概述

The projection suggests that Bitcoin could approach or break $50,000 later this year. After wave 3 completes, a strong bounce may follow and could make many traders believe the bear market is over. However, the structure still warns that one more final decline may be needed, potentially pushing Bitcoin below the mid- $40,000 area before a more important bottom forms. Bottom line: Bitcoin remains vulnerable while the weekly structure continues to point lower. The key downside areas to watch are around $50,000 first, and potentially the mid- $40,000 zone later if the final Terminal decline develops. Educational analysis only. Not financial advice or a trade recommendation.

XAUUSD (H1) – Bias: Bearish below 4108–4120 resistance. Entry: Look for a sell after bearish rejection in the 4108–4120 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4136 . Take Profit 1: 4093 Take Profit 2: 4034 Analysis: Price is struggling to break above the 4108 resistance area and is forming lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A rejection from this zone could trigger a move toward 4093. If 4093 breaks with strong bearish momentum, the next downside target is 4034. Wait for bearish confirmation before entering. Manage risk appropriately.

Weekly price is located below 200 SMA in the bearish area of the chart. The price was on bear market rally but it was bounced from resistance level at 30.61 to below for the bearish trend to be resumed. If the price breaks 30.61 resistance together with 200 SMA to above so the weekly bullish reversal will be started with 32.70 level as the possible target to re-enter. If the price crosses support level at 24.25 to below so the strong bearish trend will be continuing. Alternatively, the price will be on secondary ranging within the primary bearish trend to be within 24.25/30.61 s/r channel waiting for direction. Trading Summary : ranging to be near and below 200 waiting for direction

Daily price was bounced from resistance level at 1560.66 to below for the secondary correction to the bearish reversal to be started. Chinkou span line of Ichimoku indicator is crossing the historical price to below for the good breakdown to be started, and Stochastic oscillator is showing the overbought level for the price. Thus, finally, the price is testing 1496.68 support level to below for the primary daily bearish reversal. If the price breaks resistance level at 1560.66 to above on the daily close bar so the primary bullish trend will be resumed. If the price crosses 1496.68 support level to below so the daily bearish reversal will be started with 1461.35 as the possible target. Alternatively, the price will be on ranging to be near and inside Ichimoku cloud waiting for direction

XAUUSD (H1) – Trade Analysis Bias: Bullish 📈 Price is holding above the 4093.80 support after a healthy pullback, while 4108.00 is acting as immediate intraday support. The overall structure remains bullish with higher lows, suggesting buyers are still in control. Buy Setup: Entry: 4095–4108 (on bullish confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 4090 Target 1: 4136 Target 2: 4181 A successful break and close above 4136 would confirm bullish continuation and increase the probability of a move toward 4181 . Failure to hold 4093 would weaken the bullish setup and could trigger a deeper correction before buyers return. This aligns with the broader technical picture of gold attempting to stabilize after a corrective phase, where resistance breakouts remain the key confirmation signal. (fxcm.com)

XAUUSD H4 Analysis Price is holding inside a rising channel after rebounding from a major support zone. A bullish breakout above the recent consolidation signals growing buying momentum. If buyers maintain control, the next key target is around 4385. A rejection from current levels could trigger a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. Bias: 🟢 Bullish Key Resistance: 4385 Key Support: 4120–4150

BTCUSD Analysis 📉 BTC is testing a key resistance zone after rebounding within a broad corrective structure. A rejection from the current level could send price back toward the 60,600 support area. A confirmed breakout and close above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Bias: Bearish below 63,000 | Target: 60,600 | Invalidation: Strong close above resistance.

XAUUSD Analysis 📉 Price is testing the upper boundary of a descending channel after a strong rebound. As long as resistance around 4100–4115 holds, a rejection could trigger a move back toward the 4020 support zone. A confirmed breakout above the channel would invalidate the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. Bias: Bearish below 4115 | Target: 4020 | Invalidation: Strong close above the channel resistance.

XAUUSD (Gold) M30 Trade Analysis Bias: BUY (Bullish Recovery) Price rejected the 4025–4035 support zone and formed a strong bullish rebound. The descending trendline has been broken, indicating weakening bearish momentum. Price is attempting to reclaim the 4087 resistance. A sustained close above this level strengthens the bullish outlook. Buy Entry: 4085–4090 (after confirmation with a bullish candle) Stop Loss: Below 4025 Take Profit 1: 4123 Take Profit 2: 4162 Extended Target: 4201–4218 if bullish momentum continues. Invalidation: A close below 4025 would invalidate the bullish setup and increase the probability of further downside. Conclusion: The chart currently favors buy opportunities while price remains above 4025 . A confirmed breakout above 4087 could lead to a move toward 4123

BTCUSD (H1) Analysis Price is testing a key support zone after failing to break the range highs. A confirmed break and close below support could trigger further downside toward the next demand area. If buyers defend this level, a rebound back into the range remains possible. Bias: Bearish below support. Plan: Wait for breakout confirmation before entering. Manage risk and avoid chasing the move.

XAUUSD | H1 Analysis Gold is trading inside a descending channel and facing strong resistance around 4115–4135. A rejection from this zone could push price toward 4060, while a confirmed breakout above resistance would shift momentum back to the upside. Bias: 🔴 Bearish below 4135 | Bullish only after a confirmed breakout above resistance.

Weekly price is located above Ichimoku cloud in the bullish area of the chart for trying to cross the level at 81.36 to above for the strong bullish trend to be continuing. The price is on strong bullish breakout which is confirmed by Stochastic oscillator and Chinkou Span line. If the price breaks the 81.36 level to above on weekly close bar so the strong bullish trend will be continuing. If the price crosses the level at 73.28 to below so the secondary correction will be started. If the price breaks the support level at 43.90 to 36.66 to be crossed on weekly close bar so we may see the primary bearish reversal to be started on this W1 timeframe for example. Alternatively, the price will be on ranging to be near and above Ichimoku cloud waiting for direction. Trading Summary : bullish