PTC INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2016

PTC Inc. — Q3 FY2016 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended July 2, 2016; comparisons are to periods ended July 4, 2015, unless stated otherwise. Amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Business context

PTC develops software and related services for product design and lifecycle management, industrial IoT, analytics, and augmented reality. The company is shifting from perpetual licenses toward subscriptions, which defer revenue recognition over the contract term. In Q3 it reorganized reporting into Solutions Group, Technology Platform Group, and Professional Services.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 FY2016Q3 FY2015Nine months FY2016Nine months FY2015
Revenue$288.7 million$303.1 million$852.3 million$942.7 million
GAAP operating income (loss)$7.6 million$21.6 million$(3.9) million$63.2 million
GAAP operating margin2.6%7.1%(0.5)%6.7%
GAAP net income (loss)$3.1 million$17.4 million$(26.0) million$53.1 million
Diluted EPS$0.03$0.15$(0.23)$0.46
Non-GAAP diluted EPS$0.26$0.53$1.00$1.57

Q3 recurring software revenue rose 6% to $193.7 million, including subscription revenue up 85% to $31.8 million; perpetual license revenue fell 33% to $44.6 million. For the first nine months, recurring software revenue rose 2% to $571.9 million, while perpetual license revenue fell 35% to $132.1 million. Professional services revenue declined 6% in Q3 and 17% year to date.

Gross margin was $206.2 million in Q3 and $609.5 million year to date; gross margin as a share of revenue was 71.4% and 71.5%, respectively, versus 73.8% and 72.6% a year earlier. Management attributed margin pressure primarily to lower perpetual-license revenue. Q3 non-GAAP operating margin was 14.1%, versus 24.1%; year-to-date non-GAAP operating margin was 16.5%, versus 22.9%.

Operating cash flow was $59.5 million in Q3, versus $86.8 million, and $169.6 million for nine months, versus $192.5 million. The year-to-date decline reflected lower earnings and the $28.2 million payment to resolve the China SEC/DOJ matter, partly offset by working-capital items.

Liquidity, debt, and capital allocation

At July 2, cash and cash equivalents were $294.6 million and marketable securities were $44.6 million, totaling $339.2 million. Total debt was $778.1 million, including $500 million of 6.0% senior notes due 2024 and $278.1 million outstanding on the revolving credit facility. The notes issuance refinanced part of the revolver and is expected to increase annual interest expense by approximately $20 million. The revolver matures in 2019; the company reported compliance with its covenants, including a 3.15:1 total leverage ratio against a 4.00:1 limit.

PTC reported $621.9 million of unused revolver commitments, of which approximately $214.8 million would have been available for borrowing under financial covenants. It expects existing cash, operating cash generation, and available credit to cover working capital and capital needs for at least the next 12 months. No shares were repurchased in the first nine months of FY2016, and PTC did not expect repurchases in Q4 due to the subscription transition’s near-term effect on free cash flow and EBITDA.

Changes, outlook, and material risks

  • Subscription transition: Subscription bookings were 58% of license and subscription bookings in Q3, up from 16% a year earlier; the company reported $105 million of license and subscription bookings. Management expected subscriptions to be approximately 48% of FY2016 license and solutions bookings, compared with 17% in FY2015, and said a significant majority could be subscription by 2018. Management cautioned that faster-than-expected conversion could weigh on near-term revenue, operating margin, cash flow, and EPS.
  • Operating environment: Management cited a challenging manufacturing environment, particularly in the Americas and China, a strong U.S. dollar, and the subscription transition as headwinds. It expected these macroeconomic conditions to persist in 2016. Q3 revenue declined 5% year over year; nine-month revenue declined 10% (7% in constant currency).
  • Restructuring: The October 2015 workforce and facilities plan is expected to cost $50–$70 million; $44.5 million was recorded in the first nine months, with most remaining charges expected in Q4. Charges related primarily to termination benefits for 518 employees. Management said expected savings would be offset by planned investments and other cost increases.
  • Acquisitions: PTC acquired Vuforia and Kepware for approximately $65 million and $99 million in cash, respectively, and recorded $164.2 million of acquisition cash outflow net of cash acquired. Kepware also has up to $18 million of contingent consideration. The acquisitions expanded the Technology Platform portfolio.
  • Contingencies: A China regulatory investigation related to business-partner expenditures could result in material fines or sanctions; the outcome was uncertain. A shareholder securities lawsuit concerning disclosures about the China investigation seeks unspecified damages, which could be material. PTC received an approximately $12 million Korean tax assessment and intended to appeal; it had not recorded a reserve. The company also reported $15.5 million of unrecognized tax benefits.
  • Other unusual items: Q3 net income included a $3.8 million income-tax benefit despite a pretax loss of $0.7 million. The nine-month result included substantial restructuring charges and stock-based compensation; non-GAAP measures exclude these and several other items, some of which may recur. PTC reported no goodwill impairment in its annual review.

Investor verification priorities

  • Track subscription bookings and conversions against recognized subscription revenue, deferred revenue, and cash flow; bookings are a company-defined operating measure, not recognized revenue.
  • Review the pace of perpetual-license declines, recurring-revenue growth, and the effect of subscription mix on margins and cash generation.
  • Verify restructuring charges, cash payments, remaining costs, and whether cost savings offset ongoing investments and compensation costs.
  • Monitor debt, interest expense, covenant headroom, and cash availability, including the impact of variable-rate borrowing and the 2024 notes.
  • Follow the China investigation, shareholder lawsuit, and Korean tax appeal for potential financial exposure or changes in estimates.