Selling put options before a company's earnings announcement can be a valid strategy for options traders seeking to capitalize on higher than normal volatility.
One of the primary reasons traders may consider selling a Nvidia (NVDA) put option before their earnings announcement on Friday is the elevated implied volatility. Earnings reports can trigger significant price movements, and this volatility results in an increase in option premiums. By selling the put option before the announcement, traders aim to capitalize on the inflated premium, especially if they believe that the stock will remain above the strike price by the option's expiration date.
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Before delving into the strategy, let's quickly recap what it means to sell a put option. A cash-secured put involves writing an at-the-money or out-of-the-money put option and simultaneously setting aside enough cash to buy the stock. The goal is to either have the put expire worthless and keep the premium or be assigned and acquire the stock below the current price.
Selling put options is an easy place for investors to start with options. They are like a covered call and are pretty easy to understand once you know the basics.
Traders selling puts should understand that they may be assigned 100 shares at the strike price.
Potential Benefits
Selling put options allows traders to collect premium income upfront. If the options expire worthless, the seller keeps the entire premium as profit.
The premium received can lower the breakeven point for the trade. If the stock price drops but remains above the breakeven point, the seller still profits.
Traders who are bullish or neutral on NVDA can benefit from the increased volatility leading up to the earnings report.
After the earnings announcement, implied volatility tends to drop significantly, reducing option premiums. By selling options before the announcement, traders can take advantage of this implied volatility drop.
Potential Risks
If the stock price falls below the put option's strike price, the seller may be obligated to buy NVDA shares at a higher price than the current market value.
While the profit potential is limited to the premium received, losses can theoretically be unlimited if the stock price drops significantly.
An earnings surprises could result in a sharp drop in the price of NVDA stock.
Selling a NVDA Put Option Before Earnings
A trader selling the August 28th $195-strike put on NVDA would receive around $161 into their account, which would be theirs to keep. Due to the bid-ask spread, the actual amount could be slightly higher than this.
If NVDA falls below $195 by August 28, they would be required to buy 100 shares at $195. The effective net cost of the position would be $193.39, thanks to the option premium received.
That is 7.24% below Monday’s closing price.
Our last idea on Target (TGT) worked very well for those that followed the trade.
If the stock stays above $195 at expiry, the put expires worthless, leaving the trader with a 0.8% annualized return on capital at risk.
That works out to be 76.0% annualized.
This table shows other potential put selling candidates on Nvidia for the August 28 expiration.
On the Nvidia volatility charts, we can see the term structure shows that implied volatility is very high for the expiration immediately after earnings.
This 72% volatility means high option premiums when compared to longer-term options which only have volatility of around 40%.
Company Details
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
Relative Strength just crossed below 50%. The market is indicating support for a bearish trend.
NVIDIA Corporation is the worldwide leader in visual computing technologies and the inventor of the graphic processing unit, or GPU.
Over the years, the company's focus has evolved from PC graphics to artificial intelligence (AI) based solutions that now support high performance computing (HPC), gaming and virtual reality (VR) platforms.NVIDIA's GPU success can be attributed to its parallel processing capabilities supported by thousands of computing cores, which are necessary to run deep learning algorithms.
The company's GPU platforms are playing a major role in developing multi-billion-dollar end-markets like robotics and self-driving vehicles.
NVIDIA is a dominant name in the Data Center, professional visualization and gaming markets where Intel and Advanced Micro Devices are playing a catch-up role.
The company's partnership with almost all major cloud service providers (CSPs) and server vendors is a key catalyst.
Of the 48 analysts covering Nvidia, 44 have a Strong Buy, 3 have a Moderate Buy rating and 1 has a Strong Sell rating.
Conclusion
Selling a Nvidia put option before their earnings announcement is a strategy that can potentially generate income while taking advantage of heightened volatility. However, it's essential to understand the risks involved, including the possibility of assignment and unlimited losses.
Conservative investors may consider buying a further out-of-the-money put to reduce the risk and capital requirements.
This essentially turns the trade into a bull put spread.
Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment.
This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
On the date of publication, Gavin McMaster had a position in: NVDA . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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