FAIR ISAAC CORP annual report, FY2021

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) — FY2021 Form 10-K Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended September 30, 2021. Although the request references 2021 Q4, this filing reports the full fiscal year; it provides limited fourth-quarter operating metrics. FICO operates through Scores and Software segments, selling credit scores, analytics, decision-management software and related services.

Financial performance and position

MetricFY2021FY2020Change
Revenue$1.317 billion$1.295 billionUp 2%
Operating income$505.5 million$296.0 millionUp 71%
Net income$392.1 million$236.4 millionUp 66%
Diluted EPS$13.40$7.90Up 70%
Cash from operations$423.8 million$364.9 millionUp $58.9 million
  • Segments: Scores revenue rose 24% to $654.1 million; Software revenue fell 14% to $662.4 million. Segment operating margins were 86% for Scores and 16% for Software.
  • Margins: Consolidated operating margin was approximately 38.4% and net margin approximately 29.8%. These reported margins include the $100.1 million gain on product-line asset sales and business divestiture; operating income excluding that gain was approximately $405.4 million.
  • Software recurring metrics: ARR was $524.0 million, up 7% year over year excluding divestitures; FICO Platform ARR was $75.2 million, 14% of Software ARR. Fourth-quarter Software dollar-based net retention was 106% excluding divestitures.
  • Cash and liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents were $195.4 million, versus $157.4 million a year earlier. Current assets were $551.0 million and current liabilities $559.2 million. Management said cash, operating cash flow and available credit were expected to fund requirements for at least 12 months and thereafter for the foreseeable future.
  • Debt: Total debt was approximately $1.268 billion at year-end, comprising $518.0 million drawn on the revolving facility and $750.0 million face value of senior notes. The revolving facility had $600 million capacity, matured in August 2026, and carried a 1.212% weighted-average rate at year-end. FICO reported covenant compliance. An additional $300 million term loan was arranged in October 2021, after year-end.
  • Capital returns: FICO repurchased 1.9 million shares for $882.2 million during FY2021; $173.2 million remained under the then-current repurchase authorization. The company said it did not presently plan to pay cash dividends in the foreseeable future.

Material changes versus the prior year

  • Scores drove growth: B2B scores benefited from higher unit pricing and volumes; consumer scores benefited from higher indirect royalties and myFICO.com sales.
  • Software revenue declined partly because FICO shifted from separately sold term licenses and maintenance to bundled subscription contracts, moving more recognition over time and reducing upfront revenue. FICO said this changed timing, not total revenue over a contract’s life, and did not negatively affect cash flow. Fewer and smaller term-license deals also contributed.
  • Software ARR increased 6% excluding divestitures, while Software revenue fell; SaaS revenue rose, but professional-services revenue and point-in-time software revenue declined.
  • Operating income growth was substantially affected by the $100.1 million divestiture and asset-sale gain and lower restructuring charges versus FY2020. Net income also benefited from stronger Scores results and reduced expenses.
  • FICO sold its Collections and Recovery business in June 2021, recognizing a $92.8 million gain, and sold cyber risk score assets and certain Software assets in China. The company also consolidated its reporting structure from three operating segments to two.
  • Operating cash flow rose to $423.8 million, while cash from investing activities included $147.4 million of sale proceeds. Financing cash outflow increased, primarily reflecting higher share repurchases.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management emphasized a platform-first, cloud-delivered Software strategy, aiming to move substantially all software products onto FICO Platform and grow through expanded customer adoption. No specific consolidated revenue or earnings guidance is provided in the supplied filing text.
  • Management reported no material operational disruption from COVID-19 to date, but said the pandemic’s effects on customers, lending activity, demand and future financial performance remained uncertain. Remote work and reduced travel continued.
  • Key exposures include dependence on banking and consumer-credit conditions (89% of FY2021 revenue was from banking-related sales), the three major consumer reporting agencies (38% of total revenue collectively), and continued use of FICO Scores in the mortgage market by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
  • Other material risks include privacy and data-security regulation, cybersecurity incidents, access to third-party data, intense competition, execution and adoption risks for cloud and platform products, lengthy and variable sales cycles, and international economic and regulatory conditions.
  • FY2021 included $8.0 million in employee separation costs from elimination of 160 positions. FICO also disclosed customer payment disputes, former-employee claims and other ordinary-course legal matters, but stated it did not have material aggregate exposure for matters with a reasonable possibility of loss.
  • The independent auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls. Revenue recognition was identified as a critical audit matter because of contract complexity and judgment in performance obligations, variable consideration and standalone selling prices.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of FY2021’s reported earnings and margin expansion is attributable to the $100.1 million gain and other nonrecurring or timing-related items.
  • Whether Scores growth, including pricing and consumer-channel gains, is sustainable and how mortgage-market model approval or adoption changes could affect it.
  • Whether Software ARR, Platform growth and retention translate into recognized revenue and operating-income growth despite lower Software revenue in FY2021.
  • Customer and distribution concentration: the three credit bureaus represented 38% of revenue collectively, and each contributed more than 10% in FY2021.
  • Debt and capital allocation after the October 2021 $300 million term-loan addition, including subsequent repurchases, leverage and compliance with credit covenants.
  • The effects of subscription revenue-recognition timing, divestitures and the segment reclassification on comparisons with prior periods.