Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 10-Q covers CenturyTel, Inc. (now Lumen Technologies, Inc.) for the quarterly and six-month periods ended June 30, 2004. The company is an integrated communications provider offering local exchange, long distance, Internet access, and data services across 22 states. Effective in the first quarter of 2004, the company reorganized its reporting to present results as a single reportable segment to better reflect its focus on integrated bundle offerings.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Q2 2004 | Q2 2003 | YTD 2004 | YTD 2003 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenues | $603.6M | $586.7M | $1,197.3M | $1,164.7M |
| Operating Income | $189.9M | $188.4M | $373.5M | $373.2M |
| Net Income | $83.3M | $87.4M | $166.6M | $171.3M |
| Diluted EPS | $0.60 | $0.60 | $1.18 | $1.19 |
| Operating Cash Flow (YTD) | $503.4M (vs. $579.1M YTD 2003) | |||
| Capital Expenditures (YTD) | $156.0M (vs. $154.3M YTD 2003) | |||
| Total Debt (Long-term + Current) | $3.01B (as of June 30, 2004) | |||
| Cash and Equivalents | $96.4M (as of June 30, 2004) |
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Operating revenues increased 2.9% in Q2 and 2.8% YTD. Growth was driven by a 12.4% increase in Data revenues (DSL expansion) and a 102.8% surge in Fiber transport/CLEC revenues due to 2003 acquisitions (LightCore). These gains were partially offset by declines in Network access revenues due to reduced intrastate minutes and lower Universal Service Fund allocations.
- Profitability: Net income decreased 4.7% in Q2 and 2.7% YTD. While operating income remained relatively flat, higher operating expenses (including costs for the new billing system and LightCore operations) and a higher effective tax rate (38.4% vs. 35.3%) pressured net earnings.
- Access Lines: The company reported a decline in access lines of 15,900 in Q2 and 25,600 YTD, attributed to displacement by wireless and DSL services. Management expects a ~2% decline for the full year 2004.
- Share Repurchases: The company repurchased 9.9 million shares for $283.9 million in the first six months of 2004 under a $400 million program approved in February 2004.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- Outlook: Management anticipates full-year 2004 net income will be lower than 2003 due to lower intrastate toll usage, declining access lines, lower Universal Service Fund revenues, and incremental costs associated with the new billing system.
- Billing System Project: The company is developing a new integrated billing and customer care system. Capitalized costs reached $187.3 million as of June 30, 2004, with total expected costs of $200-215 million. Completion is expected in 2004, though there is no assurance the system will function as anticipated or stay within budget.
- Regulatory Risks: The company faces uncertainty regarding the "deemed lawful" tariff issue challenged by AT&T at the FCC. Approximately $40 million in earnings in excess of the authorized rate of return for 2001-2002 are at risk if the tariffs are deemed unlawful. Additionally, the applicability of SFAS 71 (regulated accounting) is being monitored; loss of this status could require write-offs of regulatory assets.
- Debt Management: In May 2004, the company prepaid $100 million of Series B senior notes, incurring a $3.6 million prepayment expense. The company maintains $533 million in undrawn committed bank lines of credit.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Billing System Viability: Verify the timeline and budget adherence for the new billing system, given the history of delays and cost overruns.
- Regulatory Exposure: Monitor the status of the FCC "deemed lawful" tariff litigation and the potential impact of losing SFAS 71 status on regulatory asset write-offs.
- Access Line Trends: Track the rate of access line decline versus DSL growth to assess the sustainability of the revenue mix shift.
- Debt Refinancing: Review the company's ability to manage its $3 billion debt load, specifically the $500 million Series J notes due for remarketing in 2005 and the $165 million convertible debentures.
- LightCore Integration: Assess the profitability and integration progress of the acquired fiber transport assets (LightCore), which drove significant revenue growth but also increased operating costs.