We are going to create a matrix forecasting model based on a Markov chain. What are Markov chains, and how can we use a Markov chain for Forex trading?
The article presents an MQL5 method for detecting psychological round numbers by converting prices to strings and counting trailing zeros (ZeroSize). It outlines the theory of institutional liquidity at integers, explains the GetZeroCount logic with tick-size normalization to avoid floating‑point errors, and details hierarchical visualization. Case studies across forex, metals, and crypto, plus timeframe filters and inputs, show how to use confluence and basic risk controls in practice.
We expand the capabilities of the MetaTrader 5 butterfly curve canvas by adding multi-layered wing fills, vein lines, scale dots, and a full body (abdomen, thorax, head, eyes, antennae). This article implements polygon fills with vertical and radial gradients, as well as filled circles and ellipses, all using supersampling antialiasing. You will also receive reusable MQL5 helper functions and a rendering order that transforms a simple curve into a customizable, detailed chart illustration.
An MQL5 control system that blocks orders outside scheduled trading hours and during scheduled news releases, converting time rules into executable restrictions. It combines a permissions management mechanism, a transaction-level expert advisor, and a visual dashboard for real-time status and upcoming restrictions. Configuration is accomplished using editable files, with caching and a CSV audit log for traceability.
This article implements an MQL5 module that analyzes the lower‑timeframe bars inside each liquidity‑zone base candle. It detects swing points and applies objective rules to classify the internal structure as an ascending, descending, or symmetrical triangle; a rectangle; M; W; or undefined. The indicator displays geometry labels on the chart and adds the pattern to alerts, reducing manual lower‑timeframe inspection.
We implement an MQL5 expert advisor that detects order blocks formed after consolidation breakouts and confirms them with fair value gaps. Each zone is validated by a break of structure and a preceding inducement, then filtered by the higher-timeframe trend. The program adds mitigation tracking, risk-based lot sizing, and two trailing stop modes, providing clear on-chart visuals and backtest-ready trade execution logic.
In this article, we expand our butterfly animation program with a four-stage animation pipeline: sequential curve drawing, smooth wing fill fading, detailed body rendering, and continuous flight. We implement a timer-driven state machine, four oscillators for wing flapping, vertical bobbing, horizontal sway, and tilt, as well as a neon glow around the wing outlines and a cyclical color change based on hue. You will learn how to structure these effects on the MetaTrader 5 canvas for clean and controlled playback.
The CATCH framework combines Fourier transform and frequency patching to accurately identify market anomalies beyond the reach of traditional methods. Let us examine how this approach reveals hidden patterns in financial data.
This article presents a custom MQL5 money management class that adapts position sizing to real-time volatility using a monotonic queue for O(N) sliding-window extremes. The class applies inverse volatility scaling and optionally validates risk with an RBF network. We show implementation details in the Optimize method and compare results with the inbuilt Size-Optimized class to assess latency and risk control benefits.
This article proposes using Rolling Windows Eigenvector Comparison for early imbalance diagnostics and portfolio rebalancing in a mean-reversion statistical arbitrage strategy based on cointegrated stocks. It contrasts this technique with traditional In-Sample/Out-of-Sample ADF validation, showing that eigenvector shifts can signal the need for rebalancing even when IS/OOS ADF still indicates a stationary spread. While the method is intended mainly for live trading monitoring, the article concludes that eigenvector comparison could also be integrated into the scoring system—though its actual contribution to performance remains to be tested.
This article explains the design of a prop-firm Expert Advisor for GOLD, featuring breakout filters, multi-timeframe analysis, robust risk management, and strict drawdown protection. The EA helps traders pass prop-firm challenges by avoiding rule breaches and stabilizing trade execution under volatile market conditions.
This article shows how to simplify complex MQL5 file operations by building a Python-style interface for effortless reading and writing. It explains how to recreate Python’s intuitive file-handling patterns through custom functions and classes. The result is a cleaner, more reliable approach to MQL5 file I/O.
This article describes the use of CSV files for backtesting portfolio weights updates in a mean-reversion-based strategy that uses statistical arbitrage through cointegrated stocks. It goes from feeding the database with the results of a Rolling Windows Eigenvector Comparison (RWEC) to comparing the backtest reports. In the meantime, the article details the role of each RWEC parameter and its impact in the overall backtest result, showing how the comparison of the relative drawdown can help us to further improve those parameters.
This is a specialized trend-following EA that makes both short and long-term analyses, trading decisions, and executions based on the overall trend and its strength. This article will explore in detail an EA that is specifically designed for traders who are patient, disciplined, and focused enough to only execute trades and hold their positions only when trading with strength and in the trend direction without changing their bias frequently, especially against the trend, until take-profit targets are hit.
This article explores a method that combines Heikin‑Ashi smoothing with EMA20 High and Low boundaries and an EMA50 trend filter to improve trade clarity and timing. It demonstrates how these tools can help traders identify genuine momentum, filter out noise, and better navigate volatile or trending markets.
This article explores the development of an ensemble algorithmic trading strategy for the EURUSD market that combines the Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). Initial rule-based strategies produced high-quality signals but suffered from low trade frequency and limited profitability. Multiple iterations of the strategy were evaluated, revealing flaws in our understanding of the market, increased noise, and degraded performance. By appropriately employing statistical learning algorithms, shifting the modeling target to technical indicators, applying proper scaling, and combining machine learning forecasts with classical trading rules, the final strategy achieved significantly improved profitability and trade frequency while maintaining acceptable signal quality.
This article presents the Chow test for detecting structural breaks in pair relationships and the application of the Cumulative Sum of Squares - CUSUM - for structural breaks monitoring and early detection. The article uses the Nvidia/Intel partnership announcement and the US Gov foreign trade tariff announcement as examples of slope inversion and intercept shift, respectively. Python scripts for all the tests are provided.
The article describes a variant of options emulation through an underlying asset implemented in the MQL5 programming language. The pros and cons of the chosen approach are compared with real exchange options using the example of the FORTS futures market of the MOEX Moscow exchange and the Bybit crypto exchange.
This article implements a complete MQL5 Expert Advisor that monitors manually drawn support and resistance levels in real time. It synchronizes horizontal lines, detects approaches, touches, breakouts, reversals, and retests, and adds optional candlestick pattern checks. Alerts and on‑chart markers provide clear, repeatable feedback, allowing you to keep manual analysis while automating the surveillance of key price levels.
Create an object-oriented fair value gap (FVG) scanner in MQL5 and display liquidity gaps directly on a MetaTrader 5 chart, this article formalizes the imbalance geometry based on three candlesticks, synchronizes OHLC arrays with CopyRates, manages rectangles without leaks, and monitors mitigation in real time. It also shows how to integrate this class into an Expert Advisor with a strict new bar filter for stable and efficient execution.
This article tests three common filters on a standard MACD crossover for US_TECH100 H1 using five years of broker-native data. Filters are layered incrementally: regime, higher timeframe (HTF) alignment, and US session timing, to isolate each one's marginal impact. Results show session timing contributes far more than indicator refinements, while regime and HTF add little on their own. Includes a reproducible MQL5 regime classifier.
A backtest shows only one path among many possible outcomes. This MQL5 script performs 1000 bootstrap Monte Carlo resamples of a trade P&L series, draws a percentile fan chart on the chart via CCanvas, and reports probability of ruin, value at risk, and 95th‑percentile worst drawdown. The result is a practical view of path risk and drawdown exposure beyond a single equity curve.
We present a chart-embedded RSI panel that removes the need for a separate window by attaching momentum directly to live price. The article explains the design and MQL5 code: real-time RSI retrieval, slope-based signal classification, and adaptive positioning. Traders get RSI value, state, and signal strength where decisions are made, improving clarity across timeframes.
We introduce an MQL5 discipline engine that enforces risk consistently at the account level. It continuously scans positions from any source, validates SL/TP, equity-based exposure, and target R:R, and automatically corrects deviations by setting levels or adjusting volume. The result is uniform risk structure across manual and EA trades, supported by on-chart feedback and mode-based control.
Our next focus in these series on ideas that can be rapidly prototyped with the MQL5 Wizard, is a Custom Trailing class that uses the Blooming Filter. Trailing Stop systems are an optional but very resourceful part to any trading system that we want to explore more in these series besides the traditional Entry Signals.
The article applies the A* heuristic to market structure by modeling validated swing highs and lows as graph nodes and weighting edges with ATR‑normalized distance, spread, and noise penalties. The engine searches the most efficient route to infer trade direction and targets, then filters signals by directional ratio, total path cost, and opposing swings. It anchors TP to the final node and SL to prior structure, with on‑chart visualization and configurable inputs.
Higher-timeframe CRT ranges are informative, yet traders often execute on lower timeframes without that context. We implement an MQL5 indicator that reads higher-timeframe OHLC, projects the full candle range, body, and wicks onto the active lower-timeframe chart, and marks entries, stops, and targets. This improves situational awareness and removes the need to switch windows.
We refactor the Tools Palette from a flat, function-based panel into a modular, class-driven sidebar in MQL5. The design introduces supersampled canvas rendering for anti-aliased shapes, theme control, a category registry, snap alignment, and selective corner rounding. The result is a reusable, scalable sidebar foundation that you can extend with tool selection, dragging, and fly-out menus in future steps.
This article builds the foundation layer of a twelve-part MQL5 market microstructure toolkit. It implements guarded math helpers (SafeDivide, SafeLog, SafeSqrt, SafeExp, SafeTanh), robust data validation (ValidateSymbolV2, SafeCopyClose), trimmed statistical estimators (robust mean var), a linear regression slope, shared structs, and an FFT. You compile a single include file that hardens indicators and expert advisors against silent numerical failures and standardizes data flow for later parts.
We build a lightweight bridge that captures closed trades in MetaTrader 5 and sends them to an external backend over HTTP as JSON. It uses OnTradeTransaction for event detection, reads details from deal history, assembles a JSON payload, and posts it via WebRequest. A local Flask API is used to test the flow, delivering a working path to move trade data outside the terminal.
We implement tick-, volume-, and dollar-runs bars in Python and MQL5 and align them with the existing bar‑building framework. The article details the dual‑accumulator update, offline calibration with per‑side seeds, state persistence for EAs, and parity verification to match Python and MQL5 outputs. Runs bars expose one‑sided bursts that net imbalance can hide, improving coverage during quiet sessions and for mean‑reversion models.
The article replaces clock-based sampling with López de Prado's alternative bar types and provides two aligned implementations: a unified Python module for batch tick histories and an object‑oriented MQL5 library for live EAs. It covers Parquet/Dask infrastructure, data cleaning, and a single API. Practical issues are solved explicitly: zero‑tick time‑bar filtering, imbalance threshold initialization, EWM state persistence, and parity between Python and MQL5 outputs.
This article applies the Optimal Trading Rule from AFML Chapter 13 to set profit targets and stop-losses without in-sample calibration. We model post-entry P&L with a discrete Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, run a 100,000-path search, and implement Python, multiprocessing, and a Numba @njit parallel kernel (242× faster). The result is an optimal (PT, SL) under three forecast specifications, constrained by the prop-firm daily loss limit.
The article replaces hardcoded cost assumptions in triple-barrier labeling with measured inputs. An MQL5 script captures spread distribution, swap rates, and symbol metadata from your broker, and a Python model converts them into a broker-calibrated min ret you can pass to get events. Labels then reflect the actual round-trip friction for your instrument and holding period.
Learn to engineer an MQL5 indicator that converts trend, momentum, and volatility into a single raw score using a matrix.mqh (ALGLIB). The article covers a separate‑window oscillator to validate the core mathematics, then a main‑chart indicator that plots non‑repainting buy/sell arrows when the score crosses user‑defined thresholds. An optional long‑term EMA filter, a minimum‑bar cooldown, and built‑in alerts make the tool practical for live trading.
The article addresses the loss of temporal information in ML pipelines by encoding periodic time variables with Fourier harmonics and adding forex session structure. It implements session and overlap flags, lagged session volatility, and calendar effects, then prunes features by timeframe. The get time features function returns an index‑aligned, ML‑ready set of time features suitable for integration with price‑based signals.
In this article, we will consider conformal predictions and the MAPIE library that implements them. This approach is one of the most modern ones in machine learning and allows us to focus on risk management for existing diverse machine learning models. Conformal predictions, by themselves, are not a way to find patterns in data. They only determine the degree of confidence of existing models in predicting specific examples and allow filtering for reliable predictions.
This article extends the existing Flask backend to compute performance analytics from stored MetaTrader 5 closed trades and deliver them as both JSON and a simple web view. It calculates total trades, total profit, win rate, average profit, and trade duration metrics, returning JSON at /api/v1/analytics/summary and rendering a dashboard at /api/v1. The result provides a quick, consistent way to review trading performance from persisted SQLite records.
This article extends the MQL5 RQA library to Cross-Recurrence Quantification Analysis (CRQA) for comparing two time series. We implement dual‑series embedding, cross‑recurrence matrix construction, adapted metrics (CRR, CDET, CLAM, CENTR, and others), and rolling‑window analysis, with optional GPU acceleration via OpenCL. A ready-to-use indicator compares two symbols in real time, supporting timestamp alignment and normalization for practical inter-market analysis.
Before we can even begin to make use of ML in our trading on MetaTrader 5, it’s crucial to address one of the most overlooked pitfalls—data leakage. This article unpacks how data leakage, particularly the MetaTrader 5 timestamp trap, can distort our model's performance and lead to unreliable trading signals. By diving into the mechanics of this issue and presenting strategies to prevent it, we pave the way for building robust machine learning models that deliver trustworthy predictions in live trading environments.
