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Population optimization algorithms
Population optimization algorithms
This is an introductory article on optimization algorithm (OA) classification. The article attempts to create a test stand (a set of functions), which is to be used for comparing OAs and, perhaps, identifying the most universal algorithm out of all widely known ones.
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 06): Gradient Descent
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 06): Gradient Descent
The gradient descent plays a significant role in training neural networks and many machine learning algorithms. It is a quick and intelligent algorithm despite its impressive work it is still misunderstood by a lot of data scientists let's see what it is all about.
Neural networks made easy (Part 21): Variational autoencoders (VAE)
Neural networks made easy (Part 21): Variational autoencoders (VAE)
In the last article, we got acquainted with the Autoencoder algorithm. Like any other algorithm, it has its advantages and disadvantages. In its original implementation, the autoenctoder is used to separate the objects from the training sample as much as possible. This time we will talk about how to deal with some of its disadvantages.
Matrix and Vector operations in MQL5
Matrix and Vector operations in MQL5
Matrices and vectors have been introduced in MQL5 for efficient operations with mathematical solutions. The new types offer built-in methods for creating concise and understandable code that is close to mathematical notation. Arrays provide extensive capabilities, but there are many cases in which matrices are much more efficient.
Neural networks made easy (Part 14): Data clustering
Neural networks made easy (Part 14): Data clustering
It has been more than a year since I published my last article. This is quite a lot time to revise ideas and to develop new approaches. In the new article, I would like to divert from the previously used supervised learning method. This time we will dip into unsupervised learning algorithms. In particular, we will consider one of the clustering algorithms—k-means.
Neural networks made easy (Part 17): Dimensionality reduction
Neural networks made easy (Part 17): Dimensionality reduction
In this part we continue discussing Artificial Intelligence models. Namely, we study unsupervised learning algorithms. We have already discussed one of the clustering algorithms. In this article, I am sharing a variant of solving problems related to dimensionality reduction.
Neural networks made easy (Part 20): Autoencoders
Neural networks made easy (Part 20): Autoencoders
We continue to study unsupervised learning algorithms. Some readers might have questions regarding the relevance of recent publications to the topic of neural networks. In this new article, we get back to studying neural networks.
MQL5 Wizard techniques you should know (Part 01): Regression Analysis
MQL5 Wizard techniques you should know (Part 01): Regression Analysis
Todays trader is a philomath who is almost always (either consciously or not...) looking up new ideas, trying them out, choosing to modify them or discard them; an exploratory process that should cost a fair amount of diligence. This clearly places a premium on the trader's time and the need to avoid mistakes. These series of articles will proposition that the MQL5 wizard should be a mainstay for traders. Why? Because not only does the trader save time by assembling his new ideas with the MQL5 wizard, and greatly reduce mistakes from duplicate coding; he is ultimately set-up to channel his energy on the few critical areas of his trading philosophy.
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 05): Decision Trees
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 05): Decision Trees
Decision trees imitate the way humans think to classify data. Let's see how to build trees and use them to classify and predict some data. The main goal of the decision trees algorithm is to separate the data with impurity and into pure or close to nodes.
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 04): Predicting Current Stock Market Crash
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 04): Predicting Current Stock Market Crash
In this article I am going to attempt to use our logistic model to predict the stock market crash based upon the fundamentals of the US economy, the NETFLIX and APPLE are the stocks we are going to focus on, Using the previous market crashes of 2019 and 2020 let's see how our model will perform in the current dooms and glooms.
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 03): Matrix Regressions
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 03): Matrix Regressions
This time our models are being made by matrices, which allows flexibility while it allows us to make powerful models that can handle not only five independent variables but also many variables as long as we stay within the calculations limits of a computer, this article is going to be an interesting read, that's for sure.
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 01): Linear Regression
Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 01): Linear Regression
It's time for us as traders to train our systems and ourselves to make decisions based on what number says. Not on our eyes, and what our guts make us believe, this is where the world is heading so, let us move perpendicular to the direction of the wave.
Bid/Ask spread analysis in MetaTrader 5
Bid/Ask spread analysis in MetaTrader 5
An indicator to report your brokers Bid/Ask spread levels. Now we can use MT5s tick data to analyze what the historic true average Bid/Ask spread actually have recently been. You shouldn't need to look at the current spread because that is available if you show both bid and ask price lines.
An Analysis of Why Expert Advisors Fail
An Analysis of Why Expert Advisors Fail
This article presents an analysis of currency data to better understand why expert advisors can have good performance in some regions of time and poor performance in other regions of time.
Neural networks made easy (Part 19): Association rules using MQL5
Neural networks made easy (Part 19): Association rules using MQL5
We continue considering association rules. In the previous article, we have discussed theoretical aspect of this type of problem. In this article, I will show the implementation of the FP Growth method using MQL5. We will also test the implemented solution using real data.
The price movement model and its main provisions (Part 1): The simplest model version and its applications
The price movement model and its main provisions (Part 1): The simplest model version and its applications
The article provides the foundations of a mathematically rigorous price movement and market functioning theory. Up to the present, we have not had any mathematically rigorous price movement theory. Instead, we have had to deal with experience-based assumptions stating that the price moves in a certain way after a certain pattern. Of course, these assumptions have been supported neither by statistics, nor by theory.
Neural networks made easy (Part 18): Association rules
Neural networks made easy (Part 18): Association rules
As a continuation of this series of articles, let's consider another type of problems within unsupervised learning methods: mining association rules. This problem type was first used in retail, namely supermarkets, to analyze market baskets. In this article, we will talk about the applicability of such algorithms in trading.
Mathematics in trading: Sharpe and Sortino ratios
Mathematics in trading: Sharpe and Sortino ratios
Return on investments is the most obvious indicator which investors and novice traders use for the analysis of trading efficiency. Professional traders use more reliable tools to analyze strategies, such as Sharpe and Sortino ratios, among others.
The correct way to choose an Expert Advisor from the Market
The correct way to choose an Expert Advisor from the Market
In this article, we will consider some of the essential points you should pay attention to when purchasing an Expert Advisor. We will also look for ways to increase profit, to spend money wisely, and to earn from this spending. Also, after reading the article, you will see that it is possible to earn even using simple and free products.
Visual evaluation of optimization results
Visual evaluation of optimization results
In this article, we will consider how to build graphs of all optimization passes and to select the optimal custom criterion. We will also see how to create a desired solution with little MQL5 knowledge, using the articles published on the website and forum comments.
Combinatorics and probability for trading (Part V): Curve analysis
Combinatorics and probability for trading (Part V): Curve analysis
In this article, I decided to conduct a study related to the possibility of reducing multiple states to double-state systems. The main purpose of the article is to analyze and to come to useful conclusions that may help in the further development of scalable trading algorithms based on the probability theory. Of course, this topic involves mathematics. However, given the experience of previous articles, I see that generalized information is more useful than details.
Combinatorics and probability for trading (Part IV): Bernoulli Logic
Combinatorics and probability for trading (Part IV): Bernoulli Logic
In this article, I decided to highlight the well-known Bernoulli scheme and to show how it can be used to describe trading-related data arrays. All this will then be used to create a self-adapting trading system. We will also look for a more generic algorithm, a special case of which is the Bernoulli formula, and will find an application for it.
Multilayer perceptron and backpropagation algorithm (Part II): Implementation in Python and integration with MQL5
Multilayer perceptron and backpropagation algorithm (Part II): Implementation in Python and integration with MQL5
There is a Python package available for developing integrations with MQL, which enables a plethora of opportunities such as data exploration, creation and use of machine learning models. The built in Python integration in MQL5 enables the creation of various solutions, from simple linear regression to deep learning models. Let's take a look at how to set up and prepare a development environment and how to use use some of the machine learning libraries.
Combinatorics and probability theory for trading (Part III): The first mathematical model
Combinatorics and probability theory for trading (Part III): The first mathematical model
A logical continuation of the earlier discussed topic would be the development of multifunctional mathematical models for trading tasks. In this article, I will describe the entire process related to the development of the first mathematical model describing fractals, from scratch. This model should become an important building block and be multifunctional and universal. It will build up our theoretical basis for further development of this idea.
Combinatorics and probability theory for trading (Part I): The basics
Combinatorics and probability theory for trading (Part I): The basics
In this series of article, we will try to find a practical application of probability theory to describe trading and pricing processes. In the first article, we will look into the basics of combinatorics and probability, and will analyze the first example of how to apply fractals in the framework of the probability theory.
Patterns with Examples (Part I): Multiple Top
Patterns with Examples (Part I): Multiple Top
This is the first article in a series related to reversal patterns in the framework of algorithmic trading. We will begin with the most interesting pattern family, which originate from the Double Top and Double Bottom patterns.
Brute force approach to pattern search (Part III): New horizons
Brute force approach to pattern search (Part III): New horizons
This article provides a continuation to the brute force topic, and it introduces new opportunities for market analysis into the program algorithm, thereby accelerating the speed of analysis and improving the quality of results. New additions enable the highest-quality view of global patterns within this approach.