ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC annual report, FY2015

Illinois Tool Works Inc. — 2015 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015; it is not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. ITW is a diversified global industrial manufacturer operating through seven segments in 57 countries, with approximately 48,000 employees. The fourth-quarter figures below are unaudited.

Financial performance

MetricFY 2015FY 2014Change
Operating revenue$13.405 billion$14.484 billionDown 7.4%
Operating income$2.867 billion$2.888 billionDown 0.7%
Operating margin21.4%19.9%Up 150 basis points
Income from continuing operations$1.899 billion$1.890 billionUp 0.5%
Diluted EPS from continuing operations$5.13$4.67Up 9.9%
Net income$1.899 billion$2.946 billionDown; 2014 included a large divestiture gain
Operating cash flow$2.299 billion$1.616 billionUp $683 million
Free cash flow$2.015 billion$1.255 billionUp $760 million

Revenue declined primarily because foreign-currency translation reduced sales by approximately $995 million. Organic revenue decreased 0.4%; product-line simplification reduced organic growth by about one percentage point. Excluding currency effects, operating income increased 6.7% and diluted continuing-operations EPS increased 18.6%. Management attributed margin gains principally to enterprise initiatives, lower restructuring costs and favorable price/cost.

Segment trends were mixed. Automotive OEM, Food Equipment and Construction Products delivered organic growth; Test & Measurement and Electronics, Welding, Polymers & Fluids, and Specialty Products reported organic declines. Welding was particularly affected by weaker oil-and-gas demand and soft capital spending. Food Equipment and Construction Products each expanded operating margin by 290 basis points.

Fourth quarter: Revenue was $3.275 billion versus $3.504 billion, down approximately 6.5%. Operating income was $679 million versus $686 million; continuing-operations income was $450 million versus $461 million. Diluted EPS from continuing operations was $1.23 versus $1.18.

Liquidity, debt and capital allocation

  • Cash and equivalents were $3.090 billion at year-end, down from $3.990 billion. The filing says most cash was held by international subsidiaries and could incur taxes if repatriated.
  • Total debt was $7.422 billion, essentially unchanged from $7.419 billion; long-term debt rose to $6.896 billion from $5.943 billion while short-term debt fell to $526 million from $1.476 billion. Total debt/EBITDA was 2.2 times.
  • ITW had $2.5 billion of committed U.S. credit lines, with none drawn at year-end. Management said liquidity sources were sufficient for debt service and capital priorities.
  • Capital returns included $2.002 billion of share repurchases and $742 million of dividends paid. The company repurchased approximately 21.0 million shares during 2015. Its February 2015 authorization allowed up to $6.0 billion in repurchases, with approximately $5.4 billion remaining at year-end.
  • Year-end net working capital was $4.352 billion, compared with $4.339 billion a year earlier. Capital expenditures were $284 million.

Outlook, commentary and risks

ITW did not provide specific 2016 earnings or revenue guidance in the supplied filing text. Management expects remaining product-line simplification work to be largely completed in 2016 and approximately 85% of businesses to be ready to grow by year-end. The company stated a strategic belief that organic growth could reach 200 basis points above global GDP by the end of 2017; this is an objective, not a guarantee. Strategic sourcing achieved an average 1% annual spend reduction in 2013–2015, and management expected similar reductions in 2016 and 2017.

Key risks include weak global or end-market demand, foreign-exchange exposure, execution and near-term revenue effects from strategic initiatives, raw-material price or supply changes, competition, legal and product-liability claims, tax uncertainty, pension-market exposure, goodwill or intangible-asset impairment, and access to credit. Currency translation reduced 2015 continuing-operations income by approximately $153 million. The company reported no significant off-balance-sheet commitments and stated that ordinary-course legal matters were not expected to materially affect its financial position, liquidity or future operations.

Notable comparability item: 2014 net income included $1.056 billion of income from discontinued operations, including the after-tax gain on the $3.2 billion sale of Industrial Packaging. There were no discontinued operations in 2015. The effective tax rate was 30.1% in 2015, compared with 30.0% in 2014. ITW early adopted accounting changes for debt issuance costs and deferred-tax presentation; the filing says these changed presentation, not underlying operating results.

Investor verification points

  • Assess the extent to which reported revenue and profit trends reflect currency translation versus underlying organic demand, including the persistent weakness in Welding and Test & Measurement and Electronics.
  • Track execution of product-line simplification and the timing and realization of the stated organic-growth and sourcing objectives.
  • Review the sustainability of margin expansion and free cash flow alongside the substantial share repurchases and dividend commitments.
  • Evaluate debt maturities, the 2.2-times debt/EBITDA ratio, and the location and potential tax cost of international cash.
  • Monitor tax exposures, pension assumptions and funding, and the valuation sensitivity of $6.0 billion of goodwill and intangible assets.