Pacific Airport Group (GAP) - Q3 2010 Financial Summary
Business Context and Reporting Period
This Form 6-K filing covers the third quarter ended September 30, 2010, for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (GAP). The company operates 12 airports in Mexico's Pacific region. Financial figures are unaudited, prepared under Mexican Financial Reporting Standards (NIF), and presented in nominal Mexican pesos. A significant operational event during the period was the indefinite suspension of Grupo Mexicana de Aviación (GMA) operations on August 28, 2010, which previously accounted for 12.6% of GAP's total revenues.
Key Financial Metrics (Q3 2010)
| Metric | Q3 2010 | Q3 2009 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues (excl. INIF-17) | Ps. 935.9 million | Ps. 791.2 million | +18.3% |
| Operating Income | Ps. 388.4 million (implied) | Ps. 318.2 million (implied) | +22.1% (Ps. 70.2m) |
| EBITDA (excl. INIF-17) | Ps. 603.2 million | Ps. 529.4 million | +13.9% |
| Net Income | Ps. 328.9 million (implied) | Ps. 318.5 million (implied) | +3.3% (Ps. 10.4m) |
| EBITDA Margin (excl. INIF-17) | 64.5% | 66.9% | -240 bps |
| Operating Margin (excl. INIF-17) | 41.5% | 40.2% | +130 bps |
| Cash and Equivalents | Ps. 2,588.1 million | N/A | N/A |
| Capital Expenditures (9M 2010) | Ps. 572.3 million | N/A | N/A |
Note: Net income and Operating Income absolute values for 2009 are derived from the reported growth percentages and absolute increases provided in the text.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Aeronautical services revenue increased 20.6% (Ps. 127.6 million) driven by a 7.2% rise in total terminal passengers (345.6 thousand additional passengers) and tariff increases effective January 1, 2010. Non-aeronautical revenue grew 9.9%.
- Cost Pressures: Cost of services rose 30.7%, primarily due to a Ps. 49.9 million reserve for doubtful accounts related to GMA. Excluding this reserve, cost of services would have risen only 5.1%.
- Passenger Traffic: Despite GMA's suspension, total traffic grew 7.2%. Domestic traffic increased 5.8% and international traffic increased 10.6%. Tijuana airport saw a 20.4% increase in September due to migrant passengers using it as an alternative to Southern California routes.
- Accounting Policy Change: Adoption of INIF-17 ("Service Concession Contracts") resulted in recognizing Ps. 122.5 million in "revenues from additions to concessioned assets" and an equal amount in costs. This increased reported revenue by 33.8% but had no impact on operating income or EBITDA.
Outlook, Risks, and Contingencies
- Outlook: Management expects remaining airlines to continue increasing frequencies and absorbing GMA routes through December 2010. However, winter season passenger growth may be constrained by seat availability and route recovery limitations.
- Legal Contingency (Tijuana): Municipal authorities requested Ps. 269.2 million in real estate taxes (2000-2010). GAP considers this invalid based on prior court rulings and intends to pursue legal defense. Assets identified for potential seizure would not affect operations.
- Share Buyback: Shareholders approved a Ps. 1.0 billion buyback program. As of September 30, 2010, Ps. 283.9 million had been utilized to repurchase approximately 7 million shares.
- Regulatory: The company is compliant with 2008 maximum rates; the 2009 review is pending. GAP plans to adopt International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) effective January 1, 2012.
- Unusual Items: A 6.5 Richter scale earthquake occurred near La Paz on October 21, 2010, but caused no damage to infrastructure or operations.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Verify the collectability of the Ps. 49.9 million receivable from Grupo Mexicana de Aviación (GMA) and the adequacy of the doubtful account reserve.
- Monitor the legal outcome of the Ps. 269.2 million real estate tax dispute in Tijuana.
- Assess the pace of route and frequency recovery by other carriers to replace GMA's 12.6% revenue share.
- Review the impact of the INIF-17 accounting change on future margin reporting versus actual cash flow generation.
- Track the execution of the remaining Ps. 716.1 million of the approved share buyback program.