This article describes the fundamentals of portfolio-level statistical arbitrage. Its goal is to facilitate the understanding of the principles of statistical arbitrage to readers without deep math knowledge and propose a starting point conceptual framework. The article includes a working Expert Advisor, some notes about its one-year backtest, and the respective backtest configuration settings (.ini file) for the reproduction of the experiment.
Direct point cloud analysis avoids unnecessary data growth and improves the performance of models in classification and segmentation tasks. Such approaches demonstrate high performance and robustness to perturbations in the original data.
We continue studying the Hierarchical Vector Transformer method. In this article, we will complete the construction of the model. We will also train and test it on real historical data.
We continue our last article on DDPG with MA and stochastic indicators by examining other key Reinforcement Learning classes crucial for implementing DDPG. Though we are mostly coding in python, the final product, of a trained network will be exported to as an ONNX to MQL5 where we integrate it as a resource in a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
In this article, we automate the Head and Shoulders pattern in MQL5. We analyze its architecture, implement an EA to detect and trade it, and backtest the results. The process reveals a practical trading algorithm with room for refinement.
Moving Average and Stochastic Oscillator are very common indicators whose collective patterns we explored in the prior article, via a supervised learning network, to see which “patterns-would-stick”. We take our analyses from that article, a step further by considering the effects' reinforcement learning, when used with this trained network, would have on performance. Readers should note our testing is over a very limited time window. Nonetheless, we continue to harness the minimal coding requirements afforded by the MQL5 wizard in showcasing this.
We invite you to get acquainted with the Hierarchical Vector Transformer (HiVT) method, which was developed for fast and accurate forecasting of multimodal time series.
In this article, we build an MQL5 trading system that automates order block detection for Smart Money trading. We outline the strategy’s rules, implement the logic in MQL5, and integrate risk management for effective trade execution. Finally, we backtest the system to assess its performance and refine it for optimal results.
Understanding agent behavior is important in many different areas, but most methods focus on just one of the tasks (understanding, noise removal, or prediction), which reduces their effectiveness in real-world scenarios. In this article, we will get acquainted with a model that can adapt to solving various problems.
NumPy library is powering almost all the machine learning algorithms to the core in Python programming language, In this article we are going to implement a similar module which has a collection of all the complex code to aid us in building sophisticated models and algorithms of any kind.
In this article, we enhance the original Quarters Script by introducing the Quarters Board, a tool that lets you toggle quarter levels directly on the chart without needing to revisit the code. You can easily activate or deactivate specific levels, and the EA also provides trend direction commentary to help you better understand market movements.
The Darvas Box Breakout Strategy, created by Nicolas Darvas, is a technical trading approach that spots potential buy signals when a stock’s price rises above a set "box" range, suggesting strong upward momentum. In this article, we will apply this strategy concept as an example to explore three advanced machine learning techniques. These include using a machine learning model to generate signals rather than to filter trades, employing continuous signals rather than discrete ones, and using models trained on different timeframes to confirm trades.
Join us for an in-depth discussion on the latest advancements in MQL5 interface design as we unveil the redesigned Communications Panel and continue our series on building the New Admin Panel using modularization principles. We'll develop the CommunicationsDialog class step by step, thoroughly explaining how to inherit it from the Dialog class. Additionally, we'll leverage arrays and ListView class in our development. Gain actionable insights to elevate your MQL5 development skills—read through the article and join the discussion in the comments section!
Currently, our EA uses the database to obtain initialization strings for single instances of trading strategies. However, the database is quite large and contains a lot of information that is not needed for the actual EA operation. Let's try to ensure the EA's functionality without a mandatory connection to the database.
In this article, I would like to introduce you to an interesting trajectory prediction method developed to solve problems in the field of autonomous vehicle movements. The authors of the method combined the best elements of various architectural solutions.
In this article, we develop a multi-level grid trading system EA using MQL5, focusing on the architecture and algorithm design behind grid trading strategies. We explore the implementation of multi-layered grid logic and risk management techniques to handle varying market conditions. Finally, we provide detailed explanations and practical tips to guide you through building, testing, and refining the automated trading system.
A large number of the models we have reviewed so far are based on the Transformer architecture. However, they may be inefficient when dealing with long sequences. And in this article, we will get acquainted with an alternative direction of time series forecasting based on state space models.
Traders often face drawdowns from false signals, while waiting for confirmation can lead to missed opportunities. This article introduces a triangular trading strategy using Silver’s pricing in Dollars (XAGUSD) and Euros (XAGEUR), along with the EURUSD exchange rate, to filter out noise. By leveraging cross-market relationships, traders can uncover hidden sentiment and refine their entries in real time.
The Fractals by Bill Williams is a potent indicator that is easy to overlook when one initially spots it on a price chart. It appears too busy and probably not incisive enough. We aim to draw away this curtain on this indicator by examining what its various patterns could accomplish when examined with forward walk tests on all, with wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
This article guides you through building a custom Heikin Ashi indicator from scratch and demonstrates how to integrate custom indicators into an EA. It covers indicator calculations, trade execution logic, and risk management techniques to enhance automated trading strategies.
In this article, we develop an Expert Advisor in MQL5 for the Trend Flat Momentum Strategy. We combine a two moving averages crossover with RSI and CCI momentum filters to generate trade signals. We also cover backtesting and potential enhancements for real-world performance.
Points of support and resistance are critical levels that signal potential trend reversals and continuations. Although identifying these levels can be challenging, once you pinpoint them, you’re well-prepared to navigate the market. For further assistance, check out the Quarters Drawer tool featured in this article, it will help you identify both primary and minor support and resistance levels.
In this article, we implement automated trade entry using the MQL5 Economic Calendar by applying user-defined filters and time offsets to identify qualifying news events. We compare forecast and previous values to determine whether to open a BUY or SELL trade. Dynamic countdown timers display the remaining time until news release and reset automatically after a trade.
In this article, we build an Expert Advisor in MQL5 for the Asian Breakout Strategy by calculating the session's high and low and applying trend filtering with a moving average. We implement dynamic object styling, user-defined time inputs, and robust risk management. Finally, we demonstrate backtesting and optimization techniques to refine the program.
Replay buffers in Reinforcement Learning are particularly important with off-policy algorithms like DQN or SAC. This then puts the spotlight on the sampling process of this memory-buffer. While default options with SAC, for instance, use random selection from this buffer, Prioritized Experience Replay buffers fine tune this by sampling from the buffer based on a TD-score. We review the importance of Reinforcement Learning, and, as always, examine just this hypothesis (not the cross-validation) in a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
In this article, we build an MQL5 Expert Advisor to detect Butterfly harmonic patterns. We identify pivot points and validate Fibonacci levels to confirm the pattern. We then visualize the pattern on the chart and automatically execute trades when confirmed.
Most modern multimodal time series forecasting methods use the independent channels approach. This ignores the natural dependence of different channels of the same time series. Smart use of two approaches (independent and mixed channels) is the key to improving the performance of the models.
We continue our acquaintance with the TEMPO method. In this article we will evaluate the actual effectiveness of the proposed approaches on real historical data.
In this article, we build a grid trading expert advisor in MQL5 that uses dynamic lot scaling. We cover the strategy design, code implementation, and backtesting process. Finally, we share key insights and best practices for optimizing the automated trading system.
Soft Actor Critic is a Reinforcement Learning algorithm that we looked at in a previous article, where we also introduced python and ONNX to these series as efficient approaches to training networks. We revisit the algorithm with the aim of exploiting tensors, computational graphs that are often exploited in Python.
We continue to study time series forecasting models. In this article, we get acquainted with a complex algorithm built on the use of a pre-trained language model.
In strategy development, there are many intricate details to consider, many of which are not highlighted for beginner traders. As a result, many traders, myself included, have had to learn these lessons the hard way. This article is based on my observations of common pitfalls that most beginner traders encounter when developing strategies on MQL5. It will offer a range of tips, tricks, and examples to help identify the disqualification of an EA and test the robustness of our own EAs in an easy-to-implement way. The goal is to educate readers, helping them avoid future scams when purchasing EAs as well as preventing mistakes in their own strategy development.
In this article, we automate order block detection in MQL5 using pure price action analysis. We define order blocks, implement their detection, and integrate automated trade execution. Finally, we backtest the strategy to evaluate its performance.
Lightweight time series forecasting models achieve high performance using a minimum number of parameters. This, in turn, reduces the consumption of computing resources and speeds up decision-making. Despite being lightweight, such models achieve forecast quality comparable to more complex ones.
In this article, we take our second attempt to convert the changes in price levels on any market, into a corresponding change in angle. This time around, we selected a more mathematically sophisticated approach than we selected in our first attempt, and the results we obtained suggest that our change in approach may have been the right decision. Join us today, as we discuss how we can use Polar coordinates to calculate the angle formed by changes in price levels, in a meaningful way, regardless of which market you are analyzing.
One of the directions for increasing the efficiency of the model training and convergence process is the improvement of optimization methods. Adam-mini is an adaptive optimization method designed to improve on the basic Adam algorithm.
The best practices, defining how to safely us an indicator, are not always easy to follow. Quiet market conditions may surprisingly produce readings on the indicator that do not qualify as a trading signal, leading to missed opportunities for algorithmic traders. This article will suggest a potential solution to this problem, as we discuss how to build trading applications capable of adapting their trading rules to the available market data.
In this article, we develop the Adaptive Crossover RSI Trading Suite System, which uses 14- and 50-period moving average crossovers for signals, confirmed by a 14-period RSI filter. The system includes a trading day filter, signal arrows with annotations, and a real-time dashboard for monitoring. This approach ensures precision and adaptability in automated trading.
The Market Facilitation Index is another Bill Williams Indicator that is intended to measure the efficiency of price movement in tandem with volume. As always, we look at the various patterns of this indicator within the confines of a wizard assembly signal class, and present a variety of test reports and analyses for the various patterns.
The EA under development is expected to show good results when trading with different brokers. But for now we have been using quotes from a MetaQuotes demo account to perform tests. Let's see if our EA is ready to work on a trading account with different quotes compared to those used during testing and optimization.
