was essentially flat year over year. Lower sales and an $7.7 million UAW contract-signing bonus offset price increases, favorable material costs and improved manufacturing performance. SG&A rose 2.4%, including warranty-related costs.
  • Interest expense, net, declined to $151.2 million from $217.3 million, mainly due to debt repayments and lower derivative mark-to-market expense. The tax valuation-allowance release was the principal reason reported net income increased sharply.
  • Management’s 2013 outlook was directional rather than a specific consolidated sales forecast: it expected lower sales in global off-highway, military and North American hybrid-transit, partly offset by growth in global on-highway and service parts/support equipment. Assumptions included continued weak hydraulic-fracturing demand, lower defense spending and municipal constraints. Management cautioned that end-market visibility remained limited.
  • Management expected the TC10 metro-tractor transmission and H 3000 hybrid system to begin production in 2013. The filing identifies execution, customer adoption and subsidy dependence as uncertainties; no assurance was given that projected market growth or product launches would occur as planned.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Substantial indebtedness, variable-rate exposure and covenant restrictions could constrain investment and cash available for debt service. The filing reported $2.82 billion of debt and $167.3 million of cash interest paid in 2012.
  • Customer concentration is significant: the top five OEMs represented approximately 45% of 2012 sales; Daimler, Navistar and Oshkosh represented 13%, 11% and 11%, respectively. Military sales were approximately 14% of total sales and are exposed to U.S. defense-budget changes.
  • Product warranty exposure remains important. Year-end warranty liabilities were $109.7 million, including $52.8 million related to the DPIM extended-coverage program, partly offset by a $31.6 million receivable from GM. Replacement-unit design issues increased the company’s liability in 2012.
  • Approximately 90% of production capacity was concentrated in Indianapolis. Other disclosed risks include cyclical markets, raw-material and supplier constraints, international expansion and currency movements, labor disruptions, and environmental obligations. GM retained specified remediation responsibilities at Indianapolis and indemnified Allison for certain environmental liabilities.
  • Unusual 2012 items included a $16.0 million payment to terminate the Sponsors’ services agreement, a $14.4 million impairment of technology-related investments, $6.1 million in IPO expenses, and a $2.3 million pension settlement charge. The IPO occurred in March 2012; existing shareholders sold the offered shares, and Allison received no proceeds.
  • The company declared dividends of $0.06 per share quarterly beginning in the second quarter. Future dividends remain subject to board discretion and debt-agreement limits. Carlyle and Onex each held approximately 40.9% of equity at year-end.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • How much of 2012 earnings growth reflects recurring operations versus the deferred-tax valuation-allowance release?
  • What were the final terms and effective interest costs of the February 2013 refinancing, and how do upcoming maturities and leverage affect financial flexibility?
  • Are North American off-highway demand and hybrid-transit sales stabilizing, and are the stated 2013 directional trends being realized?
  • How are DPIM claims, total warranty reserves and expected GM recoveries developing?
  • Are TC10 and H 3000 production launches on schedule, and is customer demand sufficient to support expected returns on development spending?

Audit: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP issued an unqualified opinion on the consolidated financial statements. Management concluded disclosure controls were effective; the filing did not include management’s internal-control assessment or auditor attestation under the transition provisions for newly public companies.