Econometric tools for forecasting volatility: GARCH model
Econometric tools for forecasting volatility: GARCH model
The article describes the properties of the non-linear model of conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH). The iGARCH indicator has been built on its basis for predicting volatility one step ahead. The ALGLIB numerical analysis library is used to estimate the model parameters.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 6): Mean Reversion Signal Reaper
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 6): Mean Reversion Signal Reaper
While some concepts may seem straightforward at first glance, bringing them to life in practice can be quite challenging. In the article below, we'll take you on a journey through our innovative approach to automating an Expert Advisor (EA) that skillfully analyzes the market using a mean reversion strategy. Join us as we unravel the intricacies of this exciting automation process.
MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 5): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with Position Functions
MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 5): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with Position Functions
Discover how to create exportable EX5 functions to efficiently query and save historical position data. In this step-by-step guide, we will expand the History Management EX5 library by developing modules that retrieve key properties of the most recently closed position. These include net profit, trade duration, pip-based stop loss, take profit, profit values, and various other important details.
Building a Candlestick Trend Constraint Model (Part 10): Strategic Golden and Death Cross (EA)
Building a Candlestick Trend Constraint Model (Part 10): Strategic Golden and Death Cross (EA)
Did you know that the Golden Cross and Death Cross strategies, based on moving average crossovers, are some of the most reliable indicators for identifying long-term market trends? A Golden Cross signals a bullish trend when a shorter moving average crosses above a longer one, while a Death Cross indicates a bearish trend when the shorter average moves below. Despite their simplicity and effectiveness, manually applying these strategies often leads to missed opportunities or delayed trades.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 51): Reinforcement Learning with SAC
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 51): Reinforcement Learning with SAC
Soft Actor Critic is a Reinforcement Learning algorithm that utilizes 3 neural networks. An actor network and 2 critic networks. These machine learning models are paired in a master slave partnership where the critics are modelled to improve the forecast accuracy of the actor network. While also introducing ONNX in these series, we explore how these ideas could be put to test as a custom signal of a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
Integrate Your Own LLM into EA (Part 5): Develop and Test Trading Strategy with LLMs (III) – Adapter-Tuning
Integrate Your Own LLM into EA (Part 5): Develop and Test Trading Strategy with LLMs (III) – Adapter-Tuning
With the rapid development of artificial intelligence today, language models (LLMs) are an important part of artificial intelligence, so we should think about how to integrate powerful LLMs into our algorithmic trading. For most people, it is difficult to fine-tune these powerful models according to their needs, deploy them locally, and then apply them to algorithmic trading. This series of articles will take a step-by-step approach to achieve this goal.
Integrating Discord with MetaTrader 5: Building a Trading Bot with Real-Time Notifications
Integrating Discord with MetaTrader 5: Building a Trading Bot with Real-Time Notifications
In this article, we will see how to integrate MetaTrader 5 and a discord server in order to receive trading notifications in real time from any location. We will see how to configure the platform and Discord to enable the delivery of alerts to Discord. We will also cover security issues which arise in connection with the use of WebRequests and webhooks for such alerting solutions.
Mastering File Operations in MQL5: From Basic I/O to Building a Custom CSV Reader
Mastering File Operations in MQL5: From Basic I/O to Building a Custom CSV Reader
This article focuses on essential MQL5 file-handling techniques, spanning trade logs, CSV processing, and external data integration. It offers both conceptual understanding and hands-on coding guidance. Readers will learn to build a custom CSV importer class step-by-step, gaining practical skills for real-world applications.
Automating Trading Strategies in MQL5 (Part 2): The Kumo Breakout System with Ichimoku and Awesome Oscillator
Automating Trading Strategies in MQL5 (Part 2): The Kumo Breakout System with Ichimoku and Awesome Oscillator
In this article, we create an Expert Advisor (EA) that automates the Kumo Breakout strategy using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator and the Awesome Oscillator. We walk through the process of initializing indicator handles, detecting breakout conditions, and coding automated trade entries and exits. Additionally, we implement trailing stops and position management logic to enhance the EA's performance and adaptability to market conditions.
Build Self Optimizing Expert Advisors in MQL5 (Part 2): USDJPY Scalping Strategy
Build Self Optimizing Expert Advisors in MQL5 (Part 2): USDJPY Scalping Strategy
Join us today as we challenge ourselves to build a trading strategy around the USDJPY pair. We will trade candlestick patterns that are formed on the daily time frame because they potentially have more strength behind them. Our initial strategy was profitable, which encouraged us to continue refining the strategy and adding extra layers of safety, to protect the capital gained.
Across Neighbourhood Search (ANS)
Across Neighbourhood Search (ANS)
The article reveals the potential of the ANS algorithm as an important step in the development of flexible and intelligent optimization methods that can take into account the specifics of the problem and the dynamics of the environment in the search space.
Building a Candlestick Trend Constraint Model (Part 9): Multiple Strategies Expert Advisor (III)
Building a Candlestick Trend Constraint Model (Part 9): Multiple Strategies Expert Advisor (III)
Welcome to the third installment of our trend series! Today, we’ll delve into the use of divergence as a strategy for identifying optimal entry points within the prevailing daily trend. We’ll also introduce a custom profit-locking mechanism, similar to a trailing stop-loss, but with unique enhancements. In addition, we’ll upgrade the Trend Constraint Expert to a more advanced version, incorporating a new trade execution condition to complement the existing ones. As we move forward, we’ll continue to explore the practical application of MQL5 in algorithmic development, providing you with more in-depth insights and actionable techniques.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 5): Volatility Navigator EA
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 5): Volatility Navigator EA
Determining market direction can be straightforward, but knowing when to enter can be challenging. As part of the series titled "Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development", I am excited to introduce another tool that provides entry points, take profit levels, and stop loss placements. To achieve this, we have utilized the MQL5 programming language. Let’s delve into each step in this article.
Portfolio Risk Model using Kelly Criterion and Monte Carlo Simulation
Portfolio Risk Model using Kelly Criterion and Monte Carlo Simulation
For decades, traders have been using the Kelly Criterion formula to determine the optimal proportion of capital to allocate to an investment or bet to maximize long-term growth while minimizing the risk of ruin. However, blindly following Kelly Criterion using the result of a single backtest is often dangerous for individual traders, as in live trading, trading edge diminishes over time, and past performance is no predictor of future result. In this article, I will present a realistic approach to applying the Kelly Criterion for one or more EA's risk allocation in MetaTrader 5, incorporating Monte Carlo simulation results from Python.
Neural Network in Practice: Pseudoinverse (I)
Neural Network in Practice: Pseudoinverse (I)
Today we will begin to consider how to implement the calculation of pseudo-inverse in pure MQL5 language. The code we are going to look at will be much more complex for beginners than I expected, and I'm still figuring out how to explain it in a simple way. So for now, consider this an opportunity to learn some unusual code. Calmly and attentively. Although it is not aimed at efficient or quick application, its goal is to be as didactic as possible.
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part VIII): Analytics Panel
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part VIII): Analytics Panel
Today, we delve into incorporating useful trading metrics within a specialized window integrated into the Admin Panel EA. This discussion focuses on the implementation of MQL5 to develop an Analytics Panel and highlights the value of the data it provides to trading administrators. The impact is largely educational, as valuable lessons are drawn from the development process, benefiting both upcoming and experienced developers. This feature demonstrates the limitless opportunities this development series offers in equipping trade managers with advanced software tools. Additionally, we'll explore the implementation of the PieChart and ChartCanvas classes as part of the continued expansion of the Trading Administrator panel’s capabilities.
Utilizing CatBoost Machine Learning model as a Filter for Trend-Following Strategies
Utilizing CatBoost Machine Learning model as a Filter for Trend-Following Strategies
CatBoost is a powerful tree-based machine learning model that specializes in decision-making based on stationary features. Other tree-based models like XGBoost and Random Forest share similar traits in terms of their robustness, ability to handle complex patterns, and interpretability. These models have a wide range of uses, from feature analysis to risk management. In this article, we're going to walk through the procedure of utilizing a trained CatBoost model as a filter for a classic moving average cross trend-following strategy.
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 5): Enhancing the Dashboard with Responsive Controls and Filter Buttons
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 5): Enhancing the Dashboard with Responsive Controls and Filter Buttons
In this article, we create buttons for currency pair filters, importance levels, time filters, and a cancel option to improve dashboard control. These buttons are programmed to respond dynamically to user actions, allowing seamless interaction. We also automate their behavior to reflect real-time changes on the dashboard. This enhances the overall functionality, mobility, and responsiveness of the panel.
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 12): EURUSD Breakout Strategy
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 12): EURUSD Breakout Strategy
Join us today as we challenge ourselves to build a profitable break-out trading strategy in MQL5. We selected the EURUSD pair and attempted to trade price breakouts on the hourly timeframe. Our system had difficulty distinguishing between false breakouts and the beginning of true trends. We layered our system with filters intended to minimize our losses whilst increasing our gains. In the end, we successfully made our system profitable and less prone to false breakouts.
Trading Insights Through Volume: Trend Confirmation
Trading Insights Through Volume: Trend Confirmation
The Enhanced Trend Confirmation Technique combines price action, volume analysis, and machine learning to identify genuine market movements. It requires both price breakouts and volume surges (50% above average) for trade validation, while using an LSTM neural network for additional confirmation. The system employs ATR-based position sizing and dynamic risk management, making it adaptable to various market conditions while filtering out false signals.
Introduction to MQL5 (Part 10): A Beginner's Guide to Working with Built-in Indicators in MQL5
Introduction to MQL5 (Part 10): A Beginner's Guide to Working with Built-in Indicators in MQL5
This article introduces working with built-in indicators in MQL5, focusing on creating an RSI-based Expert Advisor (EA) using a project-based approach. You'll learn to retrieve and utilize RSI values, handle liquidity sweeps, and enhance trade visualization using chart objects. Additionally, the article emphasizes effective risk management, including setting percentage-based risk, implementing risk-reward ratios, and applying risk modifications to secure profits.
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 4): Implementing Real-Time News Updates in the Dashboard
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 4): Implementing Real-Time News Updates in the Dashboard
This article enhances our Economic Calendar dashboard by implementing real-time news updates to keep market information current and actionable. We integrate live data fetching techniques in MQL5 to update events on the dashboard continuously, improving the responsiveness of the interface. This update ensures that we can access the latest economic news directly from the dashboard, optimizing trading decisions based on the freshest data.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 3): Analytics Master — EA
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 3): Analytics Master — EA
Moving from a simple trading script to a fully functioning Expert Advisor (EA) can significantly enhance your trading experience. Imagine having a system that automatically monitors your charts, performs essential calculations in the background, and provides regular updates every two hours. This EA would be equipped to analyze key metrics that are crucial for making informed trading decisions, ensuring that you have access to the most current information to adjust your strategies effectively.
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 3): Adding Currency, Importance, and Time Filters
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 3): Adding Currency, Importance, and Time Filters
In this article, we implement filters in the MQL5 Economic Calendar dashboard to refine news event displays by currency, importance, and time. We first establish filter criteria for each category and then integrate these into the dashboard to display only relevant events. Finally, we ensure each filter dynamically updates to provide traders with focused, real-time economic insights.
Neural Networks Made Easy (Part 94): Optimizing the Input Sequence
Neural Networks Made Easy (Part 94): Optimizing the Input Sequence
When working with time series, we always use the source data in their historical sequence. But is this the best option? There is an opinion that changing the sequence of the input data will improve the efficiency of the trained models. In this article I invite you to get acquainted with one of the methods for optimizing the input sequence.
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part VII): Trusted User, Recovery and Cryptography
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part VII): Trusted User, Recovery and Cryptography
Security prompts, such as those triggered every time you refresh the chart, add a new pair to the chat with the Admin Panel EA, or restart the terminal, can become tedious. In this discussion, we will explore and implement a feature that tracks the number of login attempts to identify a trusted user. After a set number of failed attempts, the application will transition to an advanced login procedure, which also facilitates passcode recovery for users who may have forgotten it. Additionally, we will cover how cryptography can be effectively integrated into the Admin Panel to enhance security.