ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC. annual report, FY2015

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. — FY2016 Form 10-K

Period note: The request identifies “2014 Q4,” but the supplied filing is the annual report for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2016 (April 1, 2015–March 31, 2016), filed September 15, 2016. The summary below reflects the filing.

Business context and reporting period

ADS manufactures thermoplastic corrugated pipe and related water-management products for construction, agriculture and infrastructure markets. It reported Domestic and International segments and describes growth opportunities from replacing traditional concrete, steel and PVC products and expanding higher-margin Allied Products. Fiscal 2016 included BaySaver from its July 2015 step acquisition; the prior-year comparison included Ideal Pipe only from its January 2015 acquisition.

Key financial metrics

MetricFY2016FY2015
Net sales$1,290.7 million$1,180.1 million
Gross profit / margin$285.1 million / 22.1%$206.2 million / 17.5%
Operating income / margin$84.6 million / 6.6%$58.4 million / 4.9%
Net income$23.5 million$12.8 million
Net income attributable to ADS$18.0 million$8.7 million
Basic / diluted EPS available to common stockholders$0.28 / $0.27$(0.06) / $(0.06)
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$187.3 million; 14.5% of sales$143.9 million; 12.2% of sales
Operating cash flow / capital expenditures$135.3 million / $44.9 million$74.4 million / $32.1 million
Free cash flow (non-GAAP)$90.4 million$42.3 million

At March 31, 2016, cash was $6.6 million and working capital was $195.1 million. Reported liquidity was $166.6 million, comprising cash and $160.0 million of borrowing availability. Debt principal was $351.2 million, excluding capital leases; capital lease obligations totaled $76.0 million. Interest expense was $18.5 million. The company reported compliance with debt covenants at year-end.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Sales increased 9.4%; Domestic sales rose 8.4% and International sales rose 16.3%. Allied Product sales grew 19.5% to $338.9 million, and represented 26% of net sales versus 24% in FY2015.
  • Gross margin improved 4.6 percentage points. Management attributed the improvement principally to resin costs declining about 10%, higher sales volumes and product mix; lower diesel prices helped, while higher fleet depreciation offset some freight savings.
  • G&A expense increased 72.7% to $101.4 million, including approximately $28.0 million of restatement-related professional fees, compared with none in FY2015.
  • Debt declined $48.7 million year over year. Operating cash flow rose substantially, while cash used in financing increased, principally reflecting debt repayment, capital lease payments and dividends.
  • International sales benefited from Ideal Pipe, but a weaker Canadian dollar reduced Canadian sales by approximately $15.2 million. Mexico sales declined $9.4 million.

Outlook, risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Management expected FY2017 capital expenditures of approximately $55 million, funded from operations. The filing provides no numeric sales or earnings guidance; management cited continued conversion to thermoplastic products, Allied Product growth and international expansion as opportunities.
  • FY2016 results included $28.0 million in restatement costs, a $4.0 million impairment of the South American joint-venture investment, and $16.6 million of “derivative losses and other expense, net.” The filing separately reports $16.9 million of realized and unrealized hedging losses. Adjusted EBITDA adds back restatement costs and other specified items and is non-GAAP.
  • The company disclosed prior-period restatements and additional immaterial corrections to FY2014–FY2015 financial statements, principally involving inventory and property, plant and equipment. It stated the corrections had no net effect on the reported cash flows for those years.
  • Management concluded disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were ineffective at March 31, 2016. Material weaknesses involved the control environment, lease and inventory accounting, journal entries and reconciliations, ADS Mexicana controls, and ADS Mexicana revenue cut-off. Deloitte issued an adverse opinion on internal control, while giving an unqualified opinion on the financial statements.
  • A securities class action and formal SEC Division of Enforcement investigation related to accounting and prior disclosures remained unresolved; the company said potential losses could be material but could not be estimated.
  • The report was late. The company had received an NYSE late-filing notice and, as of the filing, its June 2016 Form 10-Q was also overdue, leaving it exposed to delisting risk. Lenders had granted reporting extensions and waivers; continued reporting delays could affect covenant compliance, liquidity and access to capital.
  • Other principal risks include resin-price volatility and pass-through delays, construction and weather cyclicality, customer concentration (Ferguson 11.1% and HD Supply 10.0% of FY2016 sales), variable-rate debt, and foreign-exchange and joint-venture exposures. The company also guaranteed 50% of certain South American joint-venture debt; its reported guaranteed share was approximately $8.3 million.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the requested period: this is FY2016, not 2014 Q4, and review the complete restatement and prior-period revision disclosures.
  • Track remediation and independent testing of the six disclosed material weaknesses, subsequent filing timeliness, and NYSE listing status.
  • Review the status and potential financial impact of the SEC investigation and securities class action, including insurance coverage and any accruals.
  • Assess whether cash generation, working capital and borrowing availability support debt service, lease commitments, planned capital spending and dividends.
  • Reconcile the non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow measures to GAAP results, paying particular attention to the restatement-cost addback and other unusual adjustments.
  • Monitor resin and fuel costs, pricing recovery, Allied Product growth, customer concentration, and performance of the South American joint venture.