Advanced Flower Capital Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2022

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFC Gamma, Inc.) — Q3 2022 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2022. The filing identifies the registrant as AFC Gamma, Inc. It is an externally managed lender primarily to state-legal cannabis businesses, with a stated expansion into certain non-cannabis investments.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ3 2022Q3 2021Nine months 2022Nine months 2021
Interest income$19.8 million$10.6 million$60.1 million$24.1 million
Net interest income$18.1 million$10.6 million$55.0 million$24.1 million
Net income$11.5 million$7.9 million$33.0 million$14.0 million
Diluted EPS$0.57$0.47$1.67$1.10
Distributable earnings per basic share (non-GAAP)$0.59$0.44$1.89$1.30

Q3 interest expense was $1.6 million; nine-month expense was $5.1 million, largely reflecting the 5.75% 2027 Senior Notes issued in November 2021. The filing does not provide a clear margin percentage.

  • Portfolio and credit: At September 30, loans held at fair value were $94.1 million; loans held at carrying value were $339.2 million; and a loan receivable was $2.2 million. CECL reserves, including unfunded commitments, totaled $6.2 million, or 1.80% of relevant loan balances, compared with $3.1 million, or 1.20%, at year-end 2021. No loans were rated highest-risk category 5; $33.4 million were rated category 4.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash flow was $27.5 million, investing cash outflow $68.5 million, and financing cash outflow $31.9 million. Cash declined to $36.3 million from $109.2 million at December 31, 2021. Operating cash flow was below the $30.2 million of dividends paid.
  • Debt and liquidity: Total liabilities were $123.9 million. Senior notes payable, net, were $97.0 million (the notes have $100 million principal, mature in May 2027, and bear 5.75% interest). The $60 million secured revolver was undrawn at quarter-end; it matures in April 2025 and may increase to $100 million subject to conditions. Management stated cash, available facility capacity, and operating cash flows should meet requirements for at least 12 months.
  • Equity and distributions: Shareholders’ equity was $347.4 million; book value per share was approximately $17.06, versus $16.61 at year-end 2021. The company declared a $0.56-per-share Q3 dividend, paid October 14, 2022; nine-month dividends declared were $1.67 per share.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Net income rose to $11.5 million in Q3 from $7.9 million, and to $33.0 million for nine months from $14.0 million. Management attributed higher interest income mainly to increased average principal outstanding as the loan portfolio expanded.
  • Loans held at carrying value increased to $339.2 million from $257.2 million at year-end 2021; outstanding principal rose to $349.3 million from $270.8 million. Nine-month new fundings on these loans were approximately $139.6 million.
  • Provision for expected credit losses increased to $3.0 million for nine months from $1.4 million in the prior-year period. Management cited macroeconomic factors, portfolio changes, and other model inputs.
  • Common shares outstanding increased to 20.364 million from 16.443 million at year-end 2021, including January public offering and ATM sales. Nine-month net proceeds from common stock sales were approximately $75.1 million.
  • The company sold its $15.9 million available-for-sale debt security in March 2022, recording an approximately $0.2 million realized loss; no debt securities remained at September 30.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

No specific earnings or dividend guidance was provided. Management said it expects demand for cannabis-sector financing and its loan originations to grow, and expects to need additional equity and/or debt capital in the near future. It also described an expanded strategy that includes first-lien loans to non-cannabis businesses, non-cannabis real estate, and mortgage-backed securities.

  • After quarter-end, Public Company F repaid $86.6 million of principal in full; AFC Gamma received approximately $0.1 million in prepayment premium and $0.6 million in make-whole premium. The repayment reduces a major borrower exposure but also removes loan income.
  • After quarter-end, the company increased its commitment to one borrower by $30.0 million, reduced another borrower commitment by $19.5 million, and funded approximately $9.2 million. An October amendment added $30.0 million of AFC Gamma commitment to a facility, with $7.8 million funded, and changed pricing to Prime plus 5.8%, subject to a 5.5% floor. In November, a separate borrower facility commitment was reduced from $82.5 million to $63.0 million.
  • Credit risks include cannabis’ continuing federal illegality, licensing and regulatory risks, borrower defaults, illiquid collateral and restrictions on taking possession of cannabis-related assets. The top four borrowers represented approximately 63.6% of outstanding principal at quarter-end; real estate collateral coverage averaged approximately 1.0 times committed principal.
  • Three fair-value loans totaling $94.1 million use Level 3 inputs. Management cautions that estimated values may differ materially from realizable values; a 50-basis-point market-yield increase was estimated to reduce unrealized value by approximately $0.5 million.
  • Interest-rate sensitivity: management estimated that a 100-basis-point increase or decrease in floating benchmarks would change annual interest income by approximately $1.4 million in either direction. Changes in funding costs, benchmark transitions, and mismatches between fixed- and floating-rate assets and liabilities could affect earnings.
  • Related-party management and incentive fees were $4.7 million in Q3 and $14.7 million for nine months. The filing reports no material legal proceedings and no material subsequent events other than those described.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether borrower repayment and subsequent commitment changes materially affect portfolio concentration, recurring interest income, and liquidity.
  • Borrower performance, collateral values, and the continued adequacy of the $6.2 million CECL reserve amid higher macroeconomic and credit risks.
  • Cash available after dividends and loan funding obligations, including $56.2 million of unfunded loan commitments and the undrawn revolver’s borrowing-base and covenant conditions.
  • Whether the $0.56 quarterly dividend is supported by cash collections: nine-month operating cash flow was below dividends paid, and reported earnings include OID and payment-in-kind income.
  • Potential dilution and related-party costs from further equity issuance, incentive fees, and the expanded investment mandate.