Beyond GARCH (Part IV): Partition Analysis in MQL5
Beyond GARCH (Part IV): Partition Analysis in MQL5
In this article, we shift from Python research to native MQL5 engineering. We build the first module of the MMAR library: a shared constants header, an SVD-based OLS regression class, a Generalized Hurst Exponent estimator, and the partition analysis engine that computes the partition function, extracts tau(q), estimates H via zero-crossing interpolation, and scores multifractality through three diagnostic tests. Tested on 500,000 bars of EURUSD M10, the engine correctly classifies the data as multifractal in under four seconds. Part 4 of an eight-part series. Part 5 fits the tau(q) curve to four candidate distributions via the Legendre transform.
Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES)
Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES)
The article explores one of the most interesting non-gradient optimization algorithms, which learns to understand the geometry of the objective function. We will focus on the classical implementation of CMA-ES with a slight modification - replacing the normal distribution with the power one. We will thoroughly examine the math behind the algorithm, as well as practical implementation, and check where CMA-ES is unbeatable and where it should be avoided.
Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part II): Implementing GJR-GARCH and TARCH in MQL5
Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part II): Implementing GJR-GARCH and TARCH in MQL5
The article implements GJR-GARCH and TARCH in an MQL5 volatility library and explains why asymmetry improves on standard ARCH/GARCH. It covers model formulation, parameterization, and usage through derived classes and scripts. Readers get code examples for calibration and one-step-ahead forecasting on real data to support risk and diagnostics.
Joint Recurrence Quantification Analysis (JRQA) in MQL5: Detecting Simultaneous Recurrence in Two Series
Joint Recurrence Quantification Analysis (JRQA) in MQL5: Detecting Simultaneous Recurrence in Two Series
We extend the RQA library for MetaTrader 5 with JRQA, which detects when two series simultaneously revisit their own past states. The article covers the joint recurrence matrix, twelve JRQA metrics (including TREND and COMPLEXITY), dual-epsilon configuration, and a rolling-window engine with OpenCL acceleration and automatic CPU fallback. A practical indicator plots JRR, JDET, JLAM, JENTR, and JTREND for any symbol pair with timestamp alignment and normalization.
Dolphin Echolocation Algorithm (DEA)
Dolphin Echolocation Algorithm (DEA)
In this article, we take a closer look at the DEA algorithm, a metaheuristic optimization method inspired by dolphins' unique ability to find prey using echolocation. From mathematical foundations to practical implementation in MQL5, from analysis to comparison with classical algorithms, we will examine in detail why this relatively new method deserves a place in the arsenal of researchers facing optimization problems.
How to Detect and Normalize Chart Objects in MQL5 (Part 1): Building a Chart Object Detection Engine
How to Detect and Normalize Chart Objects in MQL5 (Part 1): Building a Chart Object Detection Engine
This article addresses the interpretative gap between visual chart objects and algorithmic execution. You will build a systematic detector that iterates over all chart objects, identifies analytical types, and normalises their geometric data (time and price coordinates) into a structured SChartObjectInfo array. The implementation uses raw MQL5 functions, a filter‑extract‑store pipeline, and a timer‑driven test EA, resulting in a reusable framework for rule‑based trading inputs.
MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 34): Replacing Native Chart Objects with an Interactive Canvas Drawing Layer
MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 34): Replacing Native Chart Objects with an Interactive Canvas Drawing Layer
We replace native MetaTrader chart objects with a canvas-based drawing engine that renders tools pixel-by-pixel on a full-chart bitmap layer. The article implements persistent object storage with per-tool style memory, precise hit testing, selection, whole-object dragging, and handle manipulation. It also adds new line tools, a reorganized category system with a one-click delete action, and a rubber-band preview for multi-click placement.
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 3): Estimating ARFIMA d with GPH
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 3): Estimating ARFIMA d with GPH
A GPH‑based estimator for d, the key ARFIMA parameter, is added to MicroStructure_Foundation.mqh. GPHEstimator() computes d via log‑periodogram regression, while PopulateARFIMAAnalysis() stores d with an R² confidence score and validates the theoretical relationship H = d + 0.5. An empirical study on 72 US100 M1 sessions confirms pooled d = −0.006, consistent with the random walk boundary established in Part 2.
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 2): Measuring long memory in MQL5 with Hurst estimators
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 2): Measuring long memory in MQL5 with Hurst estimators
Part 2 focuses on practical long-memory detection for intraday data. Three complementary Hurst estimators are implemented and combined into a confidence‑weighted composite, with confidence tied to valid regression scales. The final H and confidence populate the shared analysis struct, enabling indicators to act only when H departs from the neutral 0.40–0.60 band and to select trend‑following above 0.60 or mean‑reversion below 0.40.
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 4): Volatility That Remembers
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 4): Volatility That Remembers
This article adds eight volatility functions to MicroStructure_Foundation.mqh, including realized volatility, duration-adjusted volatility, fractional volatility, a FIGARCH-inspired proxy, a volatility clustering index, a GJR-GARCH asymmetry measure (using the Dube library), bipower-variation jump detection, and a wrapper function. The MFDFA implementation is revised to return the conventional Legendre-transform Δα with an R² confidence field, replacing the τ-spread proxy used in the original submission. Thresholds are derived from 514 NY sessions of NQ E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures (May 2024–May 2026); no new include file is created.
Backtracking Search Algorithm (BSA)
Backtracking Search Algorithm (BSA)
What if an optimization algorithm could remember its past journeys and use that memory to find better solutions? BSA does just that – balancing exploration with revisiting the tried and true. In this article, we reveal the secrets of the algorithm. A simple idea, minimum parameters and a stable result.
Building Volatility models in MQL5 (Part I): The Initial Implementation
Building Volatility models in MQL5 (Part I): The Initial Implementation
In this article, we present an MQL5 library for modeling volatility, designed to function similarly to Python's arch package. The library currently supports the specification of common conditional mean (HAR, AR, Constant Mean, Zero Mean) and conditional volatility (Constant Variance, ARCH, GARCH) models.
Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part II): Implementing GJR-GARCH and TARCH in MQL5
Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part II): Implementing GJR-GARCH and TARCH in MQL5
The article implements GJR-GARCH and TARCH in an MQL5 volatility library and explains why asymmetry improves on standard ARCH/GARCH. It covers model formulation, parameterization, and usage through derived classes and scripts. Readers get code examples for calibration and one-step-ahead forecasting on real data to support risk and diagnostics.
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 3): Estimating ARFIMA d with GPH
Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 3): Estimating ARFIMA d with GPH
A GPH‑based estimator for d, the key ARFIMA parameter, is added to MicroStructure_Foundation.mqh. GPHEstimator() computes d via log‑periodogram regression, while PopulateARFIMAAnalysis() stores d with an R² confidence score and validates the theoretical relationship H = d + 0.5. An empirical study on 72 US100 M1 sessions confirms pooled d = −0.006, consistent with the random walk boundary established in Part 2.