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Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 20): External Flow (IV) — Correlation Pathfinder
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 20): External Flow (IV) — Correlation Pathfinder
Correlation Pathfinder offers a fresh approach to understanding currency pair dynamics as part of the Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development Series. This tool automates data collection and analysis, providing insight into how pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD interact. Enhance your trading strategy with practical, real-time information that helps you manage risk and spot opportunities more effectively.
Developing a Replay System (Part 64): Playing the service (V)
Developing a Replay System (Part 64): Playing the service (V)
In this article, we will look at how to fix two errors in the code. However, I will try to explain them in a way that will help you, beginner programmers, understand that things don't always go as you expect. Anyway, this is an opportunity to learn. The content presented here is intended solely for educational purposes. In no way should this application be considered as a final document with any purpose other than to explore the concepts presented.
Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)
Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)
In this article, we will finally solve the problems with the simulation of ticks on a one-minute bar so that they can coexist with real ticks. This will help us avoid problems in the future. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. Under no circumstances should the application be viewed for any purpose other than to learn and master the concepts presented.
Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory
Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory
The article is devoted to the metaheuristic Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO) algorithm, which simulates the behavior of clouds to solve optimization problems. The algorithm uses the principles of cloud generation, movement and propagation, adapting to the "weather conditions" in the solution space. The article reveals how the algorithm's meteorological simulation finds optimal solutions in a complex possibility space and describes in detail the stages of ACMO operation, including "sky" preparation, cloud birth, cloud movement, and rain concentration.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 37): Gaussian Process Regression with Linear and Matérn Kernels
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 37): Gaussian Process Regression with Linear and Matérn Kernels
Linear Kernels are the simplest matrix of its kind used in machine learning for linear regression and support vector machines. The Matérn kernel on the other hand is a more versatile version of the Radial Basis Function we looked at in an earlier article, and it is adept at mapping functions that are not as smooth as the RBF would assume. We build a custom signal class that utilizes both kernels in forecasting long and short conditions.
Quantitative approach to risk management: Applying VaR model to optimize multi-currency portfolio using Python and MetaTrader 5
Quantitative approach to risk management: Applying VaR model to optimize multi-currency portfolio using Python and MetaTrader 5
This article explores the potential of the Value at Risk (VaR) model for multi-currency portfolio optimization. Using the power of Python and the functionality of MetaTrader 5, we demonstrate how to implement VaR analysis for efficient capital allocation and position management. From theoretical foundations to practical implementation, the article covers all aspects of applying one of the most robust risk calculation systems – VaR – in algorithmic trading.
Developing a Replay System (Part 61): Playing the service (II)
Developing a Replay System (Part 61): Playing the service (II)
In this article, we will look at changes that will allow the replay/simulation system to operate more efficiently and securely. I will also not leave without attention those who want to get the most out of using classes. In addition, we will consider a specific problem in MQL5 that reduces code performance when working with classes, and explain how to solve it.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 17): TrendLoom EA Tool
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 17): TrendLoom EA Tool
As a price action observer and trader, I've noticed that when a trend is confirmed by multiple timeframes, it usually continues in that direction. What may vary is how long the trend lasts, and this depends on the type of trader you are, whether you hold positions for the long term or engage in scalping. The timeframes you choose for confirmation play a crucial role. Check out this article for a quick, automated system that helps you analyze the overall trend across different timeframes with just a button click or regular updates.
An introduction to Receiver Operating Characteristic curves
An introduction to Receiver Operating Characteristic curves
ROC curves are graphical representations used to evaluate the performance of classifiers. Despite ROC graphs being relatively straightforward, there exist common misconceptions and pitfalls when using them in practice. This article aims to provide an introduction to ROC graphs as a tool for practitioners seeking to understand classifier performance evaluation.
Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)
Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)
We have been working on just the indicators for a long time now, but now it's time to get the service working again and see how the chart is built based on the data provided. However, since the whole thing is not that simple, we will have to be attentive to understand what awaits us ahead.
Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA): Tests and results
Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA): Tests and results
In this article, we will continue exploring the Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA) by diving into the code and considering the remaining methods. As you might remember, each bee in the model is represented as an individual agent whose behavior depends on internal and external information, as well as motivational state. We will test the algorithm on various functions and summarize the results by presenting them in the rating table.
Cycles and Forex
Cycles and Forex
Cycles are of great importance in our lives. Day and night, seasons, days of the week and many other cycles of different nature are present in the life of any person. In this article, we will consider cycles in financial markets.
The Kalman Filter for Forex Mean-Reversion Strategies
The Kalman Filter for Forex Mean-Reversion Strategies
The Kalman filter is a recursive algorithm used in algorithmic trading to estimate the true state of a financial time series by filtering out noise from price movements. It dynamically updates predictions based on new market data, making it valuable for adaptive strategies like mean reversion. This article first introduces the Kalman filter, covering its calculation and implementation. Next, we apply the filter to a classic mean-reversion forex strategy as an example. Finally, we conduct various statistical analyses by comparing the filter with a moving average across different forex pairs.
Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA): Theory and methods
Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA): Theory and methods
In this article, we will consider the Artificial Bee Hive Algorithm (ABHA) developed in 2009. The algorithm is aimed at solving continuous optimization problems. We will look at how ABHA draws inspiration from the behavior of a bee colony, where each bee has a unique role that helps them find resources more efficiently.
Anarchic Society Optimization (ASO) algorithm
Anarchic Society Optimization (ASO) algorithm
In this article, we will get acquainted with the Anarchic Society Optimization (ASO) algorithm and discuss how an algorithm based on the irrational and adventurous behavior of participants in an anarchic society (an anomalous system of social interaction free from centralized power and various kinds of hierarchies) is able to explore the solution space and avoid the traps of local optimum. The article presents a unified ASO structure applicable to both continuous and discrete problems.
Animal Migration Optimization (AMO) algorithm
Animal Migration Optimization (AMO) algorithm
The article is devoted to the AMO algorithm, which models the seasonal migration of animals in search of optimal conditions for life and reproduction. The main features of AMO include the use of topological neighborhood and a probabilistic update mechanism, which makes it easy to implement and flexible for various optimization tasks.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 13): RSI Sentinel Tool
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 13): RSI Sentinel Tool
Price action can be effectively analyzed by identifying divergences, with technical indicators such as the RSI providing crucial confirmation signals. In the article below, we explain how automated RSI divergence analysis can identify trend continuations and reversals, thereby offering valuable insights into market sentiment.
Developing a Replay System (Part 59): A New Future
Developing a Replay System (Part 59): A New Future
Having a proper understanding of different ideas allows us to do more with less effort. In this article, we'll look at why it's necessary to configure a template before the service can interact with the chart. Also, what if we improve the mouse pointer so we can do more things with it?
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part IX): Code Organization (II): Modularization
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part IX): Code Organization (II): Modularization
In this discussion, we take a step further in breaking down our MQL5 program into smaller, more manageable modules. These modular components will then be integrated into the main program, enhancing its organization and maintainability. This approach simplifies the structure of our main program and makes the individual components reusable in other Expert Advisors (EAs) and indicator developments. By adopting this modular design, we create a solid foundation for future enhancements, benefiting both our project and the broader developer community.
Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service
Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service
One point to note: although the service code is not included in this article and will only be provided in the next one, I'll explain it since we'll be using that same code as a springboard for what we're actually developing. So, be attentive and patient. Wait for the next article, because every day everything becomes more interesting.
Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution
Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution
We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part IX): Code Organization (I)
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part IX): Code Organization (I)
This discussion delves into the challenges encountered when working with large codebases. We will explore the best practices for code organization in MQL5 and implement a practical approach to enhance the readability and scalability of our Trading Administrator Panel source code. Additionally, we aim to develop reusable code components that can potentially benefit other developers in their algorithm development. Read on and join the conversation.
Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service
Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service
After a break in development and improvement of the service used for replay/simulator, we are resuming work on it. Now that we've abandoned the use of resources like terminal globals, we'll have to completely restructure some parts of it. Don't worry, this process will be explained in detail so that everyone can follow the development of our service.
Gating mechanisms in ensemble learning
Gating mechanisms in ensemble learning
In this article, we continue our exploration of ensemble models by discussing the concept of gates, specifically how they may be useful in combining model outputs to enhance either prediction accuracy or model generalization.
Feature Engineering With Python And MQL5 (Part I): Forecasting Moving Averages For Long-Range AI Models
Feature Engineering With Python And MQL5 (Part I): Forecasting Moving Averages For Long-Range AI Models
The moving averages are by far the best indicators for our AI models to predict. However, we can improve our accuracy even further by carefully transforming our data. This article will demonstrate, how you can build AI Models capable of forecasting further into the future than you may currently be practicing without significant drops to your accuracy levels. It is truly remarkable, how useful the moving averages are.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 9): External Flow
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 9): External Flow
This article explores a new dimension of analysis using external libraries specifically designed for advanced analytics. These libraries, like pandas, provide powerful tools for processing and interpreting complex data, enabling traders to gain more profound insights into market dynamics. By integrating such technologies, we can bridge the gap between raw data and actionable strategies. Join us as we lay the foundation for this innovative approach and unlock the potential of combining technology with trading expertise.
Hidden Markov Models for Trend-Following Volatility Prediction
Hidden Markov Models for Trend-Following Volatility Prediction
Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are powerful statistical tools that identify underlying market states by analyzing observable price movements. In trading, HMMs enhance volatility prediction and inform trend-following strategies by modeling and anticipating shifts in market regimes. In this article, we will present the complete procedure for developing a trend-following strategy that utilizes HMMs to predict volatility as a filter.
Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules
Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules
Although the modules already interact with each other properly, an error occurs when trying to use the mouse pointer in the replay service. We need to fix this before moving on to the next step. Additionally, we will fix an issue in the mouse indicator code. So this version will be finally stable and properly polished.
MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions
MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions
Learn how to create an EX5 module of exportable functions that seamlessly query and save data for the most recently filled pending order. In this comprehensive step-by-step guide, we will enhance the History Management EX5 library by developing dedicated and compartmentalized functions to retrieve essential properties of the last filled pending order. These properties include the order type, setup time, execution time, filling type, and other critical details necessary for effective pending orders trade history management and analysis.