NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2011

Norfolk Southern Corporation — Q1 2011 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2011; comparative income and cash-flow figures are for Q1 2010. The interim financial statements are unaudited and were reviewed by KPMG, which reported no material modifications it believed were needed.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2011Q1 2010Change
Railway operating revenue$2.620 billion$2.238 billion+17%
Railway operating expenses$2.020 billion$1.683 billion+20%
Income from railway operations$600 million$555 million+8%
Railway operating ratio77.1%75.2%Worsened 1.9 percentage points
Income before income taxes$515 million$456 million+13%
Net income$325 million$257 million+26%
Diluted EPS$0.90$0.68+32%
Dividends per share$0.40$0.34+18%
Operating cash flow$652 million$758 million−14%
Property additions$423 million$256 million+65%

Revenue growth reflected $201 million from higher revenue per unit and $181 million from increased traffic volume. Coal revenue rose 30%, general merchandise 10%, and intermodal 18%. Coal and intermodal volumes increased; general merchandise volume growth was modest.

Fuel expense increased $135 million (53%), including $104 million from higher prices and $31 million from greater consumption. The average locomotive fuel price rose 35%, while consumption rose 11%. Management said increased fuel-surcharge revenue lagged the increase in fuel expense, in part because of a two-month surcharge pricing lag.

The effective income tax rate was 36.9%, compared with 43.6% in Q1 2010. The prior-year rate included a $27 million deferred tax charge associated with health-care legislation.

Financial position and liquidity

  • At March 31, cash and cash equivalents were $236 million and short-term investments were $252 million, totaling $488 million, down from $1.110 billion at December 31, 2010.
  • Working capital was $265 million, compared with $389 million at year-end. Current assets were $1.832 billion and current liabilities $1.567 billion.
  • Total debt, including current maturities, was approximately $6.617 billion, versus $6.925 billion at December 31. The debt-to-total-capitalization ratio declined to 38.4% from 39.7%.
  • Q1 financing cash outflow was $861 million, including $343 million for repurchases of 5.3 million shares, $142 million in dividends, and $408 million in debt repayments. The company repaid $300 million of 6.75% senior notes at maturity.
  • NS reported no borrowings under its $1 billion credit agreement and said it was in covenant compliance. Its $350 million receivables securitization program had $100 million outstanding at quarter-end.
  • Management expected cash on hand and operating cash flows to be sufficient for ongoing obligations. The company also reported $1.2 billion in outstanding purchase commitments, including long-term services and capital-program equipment.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Net income increased $68 million year over year, supported by higher railway operating income, lower income-tax expense, and higher non-operating income.
  • A March 2011 unfavorable insurance-arbitration ruling related to the 2005 Graniteville derailment led to $58 million of expense: $43 million for a contested insurance receivable and $15 million for other affected receivables. Management estimated the ruling reduced net income by $36 million.
  • Operating cash flow was lower than in Q1 2010, partly because the prior-year period included a favorable $100 million insurance settlement and because of changes in accounts payable.
  • Share repurchases resumed: 5.3 million shares were repurchased for $343 million in Q1 2011, versus none in Q1 2010. The board had authorized an additional 50 million shares for repurchase through December 31, 2014.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management expected coal, general merchandise, and intermodal revenues for the remainder of 2011 to exceed 2010 levels, citing improved pricing, fuel surcharges, and/or higher volumes. The filing provides no consolidated earnings or revenue guidance.
  • Management described improving domestic and global economic conditions, but identified fuel-price volatility, general economic conditions, traffic demand, labor issues, severe weather, regulation, litigation, and operational disruption as factors that could affect results.
  • Two customers, DuPont and SMEPA, challenged the reasonableness of certain tariff rates before the Surface Transportation Board. NS continued billing and collecting the challenged rates; resolution was expected in late 2012 or 2013. The filing says possible loss could not yet be estimated and that adverse rulings could materially affect future revenue.
  • NS recorded $32 million of environmental liabilities for 142 known locations; it said the amount and timing of ultimate exposure are uncertain. Management believed known matters were adequately provided for and unlikely to have a material adverse effect.
  • The IRS was examining the 2008 tax return and certain prior-year refund claims. A favorable resolution could reduce income-tax expense by approximately $40 million; completion was expected within six months.
  • More than 80% of railroad employees were covered by collective bargaining agreements. National labor negotiations were ongoing, and their outcome was uncertain.
  • CREATE, Crescent Corridor, and MidAmerica Corridor projects entail continuing capital spending. Management estimated up to $227 million of Crescent Corridor spending to substantially complete relevant work, expected in 2012; planned remaining-2011 spending was up to $65 million.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether fuel prices and surcharge timing continue to pressure operating margins and the operating ratio.
  • Progress and eventual outcomes of the DuPont and SMEPA rate cases, including any revenue or refund exposure.
  • Developments in Graniteville insurance recovery and any further effects on earnings or receivables.
  • Cash generation, capital spending, debt repayment, share repurchases, and liquidity as cash balances declined during the quarter.
  • Results of the IRS examination and the potential tax benefit, alongside labor negotiations and environmental or casualty claims.
  • Execution, funding, and expected returns of major corridor projects and the company’s purchase commitments.