CEL SCI CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2016

CEL-SCI Corporation — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended June 30, 2016 (fiscal 2016 third quarter); filed August 9, 2016. Unaudited financial statements.

Business context

CEL-SCI is a development-stage biotechnology company with no product sales to date. Its lead investigational therapy, Multikine, was in a multinational Phase 3 trial for advanced primary head and neck cancer; LEAPS remained preclinical. Multikine was not approved, and its safety and efficacy had not been established.

Financial results and liquidity

MetricThree months ended June 30Nine months ended June 30
Grant and other income2016: $130,000; 2015: $389,0002016: $184,000; 2015: $724,000
Operating expenses2016: $6.51 million; 2015: $8.59 million2016: $18.62 million; 2015: $26.68 million
Operating loss2016: $6.38 million; 2015: $8.20 million2016: $18.44 million; 2015: $25.96 million
Net loss2016: $3.85 million; 2015: $4.43 million2016: $10.35 million; 2015: $24.83 million
Loss per share2016: $0.03; 2015: $0.03 basic (2015 diluted: $0.06)2016: $0.09; 2015: $0.32
Operating cash usedNine months 2016: $16.22 million; 2015: $18.49 million

Net loss benefited from an $8.04 million gain on warrant derivative liabilities in the first nine months of 2016; this non-cash fair-value gain does not represent operating revenue. Research and development expense was $14.64 million for the nine months, primarily for Multikine.

At June 30, cash and equivalents were $5.22 million, current assets $8.58 million, and current liabilities $5.28 million (working capital about $3.30 million). Total liabilities were $18.25 million, including $12.82 million of derivative liabilities. The $1.10 million related-party loan was repaid in January 2016. Stockholders’ deficit was $3.77 million. Cash decreased $508,000 over the nine-month period, as $15.75 million of financing cash flow largely offset $16.22 million of operating cash use and $36,000 of investing cash use.

Material changes and financing

  • Compared with the prior-year periods, operating expenses and losses declined. Management attributed lower general and administrative expense mainly to reduced legal fees and share-based employee compensation; nine-month expense also reflected a roughly $1.1 million gain from transferring certain legal-fee liability to litigation funder Lake Whillans.
  • Grant and other income declined, which the company attributed primarily to timing of study-drug shipments to its Taiwan partner and SBIR grant income received in the prior-year quarter.
  • Net proceeds from equity and warrant sales were about $16.8 million in the nine months. Offerings included an October 2015 public offering (about $10.5 million net), sales to the de Clara Trust and another investor, and a May 2016 registered direct offering (about $4.6 million net).
  • Common shares outstanding increased from 112.36 million at September 30, 2015 to 145.15 million at June 30, 2016; 145.35 million were outstanding August 1. Warrants and other potentially dilutive securities add substantial further potential dilution.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management said cash on hand and anticipated access to capital markets should support operations through year-end, but stated additional capital or long-term financing is needed to continue research. The filing identifies substantial doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern. Financing may not be available on acceptable terms or when needed; absent funding, the company may slow or curtail the Phase 3 trial or operations.
  • As of June 30, 848 patients had been enrolled in the Phase 3 study. The company estimated approximately $14.7 million of remaining trial cash costs, excluding portions paid by Teva and Orient Europharma, in addition to about $31.9 million already spent. Costs and timing could increase, including if patients enrolled by former CRO inVentiv must be replaced or their data is unusable.
  • The company was seeking at least $50 million in arbitration damages from former CRO inVentiv and estimated its damages at more than $150 million. inVentiv asserted multiple counterclaims, including claims seeking at least $24 million in stated damages or disgorgement. The company disputed the counterclaims; an adverse outcome could materially affect its business, financial condition, and liquidity. The arbitration hearing was scheduled to begin September 7, 2016. Litigation proceeds were not assured.
  • No specific revenue or earnings guidance was provided. The company stated it could not predict when products might generate sales; clinical completion, regulatory approval, and sufficient financing remain uncertain.
  • Management reported disclosure controls were effective as of June 30, 2016 and no change in internal control over financial reporting during the nine-month period.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Current cash needs, financing availability, and the basis for management’s through-year-end liquidity expectation given the going-concern warning.
  • Phase 3 enrollment, timeline, remaining-cost estimate, partner contributions, and whether any inVentiv-era patient data will require replacement.
  • Potential dilution from outstanding warrants, options, and other securities, including terms and exercise timing.
  • Progress and potential financial exposure in the inVentiv arbitration and counterclaims, and any proceeds or costs under the Lake Whillans arrangement.
  • Whether reported loss improvements persist apart from non-cash derivative gains and one-time legal-fee effects.