Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. annual report, FY2018

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. — 2018 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2018; the filing also reports fourth-quarter results. The company is an externally managed mortgage REIT that originates and invests primarily in commercial mortgage loans and subordinate real estate debt.

Financial and portfolio summary

Metric20182017
Interest income$403.9 million$338.5 million
Interest expense$114.6 million$78.1 million
Net interest income$289.3 million$260.5 million
Net income$220.0 million$193.0 million
Net income available to common stockholders$192.6 million$156.3 million
GAAP diluted earnings per common share$1.48$1.54
Operating Earnings, non-GAAP, per share$1.78$1.46
Operating cash flow$266.0 million$154.9 million
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$109.8 million$77.7 million

At year-end, total assets were $5.10 billion, total liabilities $2.59 billion and stockholders’ equity $2.51 billion. The loan portfolio totaled $4.93 billion: $3.88 billion in commercial mortgage loans and $1.05 billion in subordinate loans. Weighted-average coupon was 8.4% and weighted-average all-in yield was 9.3%; secured debt cost was 4.3%. These portfolio measures are not a consolidated net interest margin.

Secured borrowings were $1.90 billion gross, with $17.6 million of deferred financing costs deducted on the balance sheet. Convertible notes had $609.5 million aggregate principal outstanding. The reported debt-to-common-equity ratio was 1.1x, up from 0.9x. The company reported $109.8 million of cash and approximately $1.10 billion of unfunded loan commitments. Management said it believed liquidity and access to additional liquidity were sufficient for obligations over at least the next 12 months; facility capacity is subject to collateral, covenant and other terms.

Common dividends declared were $1.84 per share for the year. Series B and Series C preferred dividends were $2.00 per share each. The company noted that $0.46 of the January 2019 common distribution was treated as a 2019 distribution for federal tax purposes.

Material changes versus the prior period

  • Net interest income rose $28.8 million, primarily reflecting portfolio growth and higher average LIBOR, partly offset by increased interest expense. The loan portfolio grew from $3.68 billion to $4.93 billion.
  • Common net income increased, but GAAP diluted EPS declined from $1.54 to $1.48. The 2018 diluted-share calculation included potential conversion shares after the company changed its settlement intent for convertible notes.
  • The company recorded $20.0 million of loan-loss provisions and impairments, versus $5.0 million in 2017. This included a $15.0 million fourth-quarter provision on a Cincinnati retail-center loan; that loan had been modified as a troubled debt restructuring. Three loans totaling $215.6 million, or 4% of the portfolio, were rated risk category 5 at year-end.
  • Foreign-currency loss was $30.3 million, while derivative instruments generated a $39.1 million gain. The company reported a combined net benefit of $8.7 million from foreign-currency and derivative effects.
  • The company issued $230.0 million principal of 5.375% convertible notes due 2023 and received approximately $223.7 million net proceeds. It exchanged or converted $220.3 million principal of 2019 notes, issuing 10.8 million common shares in total across those transactions and paying cash consideration. A $2.6 million early-extinguishment loss was recorded.
  • A $275.9 million net common-stock offering and note exchanges increased common shares outstanding. Management fees increased to $36.4 million from $31.7 million, primarily as stockholders’ equity under the management agreement increased.

Fourth-quarter net interest income was $77.8 million versus $69.2 million in fourth-quarter 2017. Net income was $53.0 million versus $41.3 million, and diluted EPS was $0.34 versus $0.32. Fourth-quarter 2018 included the $15.0 million loan provision.

Outlook, risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Outlook: Management expected to continue originating and acquiring senior mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other real estate debt at attractive risk-adjusted yields. It cited upcoming commercial real estate debt maturities as an investment opportunity. No numerical earnings or dividend guidance was provided.
  • Interest-rate exposure: 91% of loans were floating-rate. The filing estimates that an immediate 50-basis-point increase would raise 12-month net interest income by $13.1 million, while a 50-basis-point decrease would reduce it by $12.2 million, before any management response or broader economic effects. LIBOR transition, rate floors and asset-liability mismatches remain risks.
  • Credit and concentration: Manhattan represented 33.9% of the portfolio; the United Kingdom represented 14.2%. Residential-for-sale inventory and construction together represented 22.4%. Borrower performance, collateral values, refinancing and property-market conditions could affect collections and recoveries.
  • Liquidity and leverage: $1.10 billion of unfunded loan commitments and secured facilities with margin-call provisions create funding and collateral demands. Near-term facility maturities and refinancing access are important, particularly if asset values or financing markets weaken.
  • Non-cash income: Payment-in-kind interest was $43.5 million in 2018. This interest is recognized as income but is not necessarily received in cash in the same period.
  • Legal matter: Plaintiffs in a New York action involving a Manhattan development mezzanine loan allege damages of $700 million, including punitive damages, and identify a $70 million investment loss. The company said it considers the claims without merit and intends to defend them. The filing does not state a quantified probable loss or reserve for this case. A separate Department of Justice inquiry concerning the former residential portfolio ended with notice in May 2018 that no further action was intended as to the company.
  • Management and structure: The manager is an Apollo affiliate; the base fee is 1.5% annually of contractually defined stockholders’ equity. Termination without cause is restricted and may trigger a fee equal to three times average annual base management fees. REIT qualification and continued exclusion from Investment Company Act registration are also material conditions and risks.
  • Audit and controls: The independent auditor issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting; management also concluded controls were effective.

Key facts investors should verify

  • Review the Cincinnati retail loan’s collateral valuation, modified terms, risk rating and subsequent repayment or performance, along with the Bethesda non-accrual loan status.
  • Assess whether operating cash generation supports dividends and the $1.10 billion of unfunded commitments, noting the material PIK-interest component.
  • Check current borrowing availability, collateral requirements, margin-call exposure, covenant compliance and refinancing of facilities and the 2019 notes.
  • Evaluate GAAP diluted EPS alongside non-GAAP Operating Earnings and its adjustments; the two measures moved differently in 2018.
  • Monitor the Manhattan litigation, portfolio concentrations, UK currency exposure, and the company’s ability to maintain REIT and Investment Company Act status.