GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO annual report, FY2023

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) — 2023 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. This filing reports full-year results; it does not provide a clear standalone fourth-quarter financial summary. The company manufactures paperboard and paperboard consumer packaging, serving food, beverage, foodservice and other markets.

Financial performance

Metric20232022Change
Net sales$9.428 billion$9.440 billionDown 0.1%
Income from operations$1.174 billion$906 millionUp 30%
Net income$723 million$522 millionUp 39%
Diluted EPS$2.34$1.69Up 38%
Operating margin12.5%9.6%Improved
Net cash from operations$1.144 billion$1.090 billionUp $54 million

Sales were nearly flat: higher pricing, new products, Bell and favorable currency partly offset lower organic and open-market volumes. Core packaging volumes fell in several categories, including beverage, cereal, dry and frozen foods, dairy and healthcare; foodservice, tissue and beauty volumes increased. Operating income benefited from pricing and productivity savings, partly offset by inflation, lower volumes, maintenance downtime, foreign exchange and exit-related costs. Net interest expense rose to $239 million from $197 million, reflecting higher rates and debt balances.

Cash flow and investment: Investing cash use was $1.025 billion, including $804 million of capital spending and approximately $361 million for the Tama and Bell acquisitions. Financing cash use was $106 million. A simple operating-cash-flow less cash capital-spending measure was approximately $340 million; this is not a company-reported free-cash-flow measure.

Liquidity and debt: Cash was $162 million at year-end; current assets were $2.845 billion and current liabilities $2.589 billion. Outstanding debt principal was $5.396 billion, including $739 million due in 2024. The company reported $1.3 billion available under revolving credit facilities. About 20% of debt was floating-rate. It complied with its leverage and interest-coverage covenants: 2.58x against a maximum below 4.25x, and 7.96x against a minimum of 3.00x.

Material changes and significant items

  • Income from operations rose despite almost unchanged sales, with pricing and cost savings outweighing volume pressure and inflation. Costs increased $175 million year over year, including $96 million for labor and benefits and $73 million in other costs, net.
  • Capital investment increased to $804 million paid, mainly for the approximately $1 billion Waco, Texas recycled-paperboard facility. Total 2023 capital investments were reported as $885 million, including amounts not yet paid.
  • The company acquired Bell for $264 million and Tama for approximately $100 million; Tama was subsequently closed. Bell contributed only a partial year of results. The company also closed or announced closures of manufacturing and packaging facilities, decommissioned the Kalamazoo K3 machine, and discontinued the Texarkana capacity project.
  • The Russian operations sale closed November 30, 2023. Consideration was $62 million, primarily a long-term vendor loan; a $48 million valuation allowance was recorded against that receivable. The company had recorded cumulative impairment losses of $106 million associated with the divestiture.
  • Shareholders received $123 million in dividends; the company repurchased $54 million of stock. At year-end, $565 million remained available under repurchase authorizations.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • 2024 outlook: Capital investment of approximately $950 million; depreciation and amortization expense of $590–$610 million; pension contributions of $10–$20 million. The filing does not provide a specific 2024 revenue or earnings forecast. Management expects operating cash flow and available facilities to fund requirements for at least the next 12 months, subject to business and market conditions.
  • Subsequent event: On February 20, 2024, the company agreed to sell the Augusta, Georgia paperboard facility for approximately $700 million cash. Closing was expected in the second quarter of 2024, subject to approvals and other conditions.
  • Operating and market risks: Raw-material, energy, labor and transportation cost volatility; limited ability to pass through costs; packaging substitution and competition; changing consumer demand; facility disruptions, labor actions and cyber incidents; and international currency and geopolitical risks.
  • Debt and compliance: Debt service, floating-rate exposure, refinancing needs and credit-agreement restrictions could constrain capital allocation. Environmental regulation and remediation may increase costs. Environmental and ordinary-course legal matters are described as not expected to have a material adverse effect, though some future costs cannot be estimated with certainty.
  • Other future charges: The company expects further costs for announced facility closures and Waco start-up. It also expects $5–$10 million of additional costs to dismantle the Kalamazoo K3 machine through 2024.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether pricing, productivity gains and new products can sustain higher operating profitability as volumes and customer demand evolve.
  • Progress, cost and expected returns for the Waco facility and the timing and savings from announced closures and network consolidation.
  • Execution and proceeds of the Augusta sale, including closing conditions and the planned use of the approximately $700 million cash consideration.
  • Ability to refinance or repay 2024 maturities and manage floating-rate debt while funding capital spending, dividends and repurchases.
  • Recoverability of the $62 million Russia-sale vendor loan, given the $48 million allowance and restrictions on currency transfers.
  • Exposure to additional environmental compliance costs, including estimated environmental capital spending of $134 million in 2024 and $33 million in 2025.