A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Unum (UNM). Shares have added about 9.4% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
But investors have to be wondering, will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Unum due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.
UNM Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates on Solid Premium Growth
Unum Group’s second-quarter 2026 operating net income of $2.16 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1%. The bottom line increased 4.4% year over year. The quarterly results benefited from premium growth across core businesses, improved performance in Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, and strong sales momentum. However, lower net investment income, higher total costs and weaker Closed Block results partly offset these gains.
UNM’s Operational Update
Total operating revenues of Unum Group were $3.4 billion, down 0.1% year over year. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.3%.
Premium increased 2.5% from the prior-year quarter to $2.8 billion, which was higher than our estimate of $2.5 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at $2.6 billion. Net investment income declined 14.7% year over year to $478.4 million, primarily due to lower returns from alternative investments. Total benefits and expenses increased 3.3% year over year to $3 billion, largely attributable to higher policy benefits, commissions and other expenses. The figurewas higher than our estimate of $2.5 billion.
UNM’s Quarterly Segment Update
Unum U.S.: Premium income was $1.86 billion, up 3.3% year over year.
Adjusted operating income decreased 22.8% year over year to $261 million, primarily due to less favorable disability experience and higher benefit costs. It excluded the amortization of the deferred gain on reinsurance of $4.4 million and the impact of non-contemporaneous reinsurance of $0.7 million. Our estimate was $314 million. The group disability line of business reported a 17.4% decrease in adjusted operating income while the group life and accidental death and dismemberment line of business reported a 32.8% increase. The supplemental and voluntary line of business reported an increase of 8.2%.
Unum International: Premium income of $289.3 million increased 6.7% year over year. Adjusted operating income was $24.3 million, down 41.6% year over year. Our estimate was $51.7 million.
The Unum U.K. line of business premium income totaled £175.5 million, up 5.2% from the year-ago quarter, primarily due to in-force block growth, sales and favorable persistency. Adjusted operating income, in local currency, was £15.3 million, down 48% year over year. The benefit ratio, excluding the reserve assumption updates, was 82.2%, which deteriorated 720 basis points (bps), primarily due to higher average claim size and increased claim incidence in the group long-term disability business. Sales decreased 14.9% to £32.6 million. Persistency decreased in the supplemental product line, the group long-term disability and the group life product line.
Colonial Life: Premium income increased 3.3% from the prior-year figure to $477.4 million, driven by stable overall persistency and prior period sales. Sales increased 0.9% from the year-ago figure to $106.3 million. Adjusted operating income increased 11.9% from the prior-year period to $131.4 million. Our estimate was $113.4 million. Persistency was 78.2% for the first half of 2026, improved 30 bps year over year. The benefit ratio, excluding the reserve assumption updates, improved 300 bps year over year to 46.7%.
Closed Block: Premium income decreased 10.8% to $192.9 million. The segment reported an adjusted operating loss of $61.2 million, compared with a loss of $10.8 million in the year-ago quarter. The decrease was primarily due to lower net investment income and the amortization of the cost of reinsurance. Our estimate for loss was $55 million.
Corporate: The segment incurred an adjusted operating loss of $44.5 million, wider than the year-ago quarter’s loss of $31.7 million, primarily due to decreased net investment income. Our estimate for loss was $45.1 million.
UNM’s Capital Management
As of June 30, 2026, the weighted average risk-based capital ratio for Unum Group’s traditional U.S. insurance companies was approximately 480%.
Unum Group exited the second quarter with holding company liquidity worth $1.5 billion. Book value per share grew 3.8% year over year to $68.28 as of June 30, 2026. UNM repurchased approximately $200 million of common shares and paid $73.5 million in common stock dividends during the second quarter.
UNM’s 2026 Guidance
UNM expects that after-tax adjusted operating income per share will increase to 22.2% from 21.2% in the year-ago period. Management expects 2026 EPS of $8.60-$8.90, implying 8-12% growth.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
Since the earnings release, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates revision.
VGM Scores
At this time, Unum has a subpar Growth Score of D, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with an F. However, the stock was allocated a score of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for value investors.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of D. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise Unum has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.
7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days
Just released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers "Most Likely for Early Price Pops."
Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +23.9% per year. So be sure to give these hand picked 7 your immediate attention.
See them now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
Unum Group (UNM): Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).