SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC. annual report, FY2018

American Outdoor Brands Corporation — FY2018 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended April 30, 2018. This is an annual report, not a standalone 2017 fourth-quarter filing; the fiscal 2018 fourth quarter ended April 30, 2018.

Business context

The company manufactures firearms and provides shooting, hunting, and outdoor products and accessories. It reports two segments: Firearms and Outdoor Products & Accessories, which includes Electro-Optics. Firearms remained the larger business, representing approximately 68.6% of consolidated net sales in FY2018. The company completed acquisitions of Gemtech and Bubba Blade-related assets for $23.1 million in aggregate and continued integrating acquisitions made in FY2017.

Key financial metrics

MetricFY2018FY2017Change
Net sales$606.9 million$903.2 millionDown 32.8%
Gross profit / margin$195.8 million / 32.3%$375.3 million / 41.5%Margin down 9.2 percentage points
Operating income / margin$27.0 million / 4.5%$199.9 million / 22.1%Operating income down 86.5%
Net income$20.1 million$127.9 millionDown 84.3%
Diluted EPS$0.37$2.25Down 83.6%
Cash from operations$61.6 million$123.6 millionDown 50.1%
Capital expenditures$18.5 million$34.9 millionDown $16.4 million
  • Segment sales: Firearms revenue was $449.0 million, down 41.9%; Outdoor Products & Accessories revenue was $157.9 million, up 21.3%, primarily from acquisitions. Management described organic outdoor revenue as relatively flat, while separately citing 1.2% organic gross-sales growth.
  • Liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents were $48.9 million at year-end, versus $61.5 million a year earlier. Working capital was $169.7 million and the current ratio was 2.7.
  • Debt: The company reported $187.7 million of debt outstanding, including $87.7 million on the term loan, $25.0 million on its revolving line, and $75.0 million of 5.000% senior notes due in 2020. It reported $6.3 million of principal payable within 12 months and compliance with debt covenants.
  • Fourth quarter: FY2018 Q4 net sales were $172.0 million, gross profit was $57.4 million, and net income was $7.7 million. Q4 FY2017 sales were $229.2 million, gross profit $90.8 million, and net income $27.7 million.

Material changes versus FY2017

  • Firearms sales fell sharply amid weaker consumer demand and excess distributor inventories. Handgun revenue declined 41.4% and long-gun revenue declined 49.8%; firearm unit shipments also decreased substantially.
  • Firearms gross margin fell to 27.4% from 40.7%, reflecting lower volumes, promotional discounts, unfavorable fixed-cost absorption, and inventory valuation adjustments.
  • Outdoor Products & Accessories grew with acquired businesses, but segment gross margin eased to 45.9% from 46.6%.
  • Operating expenses declined 3.8% to $168.7 million, including lower profit-related compensation and acquisition costs, partly offset by higher selling and marketing costs.
  • Cash from operations declined, while year-end inventory increased to $153.4 million from $131.7 million. Accounts receivable decreased to $56.7 million from $108.4 million.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Outlook: No quantified FY2019 sales or earnings guidance is provided in the supplied filing text. Management planned further firearm product introductions and expected the new 633,000-square-foot Missouri logistics facility to become operational in FY2019. It expected inventory to rise in FY2019’s first quarter for seasonal needs and to reduce transition-related shipping risk.
  • Demand and channel risk: Management attributed the firearm downturn to lower demand, high opening channel inventories, reduced political concern about firearm restrictions, and prior-year promotional shipments that may have pulled demand forward. Sales are seasonal and sensitive to social, political, legislative, and news events.
  • Tax item: FY2018 included an estimated $8.7 million benefit from U.S. tax reform, primarily from remeasuring deferred tax balances; management said this benefit did not affect FY2018 cash. The reported effective tax rate was negative 14.3%, versus 33.2% in FY2017.
  • Product and acquisition items: Warranty expense rose to $5.8 million from $1.3 million. A consumer advisory was initiated for certain M&P Shield EZ pistols in April 2018; a recall of certain electro-optics products was initiated in May 2018. Remaining costs for recalls, alerts, and advisories were accrued at $3.5 million. A $1.6 million reduction in the UST contingent-consideration liability was recorded as other income.
  • Legal and environmental contingencies: The company disclosed five product-liability cases, 10 additional product-liability claims, and other litigation, including a Parkland-related action filed in May 2018. It said it could not estimate a range of reasonably possible additional losses. Environmental reserves were $1.0 million; the company is addressing contamination at its Springfield site and has received potentially responsible-party notices at two other sites.
  • Valuation and execution risks: Outdoor Products & Accessories and Electro-Optics goodwill fair values exceeded carrying values by only 2.0% and 1.6%, respectively. Logistics-facility construction, automation, staffing, and ERP integration carry execution risks. The company stated its resources and credit facilities should fund operations and commitments for 12 months, excluding major acquisitions.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether firearm demand and distributor inventories improved after FY2018, and whether shipment trends reflected end-consumer demand.
  • Whether FY2019 organic growth and margins in Outdoor Products & Accessories developed independently of acquisitions.
  • The logistics facility’s completion, total investment, operating costs, and realized distribution benefits.
  • Actual costs and outcomes of product recalls, advisories, and litigation, including any material change in loss estimates or insurance recoveries.
  • Goodwill valuation assumptions and headroom, particularly for Outdoor Products & Accessories and Electro-Optics.
  • Debt repayment and liquidity needs, including the 2020 term-loan and senior-note maturities and planned logistics spending.