United Kingdom

Overview

Indicator

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

Unemployment Rate

4.8%

Aug 2025

4.7%

Monthly

0.4%

Dec 2025

-0.2%

Monthly

£-18.791 B

Feb 2026

£-15.077 B

Monthly

0.7%

1 Q 2025

0.1%

Quarterly

BoE Interest Rate Decision

3.75%

3.75%

Economic Calendar

28 April, Tuesday

Actual

Forecast

Previous

06:00

GBP

06:00

Nationwide HPI m/m

Act:

Fcst:

0.2%

Prev:

0.9%

06:00

Nationwide HPI y/y

Act:

Fcst:

1.0%

Prev:

2.2%

30 April, Thursday

Actual

Forecast

Previous

11:00

GBP

11:00

BoE MPC Meeting Minutes

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

11:00

BoE Interest Rate Decision

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

3.75%

11:00

BoE MPC Vote Cut

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

0

11:00

BoE MPC Vote Hike

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

0

11:00

BoE MPC Vote Unchanged

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

9

11:00

BoE Monetary Policy Report

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

13:15

GBP

13:15

BoE Governor Bailey Speech

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

1 May, Friday

Actual

Forecast

Previous

08:30

GBP

08:30

BoE Consumer Credit m/m

Act:

Fcst:

£1.562 B

Prev:

£1.935 B

08:30

BoE M4 Money Supply m/m

Act:

Fcst:

0.3%

Prev:

0.6%

08:30

BoE Mortgage Approvals

Act:

Fcst:

60.402 K

Prev:

62.584 K

08:30

BoE Mortgage Lending m/m

Act:

Fcst:

£4.622 B

Prev:

£4.840 B

08:30

BoE Net Lending to Individuals m/m

Act:

Fcst:

£6.271 B

Prev:

£6.775 B

08:30

S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI

Act:

Fcst:

53.6

Prev:

53.6

11:15

GBP

11:15

BoE MPC Member Pill Speech

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

19:30

GBP

19:30

CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions

Act:

Fcst:

Prev:

-52.0 K

Economic indicators

Labour

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

Average Weekly Earnings, Regular Pay y/y

4.7%

Aug 2025

4.8%

Monthly

Average Weekly Earnings, Total Pay y/y

5.0%

Aug 2025

4.8%

Monthly

Unemployment Rate

4.8%

Aug 2025

4.7%

Monthly

Claimant Count Change

25.7 K

Sep 2025

-2.0 K

Monthly

Employment Change 3-months

91 K

Aug 2025

232 K

Monthly

Labour Productivity q/q

0.7%

4 Q 2024

-1.1%

Quarterly

Labour Productivity y/y

-0.8%

4 Q 2024

-2.3%

Quarterly

Prices

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

-0.2%

Dec 2025

0.5%

Monthly

0.8%

Dec 2025

1.1%

Monthly

0.0%

Dec 2025

0.1%

Monthly

3.4%

Dec 2025

3.4%

Monthly

Core PPI Output m/m

-0.1%

Dec 2025

0.1%

Monthly

Core PPI Output y/y

3.2%

Dec 2025

3.6%

Monthly

0.4%

Dec 2025

-0.2%

Monthly

3.4%

Dec 2025

3.2%

Monthly

3.2%

Dec 2025

3.2%

Monthly

0.7%

Dec 2025

-0.5%

Monthly

4.1%

Dec 2025

3.7%

Monthly

0.7%

Dec 2025

-0.4%

Monthly

4.2%

Dec 2025

3.8%

Monthly

3.6%

Dec 2025

3.5%

Monthly

0.4%

Dec 2025

-0.1%

Monthly

0.3%

Dec 2025

-0.2%

Monthly

140.1

Dec 2025

139.5

Monthly

139.9

Dec 2025

139.4

Monthly

BoE Inflation Expectations

3.0%

2.7%

Housing

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

1.2%

Feb 2026

1.0%

Monthly

BoE Mortgage Approvals

62.584 K

Feb 2026

60.246 K

Monthly

BoE Mortgage Lending m/m

£4.840 B

Feb 2026

£4.211 B

Monthly

Halifax HPI m/m

0.3%

Feb 2026

0.8%

Monthly

Halifax HPI y/y

1.3%

Feb 2026

1.1%

Monthly

UK Finance Mortgage Approvals

38.779 K

Dec 2018

39.205 K

Monthly

RICS House Price Balance

-23.0%

Mar 2026

-12.0%

Monthly

Nationwide HPI m/m

0.9%

Mar 2026

0.3%

Monthly

Nationwide HPI y/y

2.2%

Mar 2026

1.0%

Monthly

Consumer

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

Retail Sales m/m

0.4%

Dec 2025

-0.1%

Monthly

Retail Sales y/y

2.5%

Dec 2025

1.8%

Monthly

Core Retail Sales m/m

0.3%

Dec 2025

-0.4%

Monthly

Core Retail Sales y/y

3.1%

Dec 2025

2.6%

Monthly

Index of Services

0.2%

Nov 2025

0.1%

Monthly

BoE Consumer Credit m/m

£1.935 B

Feb 2026

£1.828 B

Monthly

BoE Net Lending to Individuals m/m

£6.775 B

Feb 2026

£6.039 B

Monthly

BRC Retail Sales y/y

6.5%

Dec 2022

4.1%

Monthly

GfK Consumer Confidence

-25

Apr 2026

-21

Monthly

Business

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

Construction Output m/m

1.0%

Feb 2026

0.5%

Monthly

Construction Output y/y

-1.0%

Feb 2026

-1.9%

Monthly

Industrial Production m/m

1.1%

Nov 2025

1.3%

Monthly

Industrial Production y/y

2.3%

Nov 2025

0.4%

Monthly

Manufacturing Production m/m

2.1%

Nov 2025

0.4%

Monthly

Manufacturing Production y/y

2.1%

Nov 2025

-0.2%

Monthly

Business Investment q/q

3.9%

1 Q 2025

-3.2%

Quarterly

Business Investment y/y

6.1%

1 Q 2025

-0.7%

Quarterly

New Car Registrations m/m

322.4%

Mar 2026

-37.5%

Monthly

New Car Registrations y/y

6.6%

Mar 2026

7.2%

Monthly

S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI

53.6

Apr 2026

51.0

Monthly

S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI

52.0

Apr 2026

50.5

Monthly

S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI

45.6

Mar 2026

44.5

Monthly

S&P Global/CIPS All Sector PMI

49.5

Oct 2019

48.8

Monthly

S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI

52.0

Apr 2026

50.3

Monthly

Trade

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

£-18.791 B

Feb 2026

£-15.077 B

Monthly

Trade Balance Non-EU

£-7.097 B

Feb 2026

£-4.108 B

Monthly

Current Account

£-18.099 B

3 Q 2024

£-24.002 B

Quarterly

Government

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

Public Sector Net Borrowing

£11.578 B

Dec 2025

£10.941 B

Monthly

Public Sector Net Cash Requirement

£16.908 B

Dec 2025

£9.516 B

Monthly

GDP

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

0.7%

1 Q 2025

0.1%

Quarterly

1.3%

1 Q 2025

1.5%

Quarterly

0.5%

Feb 2026

0.1%

Monthly

0.5%

Feb 2026

0.3%

Monthly

NIESR GDP Estimate

0.6%

Mar 2026

0.5%

Monthly

Money

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

BoE Interest Rate Decision

3.75%

3.75%

BoE MPC Vote Cut

0

0

BoE MPC Vote Hike

0

4

BoE MPC Vote Unchanged

9

5

£875 B

£895 B

BoE Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q

£-13.765 B

4 Q 2025

£-11.171 B

Quarterly

BoE M4 Money Supply m/m

0.6%

Feb 2026

-0.1%

Monthly

Market

Last

Reference

Previous

Frequency

5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

4.228%

3.810%

10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

4.911%

4.585%

30-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

5.476%

5.104%

CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions

-52.0 K

21 Apr 2026

-54.7 K

Weekly