Star Bulk Carriers Corp. current report, Q4 FY2011

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (Nasdaq: SBLK)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Press Release dated November 9, 2011)
Reporting Period: Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011
Business Overview: Global shipping company focused on drybulk cargoes (iron ore, coal, grain, etc.). As of November 9, 2011, the fleet consisted of 14 vessels (7 Capesize, 8 Supramax) with a new Capesize vessel, Star Polaris, expected for delivery in November 2011.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q3 2011 Q3 2010 9M 2011 9M 2010
Voyage Revenues $26.2 million $29.9 million $78.4 million $89.1 million
Operating Income (Loss) ($2.2) million $2.5 million $2.9 million ($21.7) million
Net Income (Loss) ($3.0) million $1.2 million $0.4 million ($25.8) million
EPS (Basic/Diluted) ($0.04) $0.02 $0.01 ($0.42)
Adjusted EBITDA $11.9 million $16.6 million $40.9 million $52.2 million
Avg. TCE Rate (Daily) $18,808 $26,146 $20,165 $26,937
Operating Cash Flow (9M) $35.6 million $51.5 million
Investing Cash Flow (9M)
Financing Cash Flow (9M) $76.8 million ($38.0) million
Outstanding Debt (Nov 2011)
Cash Position (Nov 2011) $39 million $267.6 million

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Voyage revenues decreased in both Q3 and 9M periods primarily due to lower charter rates in the drybulk market. Q3 TCE rates fell 28% year-over-year.
  • Profitability Improvement (9M): Despite lower revenues, the nine-month period showed a significant turnaround from a $25.8 million net loss in 2010 to a $0.4 million net income in 2011. The 2010 loss was heavily impacted by a $34.7 million impairment loss on the sale of vessel Star Beta and a $2.1 million bad debt loss.
  • Expense Increases: Vessel operating expenses and depreciation increased due to fleet expansion (average vessels grew from 10.2 to 12.5 in Q3). General and administrative expenses decreased in Q3 but increased in the 9M period due to $2.8 million in non-recurring severance payments to former executives.
  • Dividend: The Board declared a $0.05 per share dividend, marking the tenth consecutive quarterly dividend.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Management Commentary: CEO Spyros Capralos noted weak market conditions but expressed optimism, viewing the downturn as an opportunity to acquire distressed assets. The company aims to be a leader in the drybulk industry through a solid financial position.
  • Fleet Expansion: The fleet is expanding to 15 vessels with the delivery of Star Polaris. Fleet employment coverage stands at 94% for 2011 and 52% for 2012.
  • Liquidity and Debt: Outstanding debt is $267.6 million. Principal repayments due are $1.5 million for the remainder of 2011, $35 million for 2012, and $35 million for 2013. The company has no exposure to interest rate swaps, allowing it to benefit from low interest rates.
  • Risks: Forward-looking statements highlight risks including fluctuations in charter rates and vessel values, changes in demand for drybulk capacity, bunker prices, drydocking costs, and potential disruptions to shipping routes.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Debt Maturity Profile: Verify the $35 million principal repayments scheduled for 2012 and 2013 against current cash flow projections.
  • Non-Cash Adjustments: Review the reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA, specifically the $0.8 million amortization of above-market time charters and stock-based compensation.
  • Fleet Utilization: Confirm the 94% employment coverage for 2011 and the 52% coverage for 2012, noting the volatility in the Supramax market.
  • Severance Costs: Assess the impact of the $2.8 million non-recurring severance payments on future G&A expenses.
  • Dividend Sustainability: Evaluate the ability to maintain the $0.05 quarterly dividend given the Q3 operating loss and reduced TCE rates.