A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Paccar (PCAR). Shares have lost about 3.5% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Paccar due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at the latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent drivers for PACCAR Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
PCAR Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates
PACCAR reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.43 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.33 by 7.5%. The bottom line increased 4.4% from $1.37 in the year-ago quarter.
Consolidated revenues (including trucks and financial services) were $7.55 billion, up from $7.1 billion in the corresponding quarter of 2025.
Truck, Parts and Other revenues of $7 rose 0.5% year over year. Higher truck profitability and record parts revenues supported results, while global truck deliveries declined 1.5% to 38,700 units.
Revenue Mix Favors Truck Sales
Truck revenues were $5.25 billion in the quarter, edging up from $5.24 billion a year earlier. Parts revenues increased 1.5% to a record $1.75 billion, reflecting continued strength in the aftermarket business.
Financial Services revenues were $549.7 million compared with $547.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Intersegment eliminations and other were $3 million.
Geographically, revenues from the United States and Canada declined 3.3% to $4.59 billion. European revenues advanced 6.9% to $1.79 billion, while revenues from other markets climbed 7.3% to $1.17 billion.
Truck Profit Despite Lower Deliveries
Truck pretax profit rose 16.7% year over year to $360.5 million from $308.8 million.
North American deliveries fell to 22,000 units from 23,000. Europe improved to 11,200 units from 10,600, while other markets declined to 5,500 units from 5,700.
The higher second-quarter build rates were attributable to strong orders and improving freight rates. PACCAR expects constrained freight capacity and an aging fleet to create opportunities for customers to replace trucks with newer, more fuel-efficient models.
PCAR Parts Delivers Record Quarterly Revenues
PACCAR Parts generated pretax income of $417 million compared with $416.5 million a year ago. The modest profit increase came alongside record quarterly revenues and continued investment in distribution and logistics capabilities.
The company expects improving North American freight conditions to support truck utilization and parts demand. Its parts network includes 21 distribution centers serving more than 2,000 DAF, Kenworth and Peterbilt locations and over 350 TRP stores.
First-half parts revenues increased to $3.46 billion from $3.41 billion. Pretax profit for the six-month period declined to $819.3 million from $843 million.
PACCAR Financial Services Holds Profit Steady
Financial Services pretax income was $124.1 million compared with $123.2 million in the year-ago quarter. Provision for losses on receivables increased to $39.4 million from $29.2 million, partly offsetting steady finance margins and an improving used-truck market.
The business ended the quarter with a portfolio of 222,000 trucks and trailers and $22.3 billion in total assets. PacLease’s fleet stood at 37,000 vehicles, and the segment issued $1.38 billion of medium-term notes during the first half.
First-half Financial Services pretax income declined to $239.6 million from $244.3 million. Revenues increased to $1.09 billion from $1.08 billion over the same period.
Costs and Cash Flow Remain in Focus
Within Truck, Parts and Other, cost of sales and revenues declined to $5.99 billion from $6 billion. Research and development expenses rose to $114.3 million from $112.9 million, while selling, general and administrative expense eased to $138.6 million from $139.2 million.
PACCAR generated $700.8 million in operating cash flow during the quarter. For the first half, operating cash flow was $1.67 billion, while capital investments and research and development expenses totaled $274.2 million and $223.4 million, respectively.
Cash and marketable securities were $8.67 billion as of June 30, 2026, compared with $9.25 billion at Dec. 31, 2025.
2026 Expectations
The company maintained its 2026 U.S. and Canada Class 8 industry retail sales forecast at 230,000-270,000 trucks. It expects European above 16-tonne registrations of 290,000-330,000 units, up from the previous estimate of 280,000-320,000.
The South American above 16-tonne market remains projected at 100,000-110,000 trucks. For 2026, capital expenditures are now expected between $700 million and $750 million, down from the previous estimate of $725-$775 million. Research and development expenses are now projected to be in the band of $450-$480 million compared with the previous estimate of $450-$500 million.
PACCAR expects to deliver approximately 42,000 trucks in the third quarter, up from 38,700 units in the second-quarter.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, estimates revision have trended upward during the past month.
The consensus estimate has shifted 5.75% due to these changes.
VGM Scores
At this time, Paccar has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a bit better with a C. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the second quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Paccar has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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PACCAR Inc. (PCAR): Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).