THOR INDUSTRIES INC annual report, FY2020

THOR Industries, Inc. — FY2020 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. Thor manufactures recreational vehicles in North America and Europe and sells primarily through independent dealers. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended July 31, 2020; it is not a standalone quarterly filing. FY2020 includes 12 months of Erwin Hymer Group (EHG), acquired February 1, 2019, versus six months in FY2019. Amounts below are U.S. dollars.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricFY2020FY2019
Net sales$8.168 billion$7.865 billion
Gross profit / margin$1.118 billion / 13.7%$973.1 million / 12.4%
Income before income taxes$272.9 million$184.7 million
Net income attributable to Thor$223.0 million$133.3 million
Diluted EPS$4.02$2.47
Cash from operating activities$540.9 million$508.0 million
Capital expenditures$106.7 million$130.2 million

Fiscal 2020 fourth-quarter net sales were $2.324 billion, gross profit was $347.4 million, net income attributable to Thor was $119.2 million, and diluted EPS was $2.14.

Cash and cash equivalents were $538.5 million at July 31, 2020, up from $425.6 million a year earlier. Net working capital was $587.0 million. Long-term debt, including current maturities and before unamortized issuance costs, was $1.711 billion, versus $1.954 billion a year earlier. The $750 million asset-based revolving facility had no borrowings at year-end; reported unused availability was approximately $660 million. Thor paid $88.3 million in dividends in FY2020, or $1.60 per share.

Material changes versus the prior year

  • Consolidated sales rose 3.9%, chiefly because FY2020 included a full year of EHG sales. North American sales fell 10.9%, while European sales increased 67.1%; the European comparison is not like-for-like because of the acquisition timing.
  • North American wholesale shipments were disrupted by COVID-19 production shutdowns. For FY2020, North American towable sales declined 9.2% and motorized sales declined 15.7%.
  • Gross margin improved to 13.7% from 12.4%, with gains in both North American segments and Europe. FY2019 European gross profit included $61.4 million of acquired-inventory purchase-accounting expense.
  • Income before taxes increased 47.8%; however, FY2019 included $114.9 million of EHG acquisition-related costs, including a $70.8 million foreign-currency forward-contract loss.
  • Thor recorded $10.1 million of impairment charges in FY2020, including $1.0 million of goodwill impairment, related to North American towable assets. Annual goodwill testing found no impairment; the European reporting unit’s fair value exceeded its carrying value, though the auditor identified its goodwill valuation as a critical audit matter.
  • Thor obtained control of Togo Group in March 2020, increasing its ownership to 73.5%; its results were consolidated thereafter.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management described its North American and European long-term retail outlook as positive, citing interest in RV travel and outdoor recreation. The filing does not provide company-specific earnings or sales guidance.
  • Dealer orders rose sharply as production interruptions and stronger consumer demand reduced inventories. Backlog at July 31, 2020 was $5.741 billion, up 186.4% year over year; management expected existing backlogs to be filled in FY2021, subject to material supply constraints.
  • RVIA’s September 2020 most-likely forecast projected calendar-year 2021 North American wholesale shipments of about 507,200 units, 19.5% above its 2020 most-likely estimate. This is an industry forecast, not Thor guidance.
  • Management expected approximately $135 million of FY2021 capital expenditures, about half in North America and half in Europe. On August 31, 2020, Thor made a further €50 million ($59.7 million) principal payment on its euro term loan.
  • COVID-19 caused temporary production shutdowns, layoffs or furloughs, temporary compensation reductions, spending cuts and supply disruptions. Component and chassis constraints continued after year-end; prolonged shortages, renewed shutdowns, labor availability or weaker demand could affect production, sales and margins.
  • Other key risks include the cyclical and seasonal RV market, dependence on independent dealers and suppliers, and FreedomRoads’ concentration—15.0% of FY2020 sales and 18% of year-end trade receivables. Standby dealer-inventory repurchase obligations totaled $1.877 billion, although historical losses were not material.
  • Debt, interest-rate and currency exposures remain relevant. A 1-percentage-point rise in interest rates was estimated to reduce annual pretax earnings by $12.7 million; a 10% euro/U.S. dollar exchange-rate change would alter the euro-denominated debt balance by an estimated $76.9 million.
  • The Board stated its intent to continue quarterly dividends, subject to Board approval, cash flows and credit-facility conditions. The filing reports an unqualified audit opinion and effective internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the exceptionally high backlog converts to shipments and revenue on schedule, and how much reflects demand versus dealer inventory replenishment.
  • Whether component and chassis supply, labor availability and transportation constraints limit FY2021 production or raise costs.
  • How much of reported sales and earnings growth is attributable to the full-year inclusion and integration of EHG rather than underlying organic growth.
  • Debt repayment progress, interest costs, euro exposure, and continued access to ABL availability under its borrowing-base and covenant terms.
  • FreedomRoads’ financial condition and sales concentration, together with potential losses under the $1.877 billion of standby repurchase commitments.
  • Whether consumer demand persists if pandemic-related travel preferences change, and whether planned capital spending and dividends remain affordable under changing conditions.