With a market cap. of $49.3 billion, Ford Motor Company (F) is a global automaker, producing Ford and Lincoln cars, trucks, SUVs, commercial vans, and connected services under its Ford+ growth strategy. It operates through three customer-focused segments - Ford Blue for gas and hybrid vehicles, Ford Model e for electric vehicles and software, and Ford Pro for commercial customers and also provides financing through Ford Motor Credit Company, employing approximately 170,000 people worldwide.
Shares of the Dearborn, Michigan-based company have lagged behind the broader market over the past 52 weeks. F stock has declined 6.1% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has rallied 11.7%. Moreover, shares of the company fell 6.5% on a YTD basis, compared to SPX's 11.4% gain.
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Zooming in further, shares of the American car maker have also underperformed compared to the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF's (FTXR), which has gained 20.3% over the past 52 weeks.
www.barchart.com Ford Motor shares rose 3.4% following its Q3 2026 results on Oct. 28, as adjusted EPS of $0.49 comfortably beat analysts’ estimate, revenue reached $49.5 billion, and net income totaled $2 billion. Investor sentiment was further supported by a slight increase in core profit to $2.7 billion and Ford raising the lower end of its full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance by $500 million to $10.5 billion, with maintaining the upper end at $11 billion. The company also expects pricing to finish 1% higher for the year.
However, rising commodity costs from higher copper, steel, fuel and chip prices, along with Middle East-related pressures, prompted Ford to increase its estimated 2026 commodity-cost headwind to nearly $2.5 billion from $2 billion, and U.S. vehicle sales were down 8.6% YTD through Q3.
For the fiscal year, ending in December 2026, analysts expect Ford Motor's EPS to surge 72.5% year-over-year to $1.88. The company's earnings surprise history is mixed. It surpassed the consensus forecast in three of the past four quarters while missing on another occasion.
Among the 21 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a “Moderate Buy.” That’s based on seven “Strong Buy” ratings, one “Moderate Buy,” 12 “Holds,” and one “Strong Sell.”
www.barchart.com This configuration is slightly less bullish than three months ago, with eight “Strong Buy” ratings on the stock.
On Oct. 29, RBC Capital analyst Tom Narayan assigned Ford Motor a “Hold” rating, with a $14 price target.
The mean price target of $14.76 represents a premium of 19.8% to Ford Motor's current levels. The Street-high price target of $20 implies a potential upside of 62.3% from the current price levels.
On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not directly have a position in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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