SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2023

SIFCO Industries, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal third quarter and nine months ended June 30, 2023; filed September 28, 2023. Unless otherwise noted, amounts are in millions. SIFCO manufactures forged and machined components for aerospace, energy, military, commercial space, and other markets.

Financial performance

MetricThree months ended June 30, 2023Nine months ended June 30, 2023
Net sales$21.9$62.4
Gross profit / margin$3.5 / 15.9%$6.5 / 10.3%
Operating income (loss)$0.03$(4.2)
Net loss$(0.6); $(0.11) per diluted share$(5.6); $(0.94) per diluted share
Operating cash flowNot separately reported for the quarter$(2.3)

For the nine months, net sales declined 4.4% year over year, while gross profit rose from $1.8 million and gross margin improved from 2.8%. The company attributed the improvement principally to product mix, Employee Retention Credit (ERC) benefits, lower inventory net-realizable-value reserves, and lower idle and labor costs. The nine-month net loss increased from $2.7 million in 2022, when SIFCO recorded a $5.1 million gain on forgiveness of its PPP loan.

Third-quarter sales increased 1.9% from $21.5 million; gross profit rose from $0.4 million and gross margin from 1.7%. The third-quarter net loss narrowed from $2.7 million. Reported results included ERC-related benefits; the filing also reports $354,000 of professional fees related primarily to the ERC credit for the nine-month period.

Revenue and operating trends

  • Nine-month commercial revenue increased to $34.6 million from $29.7 million, while military revenue declined to $27.8 million from $35.5 million.
  • Energy power-generation revenue rose to $16.7 million from $12.9 million, primarily reflecting steam-turbine growth. Fixed-wing aerospace revenue fell to $28.3 million from $30.3 million; rotorcraft revenue was essentially flat.
  • Management cited cybersecurity-related production and shipment delays, extended raw-material lead times, labor-market challenges, and shifts in demand and order timing. It said data recovery and restoration following the cyber incident were completed.
  • Backlog was $122.8 million at June 30, 2023, versus $69.4 million a year earlier. Most remaining performance obligations were expected to be completed within 12 months, but orders may be modified or canceled and backlog may not translate into sales.

Liquidity, debt, and balance sheet

  • Cash was $0.6 million at June 30, 2023, down from $1.2 million at September 30, 2022. Nine-month investing cash outflow was $1.9 million, including $1.9 million of capital expenditures; financing provided $3.5 million.
  • Total debt was $23.3 million, including $14.9 million outstanding under the revolver. Current maturities were $20.3 million. Revolver availability was $2.6 million; the revolver’s reported rate was 7.5% at quarter-end. Nine-month net interest expense was $0.9 million.
  • Current assets were $41.7 million and current liabilities $38.8 million. Total shareholders’ equity was $36.1 million, down from $40.7 million at September 30, 2022.
  • Operating activities used cash, primarily reflecting the net loss and a $3.2 million increase in receivables, partly offset by lower contract assets and inventory. Management expected remaining fiscal 2023 capital expenditures of $0.5 million to $1.0 million.

Financing risk, outlook, and other significant matters

  • Going concern: Management stated that debt maturing in December 2023 and the absence of an executed alternative financing arrangement raised substantial doubt about SIFCO’s ability to continue as a going concern. The statements contain no adjustments that might be required if the company cannot continue operating.
  • The lender declared defaults after missed reporting deliverables and failure to meet a fixed-charge coverage covenant; the reporting delays were attributed to the cyber incident. A forbearance agreement followed. On August 9, 2023, amendments waived existing defaults and ended forbearance, but moved loan maturities to December 31, 2023 and imposed limits on borrowing.
  • The amendments required refinancing materials and a fully executed refinancing term sheet. SIFCO reported delivering proposed term sheets and a confidential information memorandum by their due dates; the executed term sheet was due October 8, 2023. The company warned that failure to secure refinancing could permit the lender to accelerate repayment and said it could not assure successful refinancing, restructuring, capital raising, or a strategic transaction.
  • The December 2022 cyber incident disrupted domestic operations and caused incremental costs. SIFCO received $3.0 million in insurance proceeds, but reported $1.3 million of net incident costs for the nine months and $1.0 million related to the incident in accounts payable at June 30. Further remediation costs could arise.
  • Disclosure controls were deemed ineffective at June 30 because of a material weakness in oversight and backup/recovery controls following the cyber incident. The company was implementing enhanced endpoint protection, backup protocols, and IT oversight; it could not estimate the remediation timeline.
  • Management identified ongoing supply-chain and labor constraints, exposure to energy and raw-material prices, reliance on key customers and suppliers, cyber risks, and the ability to realize backlog as risks. No specific full-year earnings or revenue guidance was provided.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether SIFCO completed the required refinancing deliverables, obtained committed financing, and repaid or refinanced debt before the December 31, 2023 maturity.
  • Current lender availability, borrowing-base limits, covenant compliance, and any further amendments or waivers after the filing date.
  • Whether the reported backlog converts to shipments and cash collections, particularly given cancellation rights, shipment delays, and working-capital demands.
  • The sustainability of improved gross margins excluding ERC benefits and inventory-reserve changes, and the final cost and insurance recovery associated with the cyber incident.
  • Progress and evidence of remediation of the material weakness in internal controls and disclosure controls.