United Airlines Holdings, Inc. quarterly report, Q1 FY2017

United Continental Holdings, Inc. (United Airlines) — Q1 2017 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. The combined filing covers United Continental Holdings, Inc. (UAL), a holding company whose principal subsidiary is United Airlines, Inc. (United), for the three months ended March 31, 2017. United accounts for nearly all of UAL’s revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities and operating cash flows. The financial statements are unaudited; the company notes that results are seasonal, with second and third quarters historically stronger than first and fourth quarters.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2017Q1 2016
Operating revenue$8.420 billion$8.195 billion
Operating income$278 million$649 million
Operating margin3.3%7.9%
Net income$96 million$313 million
Diluted EPS$0.31$0.88
Operating cash flow$547 million$1.199 billion
Capital expenditures$691 million$816 million
  • Revenue rose 2.7%; operating expenses increased 7.9%, compressing operating margin. Net margin was approximately 1.1%, versus 3.8% a year earlier.
  • Passenger revenue was $7.174 billion, up 2.6%; cargo revenue rose 13.4% to $220 million. Consolidated PRASM was flat year over year, while passenger load factor declined 0.3 percentage points to 79.6%.
  • Aircraft fuel expense increased $342 million, or 28.1%, to $1.560 billion. Average fuel price was $1.71 per gallon versus $1.37; consumption increased 2.2%.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled about $4.4 billion at March 31. Including the undrawn $2.0 billion revolving credit facility, unrestricted liquidity was $6.4 billion. Restricted cash was $129 million.
  • Balance-sheet long-term and current debt totaled about $11.9 billion; adding capital lease obligations brings debt and lease obligations to approximately $12.8 billion. Current liabilities exceeded current assets by about $5.0 billion; management said roughly $7 billion of current liabilities were advance ticket sales and frequent-flyer deferred revenue, generally to be recognized as travel rather than paid as cash.
  • UAL repurchased approximately 5 million shares for about $0.3 billion; approximately $1.5 billion remained under its repurchase authorization.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Net income fell 69.3% and operating income fell $371 million, despite revenue growth, as expense growth substantially exceeded revenue growth.
  • Besides fuel, notable expense increases included salaries and related costs (+6.9%), maintenance (+12.9%), and depreciation and amortization (+8.1%). Management cited higher pay and benefits, 3.3% growth in average full-time-equivalent employees, more maintenance visits, and aircraft and technology investment.
  • Special charges declined to $51 million from $190 million. Q1 2017 charges included $37 million of severance and benefits; Q1 2016 included $100 million of labor agreement costs and $74 million for a Cleveland airport lease restructuring.
  • Operating cash flow declined to $547 million from $1.199 billion. Investing cash outflow was $643 million; financing cash inflow was $86 million, including new debt proceeds.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected full-year 2017 consolidated capacity to grow 2.5%–3.5% year over year, with domestic capacity up 3.5%–4.5% and international capacity up 1.0%–2.0%. No earnings or revenue guidance is provided in the supplied filing text.
  • Management described initiatives to create incremental value by 2020 relative to 2015, including fleet renewal and upgauging, customer segmentation, revenue-management improvements, cost management, network and schedule improvements, and MileagePlus enhancements. The company also emphasized reliability and operational efficiency.
  • United had no fuel-hedging contracts outstanding at quarter-end and stated that its current strategy was not to hedge fuel consumption. A $1-per-barrel change in crude oil was estimated to change 2017 annual fuel expense by approximately $95 million.
  • United reported $23.2 billion of capital commitments, primarily for aircraft and related items, including $2.9 billion due in the remaining nine months of 2017. It also reported $10.7 billion of future regional capacity-purchase agreement payments, excluding certain variable costs.
  • A March 2017 credit agreement refinanced prior term loans and added a $1.5 billion term loan due 2024 and a $2.0 billion revolver available through 2022. The agreement requires at least $2.0 billion of unrestricted liquidity and includes collateral, cross-default and restrictions on certain investments, dividends and share repurchases. The revolver was undrawn at quarter-end.
  • Management cited substantial fixed obligations and below-investment-grade credit ratings (UAL: BB-/Ba2/BB). Risks include fuel-price volatility, financing access and cost, labor relations, operational disruptions, demand and competition, regulatory or legal matters, cybersecurity, weather and global economic or political conditions. Approximately 80% of active employees were represented by labor organizations.
  • Accounting changes to be monitored include Topic 606 revenue recognition, expected to be adopted in 2018 using the full-retrospective approach, and Topic 842 leases, which management expected to significantly affect the balance sheet. The company stated that adoption of ASU 2016-09 in Q1 2017 had no material impact.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether capacity growth and planned revenue, reliability and cost initiatives translate into stronger unit revenue and operating margins.
  • Fuel-price sensitivity and the effect of remaining unhedged as fuel costs fluctuate.
  • Liquidity, debt maturities, credit-agreement covenants and financing for the $23.2 billion capital commitment program.
  • Labor costs and negotiations, including the severance program for approximately 1,000 technicians and related employees.
  • The eventual financial-statement effects of new revenue-recognition and lease-accounting standards, and any developments in legal or other contingencies referenced in the filing.