Kohl's Stock Is Up 15.6% in 3 Months: Is the Rebound Sustainable?

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Kohl's Stock Is Up 15.6% in 3 Months: Is the Rebound Sustainable?

Kohl's Corporation KSS shares have gained 15.6% over the past three months, outpacing the Zacks sub-industry's 4.7% advance and the S&P 500's 1.6% rise.

The rebound has support from a sharp earnings beat, broader merchandising improvement and stronger liquidity. Still, negative comparable sales and recent estimate cuts leave an important test for the second half.

Kohl's Corporation Price 

Kohl's Corporation Price

Kohl's Corporation price | Kohl's Corporation Quote

KSS Rally Coincides With a Strong Q2 Beat

Kohl's reported adjusted earnings of $1.28 per share for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, up 128.6% from 56 cents a year earlier and well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 55 cents.

Total revenues declined 0.9% to $3.52 billion, underscoring the gap between earnings improvement and the top line. Gross margin expanded 305 basis points to 43%, although about $100 million of tariff refunds benefited cost of merchandise sold.

Kohl's Corporation Revenue (Quarterly)

Kohl's Corporation Revenue (Quarterly)

Kohl's Corporation revenue-quarterly | Kohl's Corporation Quote

Kohl's Merchandising Gains Broaden Beyond One Category

Proprietary brands generated 3% comparable-sales growth, with key brands outperforming in Juniors, Men's and Kids. Home posted positive comparable sales, Toys delivered double-digit growth and Footwear improved about 500 basis points sequentially.

Management is reducing apparel choice counts by a mid-teens percentage while rebuilding inventory depth and refining allocation. The aim is to simplify assortments, improve in-stock consistency and put inventory where demand is stronger.

KSS Cash and Debt Trends Improve Financial Flexibility

Cash and cash equivalents reached $821 million at quarter-end, up from $174 million a year earlier. Long-term debt declined to $1.33 billion from $1.52 billion, while revolver borrowings fell to zero.

Free cash flow rose to $332 million from $306 million in the first six months. Kohl's plans $350-$400 million of capital expenditures, remains committed to a 50-cent annual dividend and is restarting share repurchases of up to $100 million in fiscal 2026.

Kohl's Sales Recovery Still Has to Prove Itself

Comparable sales declined 0.9% in the second quarter after falling 1.1% in the first. Full-year guidance still calls for net sales and comparable sales to range from flat to down 1.5%, keeping the top-line recovery incomplete.

Macy's, Inc. M reported 3% comparable-sales growth in its first quarter of 2026, its strongest first quarter in four years. Target Corporation TGT reported 3.8% comparable-sales growth in its second quarter, including 3.6% comparable traffic growth. Those results show the competitive bar remains high as Kohl's works to restore positive demand.

KSS Valuation Leaves Room but Raises a Key Question

KSS trades at 12.9X forward 12-month earnings, below the Zacks sub-industry's 13.7X, the sector's 22.8X and the S&P 500's 20.4X. That relative discount can support the value case.

The stock, however, trades above its five-year median of 10.1X. Investors therefore have to judge whether better earnings execution and financial flexibility justify paying more than Kohl's own recent historical norm.

KSS Signals Support Value More Than Momentum

The rebound has credible support, but sustainability still depends on converting better merchandising, cost control and liquidity into sustained comparable-sales improvement. With the stock already above its five-year median valuation, weaker traffic or seasonal execution could limit further upside.

KSS currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), along with a VGM Score of A, Value Score of A, Growth Score of B and Momentum Score of C. The favorable Rank and A/B Style Scores support the near-term case, particularly for value and growth-oriented investors, while the Momentum Score is less emphatic. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-fiscal-year earnings has declined 7.6% over the past four weeks, reinforcing the need to watch estimate trends alongside the operating recovery. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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Kohl's Corporation (KSS): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Macy's, Inc. (M): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Target Corporation (TGT): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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