GL Outperforms Industry, Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock?

Zacks
Open on Zacks
GL Outperforms Industry, Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock?

Shares of Globe Life Inc. GL have gained 48.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry, sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite over the same period. The stock closed at $177.07 on Wednesday, just 2.7% below its 52-week high of $182.32, reflecting investor confidence.

Strong earnings growth, premium expansion, higher investment income and aggressive share repurchases have driven the rally. Improving investor sentiment following the easing of short-seller allegations has further supported the stock.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

GL has outperformed its peers, Aflac Incorporated AFL and Unum Group UNM, whose shares have risen 19.2% and 10.7%, respectively, in the past year, while AMERISAFE, Inc. AMSF has lost 18.7%.

GL’s Valuation

Despite the rally, Globe Life shares are trading at a discount compared to the industry. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 10.96X is lower than the industry average of 13.66X, the Finance sector’s 16.51X and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite’s 21.14X. Also, it has a Value Score of A.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Shares of other insurers, such as Unum Group, are also trading at a discount, while Aflac and Amerisafe are trading at a higher multiple than the industry average.

GL’s Growth Projection Encourages

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Globe Life’s 2026 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a year-over-year increase of 7.7%. The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $6.40 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 6.3%.

The consensus estimate for 2027 EPS and revenues indicates an increase of 6.4% and 6.7%, respectively, from the corresponding 2026 estimates.

The company’s earnings have improved 16.1% in the past five years, better than the industry average of 0.6%.

Optimistic Analyst Sentiment on GL

The company has witnessed four upward earnings estimate revisions for 2026 over the past 60 days, against no movement in the opposite direction. For 2027, it has witnessed three upward revisions and no downward movement. Thus, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 earnings moved 1.4% and 0.1% north, respectively, over the last 60 days.

GL’s Return on Invested Capital

The return on invested capital in the trailing 12 months was 12.5%, better than the industry average of 6.6%. This reflects the company’s efficiency in utilizing funds to generate income.

Key Points to Note for Globe Life

Globe Life continues to deliver strong earnings growth, supported by disciplined underwriting, healthy premium growth and prudent capital management. In the first quarter of 2026, operating EPS increased 12% year over year, marking the seventh quarter of double-digit operating EPS growth in the past eight quarters. The company also benefited from higher premiums across its Life Insurance and Health Insurance segments, providing a solid foundation for sustained earnings expansion. In the first quarter, total premiums grew 6% year over year to $1.3 billion.

Moreover, net investment income continues to be another important driver of the company’s top-line growth and has been improving over the last few years, benefiting from higher portfolio yields and disciplined investment management. The company expects investment income to continue growing in 2026, supported by elevated reinvestment yields and its conservative, high-quality investment portfolio.

Improved agent productivity, expanding distribution and growth at the American Income, Liberty National, United American and Family Heritage divisions are expected to support continued sales growth in 2026. These efforts have fueled strong sales momentum, with health sales surging 58% in the first quarter of 2026 and life sales increasing 6% across all distribution channels.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as an important long-term growth driver for Globe Life. The company expects AI to improve underwriting, claims processing, customer service, agent productivity, lower administrative expenses and drive long-term margin expansion, strengthening Globe Life's competitive position.

The company has maintained a strong liquidity position with sufficient cash-generation capabilities. For 2026, GL anticipates excess cash flow to increase to approximately $650-$700 million. Globe Life has targeted a consolidated Company Action Level RBC ratio of 300-320% for 2026.

A strong capital position enables Globe Life to enhance its shareholder value via share buybacks and dividend payouts. The company returned approximately $225 million to shareholders during the first quarter of 2026. The insurer has continuously increased its dividend over the past five years, witnessing a CAGR of 8.9%.

Conclusion

Globe Life’s higher life and health sales, improved investment income, premium growth, AI initiatives, strong liquidity position and effective capital deployment position the company well for long-term growth.

Coupled with the impressive dividend history, cheaper valuation, solid growth projections, and higher returns, as well as the optimistic analyst sentiment, the time appears right for potential investors to bet on this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) insurer. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Radical New Technology Could Hand Investors Huge Gains

Quantum Computing is the next technological revolution, and it could be even more advanced than AI.

While some believed the technology was years away, it is already present and moving fast. Large hyperscalers, such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Oracle, and even Meta and Tesla, are scrambling to integrate quantum computing into their infrastructure.

Senior Stock Strategist Kevin Cook reveals 7 carefully selected stocks poised to dominate the quantum computing landscape in his report, Beyond AI: The Quantum Leap in Computing Power .

Kevin was among the early experts who recognized NVIDIA's enormous potential back in 2016. Now, he has keyed in on what could be "the next big thing" in quantum computing supremacy. Today, you have a rare chance to position your portfolio at the forefront of this opportunity.

See Top Quantum Stocks Now >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report


 
Globe Life Inc. (GL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Aflac Incorporated (AFL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Unum Group (UNM): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research