W.W. GRAINGER, INC. quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

W.W. Grainger, Inc. — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Business and period: Grainger distributes maintenance, repair and operating supplies. This unaudited report covers the three months ended March 31, 2016, compared with Q1 2015; balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2015.

Financial results

MetricQ1 2016Q1 2015Change
Net sales$2,506.5 million$2,439.7 million+3%; +1% per sales day
Gross profit / margin$1,045.1 million / 41.7%$1,093.7 million / 44.8%Profit down 4%; margin down 3.1 percentage points
Operating earnings / margin$317.1 million / 12.7%$351.2 million / 14.4%Down 10%
Net earnings attributable to Grainger$186.7 million$211.0 millionDown 12%
Diluted EPS$2.98$3.07Down 3%
Operating cash flow$153.7 million$156.2 millionDown $2.5 million
Cash and cash equivalents$279.9 million$290.1 million at Dec. 31, 2015Down $10.2 million
Total debt$2,092.3 million$1,988.8 million at Dec. 31, 2015Up $103.5 million

Investing cash use was $45.4 million, including $51.8 million of capital spending; financing cash use was $131.3 million. Total debt was 46.9% of total capitalization, versus 45.8% at year-end. Working capital was $1.862 billion and the company-reported working-capital assets-to-liabilities ratio was 2.6, up from 2.5.

Material changes and drivers

  • Sales growth was led by the 2015 Cromwell acquisition and single-channel online businesses. Reported sales benefited from one additional sales day; price was down 3%, volume up 1%, and foreign exchange reduced sales by 1%.
  • Gross margin pressure reflected price deflation exceeding cost deflation, a shift toward lower-margin customers, and a change in vendor trade-show funding classification. Operating expenses fell 2%, but included $16 million in restructuring costs; excluding those costs, expenses fell 4%.
  • U.S. sales were essentially flat, with daily sales down 2%; U.S. operating earnings declined 9%. Canada sales fell 24% reported and 16% in local currency, and the segment swung from $9 million operating earnings to a $12 million operating loss, amid weak oil and commodity markets and SAP implementation effects.
  • Other businesses’ sales increased 50%, largely reflecting Cromwell and growth in Zoro; operating earnings rose to $22 million from $10 million.
  • Interest expense rose to $13.7 million from $1.6 million, primarily reflecting the $1 billion of senior notes issued in 2015. The company also recorded a $6.4 million loss from equity-method investments.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • On April 18, 2016, Grainger narrowed 2016 sales-growth guidance from -1% to 7% to 0% to 6%, and EPS guidance from $10.80–$13.00 to $11.00–$12.80. Management cited increased gross-profit pressure, partly offset by improved pricing expected over the rest of the year, cost savings and operating-expense favorability.
  • The company recorded approximately $16 million of restructuring costs, including costs associated with planned closure of 55 U.S. branches; the restructuring reserve was approximately $37 million at quarter-end.
  • Refined-coal investments generated $6 million of equity losses and a $10 million tax benefit, including energy tax credits; the investments contributed $4 million to net earnings for the quarter.
  • The 2015 Cromwell acquisition cost approximately $464 million; its purchase-price allocation remained subject to change. Goodwill and intangibles recorded were approximately $357 million.
  • Risks highlighted include weak industrial and Canadian oil-related markets, pricing and product-cost pressures, foreign-exchange and commodity volatility, competition, acquisitions and integration, cybersecurity and operational disruptions, and litigation or regulatory matters.
  • Grainger reported that it could not predict the outcome of a TCPA fax-marketing lawsuit or Canadian environmental charges, but did not expect either matter to have a material adverse effect. Disclosure controls were reported effective; the Canadian SAP implementation was not considered to have materially affected internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether full-year sales and EPS guidance remains achievable given gross-margin compression and weak end markets.
  • How pricing, cost deflation, customer mix and vendor funding affect gross margins in subsequent quarters.
  • Whether Canadian sales and profitability stabilize, and the effect of the SAP implementation.
  • Cash generation, commercial-paper borrowing and debt levels, including funding for repurchases and planned restructuring.
  • The realized benefits and costs of branch closures, restructuring and Cromwell integration, and the continuing tax and earnings effects of refined-coal investments.
  • Any material developments in the TCPA and Canadian environmental proceedings.