Übersicht

XAUUSD H1 Bias: BUY Price has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum. Immediate support is around 4048–4053 . A retest of this zone could provide a buying opportunity. A sustained break above 4118 confirms further upside strength. Targets: 4118 → 4160–4165 (major resistance/supply zone). Invalidation: A drop below 3998 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of a deeper pullback. Conclusion: The H1 structure favors buying on pullbacks , with 4118 as the first target and 4160–4165 as the next bullish objective.

The daily price is located near and above Ichimoku cloud in the bullish area of the chart: Chinkou Span line of Ichimoku indicator already broke the historical price to above for the good breakout to be started, and the price crosses the Ichimoku cloud to above as well for the daily primary bullush reversal. If the price breaks resistance level at 158.71 so the strong bullish trend may be continuing. If the price crosses support level at 146.23 to 134.95 as the nearest possible target so primary bearish trend will be resumed. Alternatively, the price will be on secondary ranging to be near and inside Ichimoku cloud and within s/r channel waiting for direction of the strong trend to be started. Trading Summary : breakout with the possible daily bullish reversal

XAUUSD (Gold) – Bearish Continuation Setup Gold has broken below the symmetrical triangle formation, signalling a potential shift in momentum toward the downside. After the breakout, price is now trading within a regression channel, suggesting that sellers may continue to control the short-term structure. Key levels: Resistance: 4025–4045 area (breakdown/retest zone) Bearish confirmation: Continued rejection below the broken triangle support Downside target: 3800 region Scenario: If gold remains below the broken triangle support and the regression channel continues to hold, price may extend lower toward the 3800 area. Invalidation: A strong recovery back above the broken structure would weaken the bearish setup.

XAUUSD H1 Analysis Gold remains under bearish pressure after failing to hold above the Fibonacci resistance zone. Price is now retesting a key support area around 4020. A break below support could extend the downside, while a strong bounce may trigger a corrective recovery. 📉 Bias: Bearish 🎯 Targets: 4020 → 3980 ⚠️ Key Resistance: 4055–4105 Watch for confirmation at support before entering. Proper risk management is essential.

Wave Count The structure since the Primary [C] low at 1.2980 (Oct 2025) is straightforward once the higher degree is separated from the noise: Primary [W]: 1.2980 → 1.3860 (Jan 2026) — a completed advance off the October low. Primary [X] (in progress since Jan 2026) — a broad, seven-month double-three correction : Intermediate (A): 1.3860 → 1.3130 (Mar low) Intermediate (B): 1.3130 → 1.3650 (Apr high) Intermediate (C) / Wave (Y): 1.3650 → 1.3110 (Jun low), rejected again at 1.3550 (Jul high), now pressing back down toward the range floor. In short: Sterling has been chopping inside a 1.3110–1.3650 box for half a year, and the latest rejection from 1.3550 puts price back on the downside leg of that range , not on a fresh breakout. Primary Scenario — Bearish (favored) Wave (Y) of Primary [X]

Buy

XAUUSD H1 Bias: Bearish in the short term Trend: Price remains inside a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows. Resistance: 4078–4082 , then 4108–4112 (major supply zone). Support: 4045 , then 4016 (strong demand zone). Trade Idea (Sell): Entry: Sell on a pullback to 4078–4082 , or after a confirmed break below 4045 . Stop Loss: Above 4112 . Take Profit 1: 4045 Take Profit 2: 4016 Conclusion: The overall structure remains bearish. Unless price breaks and closes above 4112 , sellers maintain the advantage. A rejection from resistance or a breakdown below 4045 would strengthen the bearish continuation.

Gold is currently consolidating above a key support area around 4064–4072 . Price has already shown a reaction from this zone, and the recent structure suggests that buyers may be attempting to regain control. If the support area continues to hold and price breaks above the nearby resistance around 4079 , I will be watching for a potential bullish continuation toward the 4100–4120 area. This idea is invalidated if price breaks and holds below the key support zone.

GBPUSD (H1) Bias: Short-term Bullish Rebound Entry Zone: 1.3305 – 1.3315 Stop Loss: 1.3290 Take Profit 1: 1.3340 Take Profit 2: 1.3365 Take Profit 3: 1.3375 Analysis: Price is reacting from a strong support area around 1.3300–1.3310 . If buyers defend this level and price holds above support, a corrective move toward the 1.3365–1.3375 resistance zone is possible. The bullish setup is invalidated if H1 closes below 1.3300 .

Long — Last week's map wanted 24,715 and the tape refused to pay it — the break off Wednesday's 25,370 died at 24,784, 69 points short, and Friday bought the whole thing back to a green 25,172 close. A market that won't do the easy thing is loading the hard one. This morning it gapped onto 25,370, last week's exact ceiling, held the retest 42 points above Friday's 25,228 high, and folded weekly R1 at 25,436 before lunch. Here is the mechanism behind the speed: resistance is inventory — prices where somebody owns something and defends it — and above 25,370 there is none. July 8 crossed the entire 25,000–25,660 corridor in one 703-point session on 34,226 lots, the heaviest day of the month, and in the thirteen sessions since, nothing above 25,370 has traded at all. That vacuum is why 300

 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD  Correction Before a Decline ——————————————— GOLD remains under pressure from the broader bearish trend. However, within this primary direction, the market is developing a sideways range and a countertrend correction. A stronger U.S. dollar could once again weigh on the metal Gold has received temporary support from the recent geopolitical pause and a softer U.S. dollar. However, the sustainability of the recovery remains uncertain as markets await the upcoming Federal Reserve decision and further developments in the Middle East. Technical indicators continue to point to a bearish bias, limiting buyers' appetite. Bullish drivers: Further U.S. dollar weakness, Geopolitical de-escalation, Lower oil prices and bond yields, A dovish signal from the

XAUUSD H1 Analysis Gold is attempting a bullish recovery after finding support near the recent swing low. Price is trading above key Fibonacci support, but buyers must clear the 4095–4130 resistance zone to confirm a trend reversal. A successful breakout could fuel further upside. 📈 Bias: Bullish Recovery 🎯 Targets: 4095 → 4130 ⚠️ Key Support: 4025–4000 Wait for a confirmed breakout or a pullback to support before entering. Always use proper risk management.