DELTA AIR LINES, INC. quarterly report, Q1 FY2011

Delta Air Lines, Inc. — Q1 2011 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2011; comparison is with the three months ended March 31, 2010. Unaudited interim results; Delta cautions that seasonal demand, fuel-price volatility and other factors mean the quarter may not indicate full-year results.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ1 2011Q1 2010 / prior date
Operating revenue$7.747 billion$6.848 billion; up 13%
Operating income (loss)$(92) million$68 million
Net income (loss)$(318) million$(256) million
Basic and diluted loss per share$(0.38)$(0.31)
Operating marginApproximately (1.2)%Approximately 1.0%
Net cash from operating activities$788 million$966 million
Net cash used in investing activities$576 million$293 million
Net cash used in financing activities$223 million$367 million
Cash and cash equivalents$2.881 billion at March 31$2.892 billion at December 31, 2010
Unrestricted liquidity$5.5 billion, including $1.6 billion of credit-facility availability—
Total debt and capital leases$15.2 billion at March 31$15.3 billion at December 31, 2010; down $83 million

Passenger revenue rose 13% to $6.575 billion; cargo revenue increased 42% to $250 million. Fuel expense was $2.166 billion, up 29%. Consolidated CASM was 13.94 cents, versus 12.72 cents; CASM excluding fuel and special items, a non-GAAP measure, was 8.96 cents, up 2.8%. The passenger load factor declined to 76.4% from 79.5%. Stockholders’ equity was $758 million, down from $897 million at December 31, 2010.

Material changes and drivers

  • Net loss widened by $62 million despite revenue growth. Management attributed results principally to approximately $600 million of higher fuel expense, partly offset by fare increases. Average fuel price, net of hedging, rose to $2.86 per gallon from $2.23.
  • Severe winter storms and the Japan earthquake and tsunami reduced passenger revenue by approximately $90 million and $35 million, respectively. The Atlantic market also faced overcapacity that constrained fare increases against higher fuel costs.
  • Passenger revenue benefited from demand and fare increases; total passenger revenue grew 13%. Mainline capacity rose 7%, while total passenger revenue per available seat mile increased 7%.
  • Operating costs increased 16%, including higher fuel, contract-carrier expense and maintenance. Contract-carrier expense also reflects the post-sale accounting presentation for Compass and Mesaba, sold in July 2010.
  • Q1 2011 included a $71 million income-tax benefit, primarily from alternative minimum tax refunds for 2008 and 2009; a $20 million loss on extinguishment of debt; and $7 million of restructuring and other charges. Q1 2010 had $54 million of restructuring and other charges.

Liquidity, debt and significant financing

Operating cash flow was $788 million, compared with $966 million, and included an $854 million increase in advance ticket sales for summer travel. Investing outflows included $274 million for flight equipment, $66 million for ground property and equipment, and $240 million of short-term investment purchases. Financing included $460 million of debt and capital-lease repayments, partly offset by $245 million of proceeds from long-term obligations.

During the quarter Delta amended its $250 million Pacific Routes term loan, reducing its rate and extending maturity to March 2016; the rate was 4.25% at quarter-end. It also issued aircraft-backed certificates. In April 2011, after quarter-end, Delta entered into up to $2.6 billion of senior secured credit facilities, retired its prior $2.5 billion exit financing facilities, and completed a $293 million aircraft-certificate offering. The new facilities impose financial, liquidity and collateral covenants, including a $1.0 billion minimum of unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and permitted investments and a 1.20:1 minimum fixed-charge coverage ratio. Delta reported compliance with financing covenants at March 31, 2011.

Outlook, management commentary and risks

  • No specific full-year earnings or revenue guidance is provided in the filing. Management said higher fuel prices had caused it to revise plans for the remainder of 2011.
  • Planned responses include fare increases, second-half capacity reductions—particularly in the Atlantic market and at Memphis—retirement of older aircraft, and a $300 million reduction in planned 2011 capital spending to $1.2 billion.
  • Delta repositioned fuel hedges from primarily WTI exposure toward Brent and heating oil, using three-way collars. At March 31, 37% of projected fuel consumption for the remaining nine months of 2011 was hedged, including 29% through three-way collars. These collars cap protection against rising prices and expose Delta to market prices above preset ceilings; they do not qualify for hedge accounting, so fair-value changes affect earnings.
  • Delta announced Japan capacity reductions and temporarily suspended Haneda service, with flights expected to resume in June 2011. The filing describes near-term uncertainty from Japan-related disruption and the potential use of larger aircraft on some Asia routes.
  • Other exposures include fuel-price and hedge-margin volatility, pension and postretirement obligations, legal proceedings whose potential losses cannot always be estimated, and aircraft purchase commitments of $2.610 billion. Certain contract-carrier termination provisions could require aircraft purchases or leases if Delta terminates agreements without cause.
  • The company had $11.487 billion of pension, postretirement and related benefit liabilities at quarter-end. Government-provided war-risk insurance was extended through September 30, 2011; loss of that coverage could raise costs or affect operations.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether fare increases and planned capacity cuts can offset fuel costs without materially weakening demand, yields or load factors.
  • Whether the revised hedge portfolio provides effective protection; review collar ceilings and floors, hedge-margin requirements and the disclosed fuel-price sensitivity scenarios.
  • Whether $5.5 billion of stated unrestricted liquidity remains adequate after distinguishing cash and investments from facility availability, and whether the new credit covenants remain satisfied.
  • How Japan disruption, Atlantic overcapacity and winter-related operational impacts develop, including the timing of Haneda service resumption.
  • The refinancing and repayment requirements for aircraft debt maturing in September 2011, and the terms and collateral constraints of the April 2011 facilities.
  • Whether aircraft commitments, pension obligations, and legal or contract-carrier contingencies change materially.