Verisk Analytics, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2013

Verisk Analytics, Inc. — Q2 2013 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2013; unaudited. Verisk provides proprietary data and analytics to help customers assess risk, detect fraud, and quantify losses. Its reportable segments are Decision Analytics and Risk Assessment.

Financial performance

MetricThree months ended June 30Six months ended June 30
Revenue$421.3 million, up 12.9%$824.6 million, up 14.6%
Operating income$151.5 million, up 9.5%$298.9 million, up 7.8%
Net income$84.2 million, up 14.8%$164.7 million, up 11.3%
Diluted EPS$0.49, versus $0.43$0.95, versus $0.86
EBITDA and margin$185.6 million; 44.1%, versus 43.9%$365.3 million; 44.3%, versus 44.9%

Amounts are in U.S. dollars. EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure defined by the company; it should not be viewed as a substitute for GAAP results or cash flow.

  • Segment revenue, six months: Decision Analytics was $517.8 million, up 20.3%; Risk Assessment was $306.9 million, up 6.1%. Decision Analytics EBITDA margin fell to 37.3% from 38.8%; Risk Assessment improved to 56.2% from 54.1%.
  • Cash flow, six months: Operating cash flow was $246.7 million, versus $187.4 million. Investing used $63.0 million, compared with $387.0 million, largely reflecting the prior-year MediConnect acquisition. Financing used $100.2 million, primarily for share repurchases.
  • Liquidity: At June 30, cash and cash equivalents were $172.6 million and available-for-sale securities were $4.3 million. The company reported $176.8 million combined cash and securities and had the full $850 million revolving facility undrawn.
  • Debt: Total debt, including capital leases, was $1.405 billion, down from $1.461 billion at year-end. Debt excluding capital leases was $1.400 billion. The company reported compliance with debt covenants.
  • Balance sheet: Total assets were $2.439 billion and stockholders’ equity $365.5 million. Current liabilities of $585.1 million exceeded current assets of $493.6 million; management said advance customer payments and deferred revenue are characteristic of its subscription model.

Material changes and drivers

  • Q2 revenue growth included $19.0 million from recent acquisitions; excluding those acquisitions, revenue increased 7.8%. For the first half, acquisitions contributed $52.4 million, and revenue excluding recent acquisitions grew 7.3%.
  • First-half Decision Analytics growth was led by healthcare and insurance. Financial-services revenue excluding Argus declined 13.9%, reflecting lower mortgage-services volumes. Risk Assessment growth was attributed mainly to insurance programs and expanded solutions.
  • First-half cost of revenue rose 20.9%, faster than revenue, while depreciation and amortization increased substantially, partly due to acquisitions and investment in technology. Interest expense increased 17.9%, mainly due to senior notes issued in September 2012.
  • The effective tax rate fell to 36.4% for the first half from 39.4%, primarily due to tax-planning strategies and the R&D tax credit, including recognition in Q1 of the retroactively extended 2012 credit.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No specific revenue or earnings guidance is provided in the supplied filing text. Management expected 2013 capital expenditures of approximately $115 million, primarily for technology infrastructure and solution development.
  • Management cited investment in new solutions and recent acquisitions as factors weighing on first-half EBITDA margin. It noted that results for the six-month period are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.
  • The company repurchased 2.33 million shares in the first half for $137.6 million, at a weighted average $59.17 per share. The board added $300 million to the authorization in June; $306.6 million remained available at June 30.
  • Several putative class actions involving consumer-reporting practices and employee wage claims, and a contract-related action involving subsidiaries, were disclosed. The company said it could not estimate their ultimate resolution or potential liability; adverse outcomes could materially affect results, financial position, or cash flows.
  • Goodwill impairment testing at June 30 resulted in no impairment. Management reported effective disclosure controls and no material change in risk factors or market-risk disclosures from the 2012 Form 10-K.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • How much future growth is organic, particularly in healthcare and insurance, versus attributable to acquisitions; monitor the continuing weakness in mortgage-related financial services.
  • Whether revenue growth can outpace cost growth and restore or expand margins as acquisition-related amortization and solution-development investment continue.
  • Debt maturities, refinancing and covenant headroom, alongside planned capital expenditures and ongoing share repurchases.
  • Developments and any potential financial exposure in the disclosed litigation; the filing does not provide a clear estimate of possible losses.
  • The sustainability of cash conversion, including advance customer fees, and the extent to which the lower effective tax rate and R&D credit benefit recur.