While Ripple XRP is still holding above the psychologically important $1 level, analysts are closely monitoring whether buyers can defend this area after a sharp decline in high-value whale transactions.
Despite signs that selling momentum may be easing on lower timeframes, broader trend indicators continue to favor caution, leaving traders focused on key support and resistance levels before the next decisive move .
XRP Price Today Nears Critical $1 Support
The XRP price today is trading around $1.09 on Bitstamp, reflecting a modest intraday gain of approximately 0.18%. Even so, the broader trend remains fragile after several weeks of downward price action.
XRP is trending lower toward the key $1 support level, a former breakout zone that could serve as the first major area for a potential price rebound. Source: ew-forecast on TradingView
According to market analysts , XRP is gradually approaching the $1.00 support zone, a level that previously served as a major breakout point nearly two years ago. Because of its historical significance, many traders view this area as the first meaningful level where buying interest could emerge.
On the four-hour chart, XRP is also nearing another important support around $0.95. Technical analysts note that price action is developing what appears to be an ending diagonal, a chart pattern commonly associated with trend exhaustion.
Market analyst @ew-forecast noted that the formation "could signal that selling pressure is starting to mature." However, he also emphasized that the broader market structure remains bearish until price action confirms a reversal.
A decisive move below $0.90 would invalidate the potential reversal setup and could expose XRP to a deeper correction.
XRP Ledger Whale Activity Drops Sharply
Beyond the charts, on-chain data shows a significant slowdown in activity from large XRP holders.
According to data shared by Ali Martinez , citing Santiment, daily XRP Ledger transactions worth more than $1 million have fallen dramatically—from roughly 70 transactions earlier in the week to just 2 during the latest trading session.
Santiment data showed XRP Ledger whale activity plunged, with transactions exceeding $1 million dropping from around 70 last week to just two, signaling a sharp slowdown in large-holder activity. Source: Ali Martinez via X
The decline does not necessarily indicate aggressive selling. Instead, it suggests that large investors have become considerably less active.
Periods of reduced whale participation often coincide with market consolidation or lower short-term volatility, although they can also reflect investors waiting for stronger confirmation before committing additional capital.
Because whale wallets frequently influence liquidity and market sentiment, traders often monitor these flows for clues about institutional positioning and possible accumulation trends.
XRP Price Prediction: Technical Indicators Continue to Favor Bears
TradingView's latest technical summary presents a mixed but generally cautious outlook for the XRP price prediction.
The platform's composite rating stands at Neutral, although the underlying breakdown leans bearish with:
14 Sell signals 10 Neutral signals 2 Buy signalsThe overall technical rating remains Sell, with both the one-week and one-month timeframes also maintaining bearish readings.
XRP price chart. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin
Momentum indicators are comparatively balanced, suggesting that bearish pressure may be slowing without confirming a trend reversal.
Among the major oscillators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 43.45 (Neutral) Stochastic %K: 42.36 (Neutral) Commodity Channel Index (CCI): +8.11 (Neutral) Average Directional Index (ADX): 14.74 (Neutral) Awesome Oscillator: -0.018 (Neutral) Momentum (10): -0.047 (Sell) MACD (12,26): -0.015 (Buy)With one Sell, nine Neutral, and one Buy signal among oscillators, momentum remains relatively balanced. The RSI remains below the 50 midpoint, indicating mild bearish momentum, while the low ADX reading suggests the current trend lacks strong directional strength.
Moving Averages Show Persistent Downtrend
Trend-following indicators continue to paint a weaker picture for Ripple XRP price.
Most key exponential and simple moving averages—from the 10-period EMA through the 200-period EMA—remain above the current market price, generating widespread Sell signals.
Notable levels include:
EMA 10: $1.098 SMA 20: $1.087 EMA 50: $1.161 EMA 200: $1.468Only the Hull Moving Average (9) currently generates a Buy signal at $1.083, while the Ichimoku Base Line remains Neutral near $1.10.
The positioning of these moving averages indicates that XRP continues to trade within a broader downtrend, with rallies likely to encounter resistance unless price can reclaim several key averages.
Key Levels to Watch
Classic pivot point analysis identifies the central pivot near $1.128, placing the current XRP price below a level that generally reflects a bearish short-term bias.
Important resistance levels include:
R1: $1.249 R2: $1.459 R3: $1.790Meanwhile, downside support sits at:
S1: $0.918 S2: $0.798 S3: $0.467In the near term, analysts continue to focus on the $1.00-$0.95 support zone , while resistance remains concentrated between $1.10 and $1.13, where multiple moving averages converge.
Although the potential ending diagonal pattern could indicate that selling pressure is losing momentum, technical confirmation would require XRP to establish higher lows and recover above nearby resistance levels. Until then, the combination of subdued whale activity, bearish moving averages, and cautious trend indicators suggests the market remains in a wait-and-see phase.