VAIL RESORTS INC annual report, FY2015

Vail Resorts, Inc. — FY2015 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended July 31, 2015. The filing is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing; quarterly figures below identify the quarter ended July 31. Vail Resorts operates Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate businesses. Mountain contributed about 79% of FY2015 revenue. Park City was acquired in September 2014 and Perisher in June 2015, affecting year-over-year comparability.

Financial performance

MetricFY2015FY2014Change
Net revenue$1.400 billion$1.255 billion+11.6%
Income from operations$210.5 million$117.3 million+79.5%
Net income attributable to Vail Resorts$114.8 million$28.5 million+303%
Diluted earnings per share$3.07$0.77+299%
Reported EBITDA, non-GAAP$358.9 million$261.7 million+37.1%
Cash provided by operating activities$303.7 million$245.9 million+$57.8 million

Reported EBITDA margin was approximately 25.6% of revenue versus 20.9% in FY2014; this non-GAAP measure includes a $16.4 million litigation-settlement gain. FY2015 GAAP operating margin was approximately 15.0%, compared with 9.3%; net margin was approximately 8.2%, compared with 2.3%.

  • Mountain: Revenue rose 14.6% to $1.104 billion; Reported EBITDA increased 36.5% to $344.1 million. Skier visits increased 10.1% to 8.466 million and effective ticket price rose 8.9% to $63.37. Results benefited from pass growth, stronger Colorado performance, and acquired resorts; Tahoe skier visits fell 16.4% amid warm weather and low snowfall.
  • Lodging: Revenue increased 5.1% to $254.6 million; Reported EBITDA rose 29.6% to $21.7 million. Combined owned-hotel and managed-condominium ADR was $270.84 (+5.3%) and RevPAR was $112.67 (+12.0%).
  • Real Estate: Revenue decreased 15.3% to $41.3 million; Reported EBITDA was a $6.9 million loss, little changed from FY2014. Results depend on the timing and mix of property closings.
  • Fourth quarter: Revenue was $162.1 million and net loss attributable to Vail Resorts was $70.1 million, versus revenue of $135.5 million and a $75.4 million net loss in the prior-year quarter. The company notes that U.S. mountain and most lodging operations are seasonally weak in this period.

Cash, debt and liquidity

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $35.5 million at July 31, 2015, down from $44.4 million. Operating cash flow was $303.7 million; capital expenditures were $123.9 million.
  • Total debt was $816.8 million, including the $317.5 million Canyons lease obligation; net debt was $781.4 million, up from $582.2 million. Debt excludes about $292.0 million of minimum operating lease payments. The Canyons lease also entails substantial long-term payments: the filing lists $1.742 billion of estimated interest over its remaining initial term, assuming 2% annual payment increases.
  • Available revolving credit was $141.8 million. The $400 million revolving facility and $250 million term loan mature in 2020. About $487.6 million of debt was variable-rate; management estimated a 100-basis-point LIBOR increase would raise annual interest expense by about $4.9 million.
  • The company was in compliance with debt covenants at year-end and expected to remain compliant through FY2016, while cautioning that future compliance is not assured. Current assets of $288.1 million were below current liabilities of $398.6 million.

Changes, outlook and notable items

  • FY2015 results include $21.8 million of Perisher revenue after its June acquisition, $67.1 million of Park City revenue, and a $16.4 million non-cash gain related to settlement of Park City litigation. Perisher generated $7.4 million of incremental Mountain EBITDA for one month of peak-season operations, including $5.7 million of transaction, duties and transition costs.
  • Net income also benefited from a $23.8 million income-tax benefit following an IRS settlement on historical net operating losses. The effective tax rate was 23.2%, versus 36.0% in FY2014. The year included an $11.0 million loss on extinguishment of debt after redemption of the remaining 6.50% notes and industrial development bonds; those instruments were fully redeemed.
  • Management reported that 2015/2016 pre-season pass sales through September 20, 2015 were up approximately 16% in units and 22% in sales dollars, excluding Perisher, versus the comparable prior-year period. Management cautioned that the trend might not continue and that snowfall, pricing and visitation remained uncertain.
  • Planned calendar-year 2015 resort capital expenditures were approximately $110–$115 million, excluding about $17 million for Epic Discovery summer activities. The plan included a one-time $50 million Park City–Canyons transformation, including a connecting gondola, with completion targeted for the 2015/2016 ski season. These are plans, not earnings guidance.
  • Key risks include snowfall and weather variability, seasonality and high fixed costs, discretionary travel demand, labor availability and wage costs, dependence on permits and public-land access, water availability, competition, acquisition integration, foreign-exchange exposure from Australia, cybersecurity, and interest-rate and leverage risk. Some proposed resort projects require regulatory approvals; the revised Heavenly forest plan could constrain future development.
  • The annual goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible asset impairment test found no impairment. Perisher’s acquisition-date asset and liability valuations were preliminary. Management stated that pending and threatened legal claims were not expected to have a material adverse impact; the filing identifies no material unresolved staff comments.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Separate recurring operating improvement from acquisition contributions and the $16.4 million settlement gain and $23.8 million tax benefit.
  2. Track season-pass sales, snowfall, skier visits and Tahoe recovery; verify whether management’s early 2015/2016 pass-sales trend persisted.
  3. Assess debt and lease obligations together, including Canyons’ escalating payments, variable-rate exposure, and liquidity after acquisition and capital spending.
  4. Confirm the completion, total cost and returns of the Park City–Canyons connection and Epic Discovery investments, including required approvals.
  5. Review the final Perisher purchase-price allocation and subsequent operating contribution, as well as currency effects and integration progress.
  6. Monitor real-estate closings, tax-contingency developments, and the seasonal cash-flow pattern when evaluating quarterly results.