Sabre Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

Sabre Corporation — Q2 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period

Sabre provides technology and distribution services to the global travel industry through Travel Network, a travel marketplace, and Airline and Hospitality Solutions, software and hosted services for airlines and hotels. This unaudited report covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016; comparisons are with the corresponding 2015 periods. Results include the acquisitions of Abacus (consolidated from July 2015) and Trust Group (acquired January 2016).

Key financial metrics

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Revenue$845.2 million$707.1 million$1,704.8 million$1,417.4 million
Operating income$142.0 million$122.6 million$313.5 million$241.6 million
Operating margin16.8%17.3%18.4%17.0%
Income from continuing operations$75.2 million$32.6 million$168.1 million$81.9 million
Net income attributable to common stockholders$72.0 million$32.2 million$177.2 million$239.7 million
Diluted EPS$0.25$0.12$0.63$0.86
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$271.5 million$227.6 million$559.0 million$471.2 million

Q2 Travel Network revenue rose 21% to $597.9 million; Airline and Hospitality Solutions revenue rose 16% to $252.2 million. Total Direct Billable Bookings increased 23.9% to 127.8 million, and Airline Solutions passengers boarded increased 43.5% to 199.8 million. The company reported a 29% Q2 effective tax rate, versus 38% a year earlier.

For the first six months, operating cash flow was $263.8 million, versus $268.0 million. Free cash flow, defined by Sabre as operating cash flow less property and equipment additions, was $99.2 million versus $140.0 million. Capital expenditures plus capitalized implementation costs were $207.9 million, up from $157.5 million.

At June 30, cash and equivalents were $68.3 million, down from $321.1 million at year-end 2015. Debt carrying value was approximately $3.256 billion, including $174.0 million current debt; long-term debt was $3.082 billion. Revolver availability was $298.2 million, after outstanding borrowings and letters of credit. Stockholders’ equity was $712.7 million.

Material changes versus prior comparable period

  • Revenue increased 20% in both Q2 and the first half. Management attributed much of Travel Network’s growth to Abacus; excluding Abacus, bookings grew 2% in Q2 and 3% for the first half.
  • Airline Solutions passenger volumes benefited from American Airlines Group’s migration to SabreSonic CSS in Q4 2015 and growth among existing customers. Trust Group contributed to Hospitality Solutions growth.
  • Q2 operating income rose 16%, slower than revenue growth; operating margin decreased to 16.8% from 17.3%. Higher acquisition-related amortization, compensation, incentive consideration, technology costs and other operating expenses contributed to the cost increase.
  • First-half net income attributable to common stockholders fell from $239.7 million to $177.2 million, largely because 2015 included $159.6 million of discontinued-operations income, mainly gains on the Travelocity and lastminute.com divestitures. Continuing-operations income increased substantially.
  • Interest expense declined 12% in the first half, primarily reflecting refinancing at lower interest rates. The 2015 comparison included a $33.2 million debt-extinguishment loss.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management said cash, operating cash flow and revolving-credit access should provide adequate liquidity for operating and capital needs over the next 12 months. It expects to fund an approximately $80 million mortgage maturity and about $113 million of Tax Receivable Agreement payments due in Q1 2017 through cash, revolver borrowings or debt offerings. No formal earnings guidance is provided in the supplied filing text.
  • On July 18, 2016, after quarter-end, Sabre arranged a $600 million Term Loan A and a new $400 million revolver, both with stated July 2021 maturities, subject to an accelerated-maturity provision tied to refinancing or repayment of certain existing loans. Proceeds refinanced portions of existing debt and the prior revolver and paid fees; Sabre expected a $4 million extinguishment loss in Q3.
  • The estimated Tax Receivable Agreement obligation is $387 million, excluding interest; $112 million was classified as current at quarter-end. The company expects no material payment in 2016 and approximately $113 million, including interest, in Q1 2017.
  • Sabre expects stock-based compensation to increase over time following a shift to annual broad-based equity grants. It also noted elevated investment in internal software and technology infrastructure, including an ERP consolidation project.
  • Material risks include dependence on travel transaction volumes, airline and travel-agency relationships, pricing and incentive pressures, direct distribution by suppliers, competition, technology outages and cybersecurity, third-party IT services (including HPE), acquisition integration, foreign-exchange and interest-rate exposure, and substantial debt. The filing also discusses Brexit-related uncertainty and Venezuela collection risk; $20 million of Venezuelan receivables remained outstanding and revenue is deferred until cash is collected.
  • Legal contingencies include US Airways antitrust litigation, with claimed remaining damages of $45 million or $73 million before potential trebling; Sabre recorded no accrual and the trial was scheduled for October 2016. A separate consumer antitrust case retained a claim for injunctive relief after partial dismissal. Other matters include a DOJ investigation, Indian tax litigation (potential exposure of about $41 million if all claims prevailed), and hotel-tax litigation. Outcomes and potential losses in several proceedings are uncertain.
  • CEO Tom Klein intended to resign at year-end 2016. The filing states disclosure controls were effective and reports no material change in internal control over financial reporting during the quarter.

Investor verification points

  • Separate organic growth from acquisition effects, particularly Abacus’s contribution to Travel Network bookings and Trust Group’s contribution to hospitality revenue.
  • Track operating-margin pressure, incentive consideration, capitalized implementation spending, and the conversion of reported earnings into free cash flow.
  • Review post-quarter refinancing terms, leverage covenant requirements, debt maturities, revolver availability, and the planned 2017 mortgage and TRA payments.
  • Monitor the US Airways trial and other antitrust proceedings, Indian tax exposures, and the collection and revenue-recognition status of Venezuelan balances.
  • Assess whether higher passenger volumes, technology investment, and acquisitions translate into sustained operating growth while controlling costs and execution risks.