Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Fair Isaac and Company, Incorporated (FICO)
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Reporting Period: Quarter and nine months ended June 30, 1998
Business Overview: FICO provides data-driven decision-making tools, including credit scoring, risk management, and direct marketing services. The company operates through business units serving consumer credit, insurance, direct marketing (DynaMark), enterprise risk management (RMT), and healthcare information. Financial statements for prior periods have been restated to reflect the pooling-of-interests merger with Risk Management Technologies (RMT) completed in July 1997.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (in thousands) | Nine Months Ended June 30, 1998 |
Nine Months Ended June 30, 1997 |
Three Months Ended June 30, 1998 |
Three Months Ended June 30, 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $177,808 | $142,777 | $64,642 | $51,074 |
| Net Income | $15,854 | $14,362 | $6,399 | $4,294 |
| Diluted EPS | $1.11 | $1.01 | $0.45 | $0.30 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $28,797 | $17,071 | N/A | N/A |
| Cash & Investments | $44,266 | $27,941 | N/A | N/A |
| Working Capital | $59,753 | $47,727 | N/A | N/A |
| Total Liabilities | $49,490 | $42,039 | N/A | N/A |
Note: Cash and investments figure combines Cash and cash equivalents ($16,757) and Short-term investments ($13,742) plus Long-term investments ($17,482) as of June 30, 1998. Working capital is calculated as Total Current Assets ($101,018) minus Total Current Liabilities ($41,265).
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Revenues increased 25% for the nine months and 27% for the quarter compared to the prior year. Growth was driven by a 63% increase in DynaMark revenues and a 52% increase in Insurance revenues. Usage-priced credit revenues grew 24%.
- Profitability: Net income rose 10% for the nine months and 49% for the quarter. Operating income increased 6% for the nine months and 36% for the quarter.
- Expense Trends: Research and development expenses surged 64% for the nine months due to new product development (bankruptcy scoring, fraud detection) and Year 2000 conversion work. General and administrative expenses increased 31% for the nine months, attributed to bad debt allowances and performance incentives.
- Liquidity: Cash and marketable investments increased significantly from $27.9 million to $44.3 million. Working capital improved by approximately $12 million.
- Effective Tax Rate: The effective tax rate increased to 42.7% (quarter) and 41.8% (nine months) from 41.5% and 40.0% in the prior year, primarily due to the expiration of net operating loss carryforwards utilized by RMT in 1997.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- Capital Projects: The company entered a synthetic lease agreement in May 1998 for a new office complex in San Rafael, California. Construction is expected to complete in January 2001, with rent payments commencing thereafter. This will materially increase future operating lease expenses.
- Year 2000 Compliance: Approximately 95% of internally developed systems are compliant. Most software products shipped are compliant, though some international versions require patches expected by end of 1998. The company does not expect significant disruption to its own operations but notes a risk if third-party credit bureaus or processors fail to resolve their Year 2000 issues.
- Accounting Changes: The company plans to adopt SFAS No. 130 (Comprehensive Income), SFAS No. 131 (Segment Reporting), and SOP 97-2 (Software Revenue Recognition) beginning in fiscal year 1999. Management anticipates no material impact from SOP 97-2.
- Seasonality: Quarterly results may fluctuate due to credit card solicitation cycles and timing of large system deliveries. Management advises evaluating results on an annual basis.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Verify the impact of the synthetic lease on future operating expenses and cash flow starting in 2001.
- Confirm the status of third-party Year 2000 compliance for credit bureaus and processors, as this poses a significant operational risk.
- Monitor the sustainability of the 64% increase in R&D spending and its conversion into future revenue streams.
- Review the adoption of SOP 97-2 in fiscal 1999 to ensure no unexpected revenue recognition delays occur.
- Assess the trend in bad debt allowances which contributed to the rise in general and administrative expenses.