Overview

BTCUSD will rise to the nearest resistance level of 61625.25 (my broker's price). The average holding period is 3 days from now. It will likely rise at the market open on Monday or tomorrow at the earliest. Note: Follow the market.

my Analysis show this because the D1 signal is downtrend a little bit

XAUUSD H4 – Bias: 🔴 Bearish Reasoning Price remains inside a descending channel. Lower highs and lower lows confirm the downtrend. Resistance at 4022–4081 has not been reclaimed. Sellers continue to control momentum. SHORT Entry Zones Aggressive: 3980–4000 Conservative: 4020–4080 (retest of resistance) Stop Loss Above 4090 Take Profit Targets 3960 3940 3920 3890 (extended target) Invalidation H4 candle closes above 4081 , weakening the bearish structure. Verdict ✅ SHORT favored while price remains below 4022–4081 . 🎯 Target support zone: 3940–3920 . 🛑 Stop above 409

BTCUSD H1 Analysis BTCUSD has reached a key support zone after a sharp bearish move. Price is reacting near the Fibonacci retracement support and showing signs of a potential bullish rebound. A successful hold above the current low could trigger a recovery toward the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci resistance area. However, a break below support may extend the downtrend. Bias: Bullish Recovery Above Support Key Resistance: 60,500 – 62,300 Key Support: 58,700 – 59,200 Trade with proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.

XAUUSD H1 Analysis Gold remains under pressure but is approaching a major support zone near 4050. Price is trading below the descending trendline, yet a strong reaction from support could trigger a corrective rally toward the 4190–4235 resistance area. Bias: Bullish Correction Expected Key Support: 4050 – 4020 Key Resistance: 4190 – 4235 Watch for bullish confirmation at support before entering. Proper risk management is essential.

XAUUSD going bearish for sometime, however that can be done in one trading week or one trading day.

GBPUSD H1 Analysis GBPUSD is holding above a key support zone after completing a pullback within a bullish structure. Price is showing signs of recovery, and a break above the recent consolidation could open the way toward the 1.3250–1.3300 resistance area. Bias: Bullish Key Support: 1.3190 – 1.3170 Key Resistance: 1.3250 – 1.3300 Momentum favors buyers while support remains intact. Trade with proper risk management and confirmation.

BTCUSD H1 Analysis Price has broken below the descending trendline and is testing a key support zone around 62.0k–62.2k. A successful rebound from this area could trigger a corrective move toward 63.0k–64.0k resistance. However, sustained weakness below support may keep bearish pressure intact. Bias: Neutral to Bullish (if support holds) Key Support: 62,000 Key Resistance: 63,000 – 64,000 Trade with proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entry.

XAUUSD Analysis Price has reached a key demand zone after a sustained bearish move within a descending channel. The chart suggests a potential bullish reversal, with buyers defending support around 4090. A breakout above 4180–4200 could confirm recovery momentum and open the path for higher targets. 📈 Bias: Bullish Reversal 🎯 Target: 4200+ 🛡️ Support: 4090 ⚠️ Confirmation needed above resistance for sustained upside.

📊 EURUSD MACRO BIAS BREAKDOWN 📊 The fundamental valuation model for EURUSD has updated based on the latest central bank settings and economic data. Here is the structural look at what is driving the pair right now: 📈 Macro Bias Score: -12.11 (Scale -100 to +100) 🎯 Base Currency Strength: Quote currency stronger (USD advantage) 🚦 Final Signal: NEUTRAL / WAIT (Use as directional bias, not an immediate blind entry) 🔍 The Core Pillars: Interest Rate Differential (-4.11 Weighted): The Fed’s higher yields (3.62% vs 2.25%) heavily weigh against the Euro, making the USD structurally more attractive for carry. Central Bank Bias (-10.0 Weighted): A major driver. The ECB remains Neutral with no aggressive moves priced, while the Fed leans Hawkish (25 to 75bps hikes priced) due to sticky US

USD/JPY at 161.74 testing levels above the 160.00 intervention threshold as Fed Chairman Warsh signals a tighter policy path. Despite BoJ verbal warnings, the +275bp OIS carry advantage (SOFR 3.63% vs TONA 0.98%) sustains the bid. Retail sentiment is 85% short, diverging from the institutional carry-driven trend; this extreme retail shorting increases the risk of a squeeze higher toward 163.00 unless the BoJ intervenes. JPY COT LF net short -115,036 reflects crowded carry positioning. USD/JPY: 161.74, OIS Carry: +275bp, Retail: 85% Short

EUR/USD at 1.1464 exhibits an elevated vol risk premium (VRP) of +2.3%, with IV at 7.1% vs HV30 at 4.8%. This suggests the options market is pricing in significant protection relative to recent realized movement. COT LF net short -49,290 aligns with the +150bp USD carry advantage. The negative 25d RR (-0.67) confirms a persistent put skew, indicating that despite the 1W flat performance, the market remains biased toward EUR downside protection. EUR/USD VRP: +2.3%, COT EUR LF Net: -49,290, 25d RR: -0.67