The bet-sizing signal from Part 10 is concurrency-corrected but carries no payoff-ratio adjustment, no response to a hard drawdown budget, and no validation across combinatorial paths. This article covers three additions: a two-stage architecture in which a Kelly payoff multiplier is applied on top of get_signal, preserving the concurrency correction while incorporating win/loss asymmetry; a prop firm integration layer that calibrates the sigmoid w parameter continuously from the remaining drawdown budget under FundedNext Stellar 2-Step rules; and a CPCV backtest framework that simulates a fresh account state across all φ[N, k] paths, producing a Sharpe distribution and a PBO audit.
Fixed fractions and raw probabilities misallocate risk under overlapping labels and induce overtrading. This article delivers four AFML-compliant sizers: probability-based (z-score → CDF, active-bet averaging, discretization), forecast-price (sigmoid/power with w calibration and limit price), budget-constrained (direction-only), and reserve (mixture-CDF via EF3M). You get a signed, bounded position series with documented conditions of use.
In this article, we will explore what pair trading is and how correlation trading works. We will also create an EA for automating pair trading and add the ability to automatically optimize this trading algorithm based on historical data. In addition, as part of the project, we will learn how to calculate the differences between two pairs using the z-score.
This article introduces Jardine's Gate, a six-gate orthogonal signal filter for MetaTrader 5 that validates LSTM predictions across entropy, expert interference, confidence, regime-adjusted probability, trend direction, and consecutive-loss kill switch dimensions. Out of 43,200 raw signals per month, only 127 pass all six gates. Readers get the complete QuantumEdgeFilter MQL5 class, threshold calibration logic, and gate performance analytics.
The article presents a comprehensive analysis of the Coral Reef Optimization (CRO) algorithm, a metaheuristic method inspired by the biological processes of coral reef formation and development. The algorithm models key aspects of coral evolution: broadcast spawning, brooding, larval settlement, asexual reproduction, and competition for limited reef space. Particular attention is paid to the improved version of the algorithm.
We invite you to get acquainted with the DADA framework, which is an innovative method for detecting anomalies in time series. It helps distinguish random fluctuations from suspicious deviations. Unlike traditional methods, DADA is flexible and adapts to different data. Instead of a fixed compression level, it uses several options and chooses the most appropriate one for each case.
This article integrates the Optuna hyperparameter optimization (HPO) backend into a unified ModelDevelopmentPipeline. It adds joint tuning of model hyperparameters and sample-weight schemes, early pruning with Hyperband, and crash-resistant SQLite study storage. The pipeline auto-detects primary vs. secondary models, prepends a fitted column-dropping preprocessor for safe inference, supports sequential bootstrapping, generates an Optuna report, and includes bid/ask and LearnedStrategy links. Readers get faster, resumable runs and deployable, self-contained models.
The article explores the Battle Royale Optimizer algorithm — a metaheuristic in which solutions compete with their nearest neighbors, accumulate “damage,” are replaced when a threshold is exceeded, and periodically shrink the search space around the current best solution. It presents both pseudocode and an MQL5 implementation of the CAOBRO class, including neighbor search, movement toward the best solution, and an adaptive delta interval. Test results on the Hilly, Forest, and Megacity functions highlight the strengths and limitations of the approach. The reader is provided with a ready-to-use foundation for experimentation and tuning key parameters such as popSize and maxDamage.
We continue to implement approaches proposed vy the authors of the DUET framework, which offers an innovative approach to time series analysis, combining temporal and channel clustering to uncover hidden patterns in the analyzed data.
This article lays the system architecture for a multi‑account algorithmic trading setup that operates cryptocurrency CFDs on MetaTrader 5 while respecting prop‑firm constraints. It defines three core principles—fixed dollar risk, one script per account, and centralized configuration—then details the Python–MQL5 split, the 60‑second processing loop, and JSON-based signaling. Readers get practical lot‑size computation, safety checks, and position management patterns for reliable deployment.
This article shows how to represent market structure as a graph in MQL5, turning swing highs/lows into nodes with features and linking them by edges. It trains a Graph Neural Network to score potential liquidity zones, exports the model to ONNX, and runs real-time inference in an Expert Advisor. Readers learn how to build the data pipeline, integrate the model, visualize zones on the chart, and use the signals for rule-based execution.
GridSearchCV and RandomizedSearchCV share a fundamental limitation in financial ML: each trial is independent, so search quality does not improve with additional compute. This article integrates Optuna — using the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator — with PurgedKFold cross-validation, HyperbandPruner early stopping, and a dual-weight convention that separates training weights from evaluation weights. The result is a five-component system: an objective function with fold-level pruning, a suggestion layer that optimizes the weighting scheme jointly with model hyperparameters, a financially-calibrated pruner, a resumable SQLite-backed orchestrator, and a converter to scikit-learn cv_results_ format. The article also establishes the boundary — drawn from Timothy Masters — between statistical objectives where directed search is beneficial and financial objectives where it is harmful.
The DUET framework offers an innovative approach to time series analysis, combining temporal and channel clustering to uncover hidden patterns in the analyzed data. This allows models to adapt to changes over time and improve forecasting quality by eliminating noise.
This article explains why standard walkforward and k-fold CV inflate results on financial data, then shows how to fix it. V-in-V enforces strict data partitions and anchored walkforward across windows, CPCV purges and embargoes leakage while aggregating path-wise performance, and CSCV measures the Probability of Backtest Overfitting. Practitioners gain a coherent framework to assess regime robustness and selection reliability.
This article implements a box‑constrained Truncated Newton Conjugate‑Gradient (TNC) optimizer in MQL5 and details its core components: scaling, projection to bounds, line search, and Hessian‑vector products via finite differences. It provides an objective wrapper supporting analytic or numerical derivatives and validates the solver on the Rosenbrock benchmark. A logistic regression example shows how to use TNC as a drop‑in alternative to LBFGS.
We continue to integrate methods proposed by the authors of the Attraos framework into trading models. Let me remind you that this framework uses concepts of chaos theory to solve time series forecasting problems, interpreting them as projections of multidimensional chaotic dynamic systems.
The Attraos framework integrates chaos theory into long-term time series forecasting, treating them as projections of multidimensional chaotic dynamic systems. Exploiting attractor invariance, the model uses phase space reconstruction and dynamic multi-resolution memory to preserve historical structures.
In the latest installment of this series, we move beyond individual machine learning techniques to address the "Research Chaos" that plagues many quantitative traders. This article focuses on the transition from ad-hoc notebook experiments to a principled, production-grade pipeline that ensures reproducibility, traceability, and efficiency.
In this article we are implementing ARIMA forecasting indicator in MQL5. It examines how the ARIMA model generates forecasts, its applicability to the Forex market and the stock market in general. It also explains what AR autoregression is, how autoregressive models are used for forecasting, and how the autoregression mechanism works.
What is quantitative trend analysis in the Forex market? We collect statistics on trends, their magnitude and distribution across the EURUSD currency pair. How quantitative trend analysis can help you create a profitable trading expert advisor.
The article presents a complete Python–MQL5 integration for multi‑agent trading: MT5 data ingestion, indicator computation, per‑agent decisions, and a weighted consensus that outputs a single action. Signals are stored to JSON, served by Flask, and consumed by an MQL5 Expert Advisor for execution with position sizing and ATR‑derived SL/TP. Flask routes provide safe lifecycle control and status monitoring.
This article demonstrates an approach to creating trading strategies for gold using machine learning. Considering the proposed approach to the analysis and forecasting of time series from different angles, it is possible to determine its advantages and disadvantages in comparison with other ways of creating trading systems which are based solely on the analysis and forecasting of financial time series.
What is angular analysis of financial markets? How to use price action angles and machine learning to make accurate forecasts with 67% accuracy? How to combine a regression and classification model with angular features and obtain a working algorithm? What does Gann have to do with it? Why are price movement angles a good indicator for machine learning?
We determine the overbought and oversold condition of the market according to chaos theory: integrating the principles of chaos theory, fractal geometry and neural networks to forecast financial markets. The study demonstrates the use of the Lyapunov exponent as a measure of market randomness and the dynamic adaptation of trading signals. The methodology includes an algorithm for generating fractal noise, hyperbolic tangent activation, and moment optimization.
The EURUSD forecasting system with the use of computer vision and deep learning. Learn how convolutional neural networks can recognize complex price patterns in the foreign exchange market and predict exchange rate movements with up to 54% accuracy. The article shares the methodology for creating an algorithm that uses artificial intelligence technologies for visual analysis of charts instead of traditional technical indicators. The author demonstrates the process of transforming price data into "images", their processing by a neural network, and a unique opportunity to peer into the "consciousness" of AI through activation maps and attention heatmaps. Practical Python code using the MetaTrader 5 library allows readers to reproduce the system and apply it in their own trading.
This article discusses an approach to trading only in the chosen direction (buy or sell). For this purpose, the technique of causal inference and machine learning are used.
We are creating an adaptive self-learning trading expert advisor based on DQN machine learning, with multidimensional causal inference. The EA will successfully trade simultaneously on 7 currency pairs. And agents of different pairs will exchange information with each other.
Do you want to know how to benefit from the difference in interest rates? This article considers how to use swap arbitrage in Forex to earn stable profit every night, creating a portfolio that is resistant to market fluctuations.
The new proprietary optimization algorithm NOA2 (Neuroboids Optimization Algorithm 2) combines the principles of swarm intelligence with neural control. NOA2 combines the mechanics of a neuroboid swarm with an adaptive neural system that allows agents to self-correct their behavior while searching for the optimum. The algorithm is under active development and demonstrates potential for solving complex optimization problems.
We continue exploring hybrid graph sequence models (GSM++), which integrate the advantages of different architectures, providing high analysis accuracy and efficient distribution of computing resources. These models effectively identify hidden patterns, reducing the impact of market noise and improving forecasting quality.
From ChatGPT to Gemini and many model AI tools for text, image, and video generation. Transformers have rocked the AI-world. But, are they applicable in the financial (trading) space? Let's find out.
This study introduces a novel methodology for the development of trend-following trading strategies. This section describes the process of annotating training data and using it to train classifiers. This process yields fully operational trading systems designed to run on MetaTrader 5.
Hybrid graph sequence models (GSM++) combine the advantages of different architectures to provide high-fidelity data analysis and optimized computational costs. These models adapt effectively to dynamic market data, improving the presentation and processing of financial information.
The article presents the Central Force Optimization (CFO) algorithm inspired by the laws of gravity. It explores how principles of physical attraction can solve optimization problems where "heavier" solutions attract less successful counterparts.
We are making a remote professional risk manager for Forex in Python, deploying it on the server step by step. In the course of the article, we will understand how to programmatically manage Forex risks, and how not to waste a Forex deposit any more.
We continue to explore the innovative Chimera framework – a two-dimensional state-space model that uses neural network technologies to analyze multidimensional time series. This method provides high forecasting accuracy with low computational cost.
In this article, we will examine the movements of synthetic currencies using Python and MQL5 and explore how feasible Forex arbitrage is today. We will also consider ready-made Python code for analyzing synthetic currencies and share more details on what synthetic currencies are in Forex.
How does the market observe Fibonacci-based relationships? This sequence, where each subsequent number is equal to the sum of the two previous ones (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21...), not only describes the growth of the rabbit population. We will consider the Pythagorean hypothesis that everything in the world is subject to certain relationships of numbers...
In this article, we will explore the innovative Chimera framework: a two-dimensional state-space model that uses neural networks to analyze multivariate time series. This method offers high accuracy with low computational cost, outperforming traditional approaches and Transformer architectures.
A new bioinspired optimization metaheuristic, NOA (Neuroboids Optimization Algorithm), combines the principles of collective intelligence and neural networks. Unlike conventional methods, the algorithm uses a population of self-learning "neuroboids", each with its own neural network that adapts its search strategy in real time. The article reveals the architecture of the algorithm, the mechanisms of self-learning of agents, and the prospects for applying this hybrid approach to complex optimization problems.
