MOOG INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2011

Moog Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal third quarter and nine months ended July 2, 2011; comparative periods ended July 3, 2010. Moog designs and manufactures precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace and defense, industrial, and medical markets.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2011Q3 2010Nine months 2011Nine months 2010
Net sales$583.0 million$536.8 million$1,711.6 million$1,542.4 million
Gross margin29.0%29.1%29.3%29.1%
Earnings before taxes$45.6 million$40.0 million$134.7 million$104.9 million
Net earnings$33.8 million$29.2 million$97.9 million$75.8 million
Diluted EPS$0.73$0.64$2.13$1.66
  • For the nine months, operating cash flow was $123.2 million, versus $135.0 million; capital expenditures were $52.2 million, versus $44.7 million. Cash at period-end was $127.3 million.
  • At July 2, total assets were $2.916 billion and shareholders’ equity was $1.271 billion. Total borrowings, including notes payable and current debt installments, were approximately $750.9 million. The company reported net debt to capitalization of 33%, down from 36% at October 2, 2010.
  • Available borrowing capacity was $547 million, including $531 million under the U.S. revolving credit facility. The $900 million facility matures in 2016; Moog reported compliance with its covenants.

Changes versus comparable periods

  • Nine-month sales rose 11% and net earnings rose 29%; diluted EPS increased 28%. Quarterly sales increased 9% and net earnings increased 16%.
  • Growth was led by Industrial Systems and Aircraft Controls. In the quarter, Space and Defense Controls and Components sales declined. Components also had lower nine-month sales and operating profit.
  • Management said gross margin was broadly stable: higher volume and favorable mix were offset by additions to contract loss reserves, primarily in Aircraft Controls. Nine-month contract-loss reserves were $23 million higher than the prior-year period.
  • Operating cash flow declined as increased working-capital needs, particularly inventory and receivables, offset higher earnings and non-cash charges. Investing outflows increased with acquisitions and capital spending.

Segments, outlook and management commentary

  • Q3 segment sales and operating margins: Aircraft Controls $220.7 million and 10.4%; Space and Defense Controls $79.7 million and 11.0%; Industrial Systems $156.4 million and 8.9%; Components $87.9 million and 15.2%; Medical Devices $38.2 million and 3.0%.
  • Management’s 2011 outlook was sales of $2.30 billion, operating margin of 10.7%, net earnings of $132 million and diluted EPS of $2.85. It expected sales to increase in all segments except Components.
  • For 2012, management forecast sales growth of 9% to $2.52 billion, net earnings of $152 million and diluted EPS of $3.25. The filing’s 2012 operating-margin statement is internally inconsistent: it says approximately 11.1% compared with 10.7% “in 2011” but also repeats “in 2011” as the comparison year.
  • Aircraft Controls benefited from commercial aircraft demand, aftermarket sales and higher backlog. Management cautioned that unusually high military aftermarket orders in Q3 were timing-related and not expected to persist at that level. Higher loss reserves affected several commercial programs, including the Boeing 787 and G250.
  • Medical Devices sales improved after shipments resumed on an infusion pump following a voluntary software-related recall. Recall-related warranty costs weighed on nine-month segment results; management expected the segment to remain loss-making for 2011, with improvement forecast for 2012.
  • During the nine months, Moog acquired Crossbow Technology, a military aftermarket business, and Animatics. Purchase-price allocations were substantially complete, but Crossbow’s remained preliminary. Acquisition cash outflows were $38.5 million.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Key risks include cyclical commercial aerospace and industrial demand, dependence on government funding and major customers, competitive pricing, fixed-price contract overruns and program delays, and customer or supplier performance.
  • Other disclosed risks include debt and covenant constraints, pension funding needs, foreign exchange exposure, acquisition integration, potential goodwill impairment, and product quality, recall, liability and regulatory risks in medical devices.
  • Goodwill was $746.1 million. The latest annual impairment test, conducted in fiscal 2010, found no impairment; management said each reporting unit’s fair value exceeded carrying value by more than 10%. Program delays, weaker demand or unfavorable contract terms could reduce estimated values.
  • Management reported no material off-balance-sheet arrangements and no material changes to contractual obligations or market-risk disclosures. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective, with no material quarterly change in internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether full-year sales, margin and EPS guidance was achieved, and whether the 2012 margin comparison was a drafting error.
  • Progress and financial effects of Aircraft Controls contract-loss reserves, particularly on the 787 and G250 programs.
  • Infusion-pump recall, warranty and remediation costs, and the timing of Medical Devices’ return to profitability.
  • Cash conversion and working-capital trends, especially inventory and receivables growth relative to sales.
  • Acquisition performance and final purchase-price allocation for Crossbow, alongside debt, covenant headroom and pension funding needs.