Add a new article
CatBoost machine learning algorithm from Yandex with no Python or R knowledge required
CatBoost machine learning algorithm from Yandex with no Python or R knowledge required
The article provides the code and the description of the main stages of the machine learning process using a specific example. To obtain the model, you do not need Python or R knowledge. Furthermore, basic MQL5 knowledge is enough — this is exactly my level. Therefore, I hope that the article will serve as a good tutorial for a broad audience, assisting those interested in evaluating machine learning capabilities and in implementing them in their programs.
Neural networks made easy (Part 2): Network training and testing
Neural networks made easy (Part 2): Network training and testing
In this second article, we will continue to study neural networks and will consider an example of using our created CNet class in Expert Advisors. We will work with two neural network models, which show similar results both in terms of training time and prediction accuracy.
Practical application of neural networks in trading. It's time to practice
Practical application of neural networks in trading. It's time to practice
The article provides a description and instructions for the practical use of neural network modules on the Matlab platform. It also covers the main aspects of creation of a trading system using the neural network module. In order to be able to introduce the complex within one article, I had to modify it so as to combine several neural network module functions in one program.
Neural Networks Made Easy
Neural Networks Made Easy
Artificial intelligence is often associated with something fantastically complex and incomprehensible. At the same time, artificial intelligence is increasingly mentioned in everyday life. News about achievements related to the use of neural networks often appear in different media. The purpose of this article is to show that anyone can easily create a neural network and use the AI achievements in trading.
Deep Neural Networks (Part VII). Ensemble of neural networks: stacking
Deep Neural Networks (Part VII). Ensemble of neural networks: stacking
We continue to build ensembles. This time, the bagging ensemble created earlier will be supplemented with a trainable combiner — a deep neural network. One neural network combines the 7 best ensemble outputs after pruning. The second one takes all 500 outputs of the ensemble as input, prunes and combines them. The neural networks will be built using the keras/TensorFlow package for Python. The features of the package will be briefly considered. Testing will be performed and the classification quality of bagging and stacking ensembles will be compared.
Deep Neural Networks (Part VI). Ensemble of neural network classifiers: bagging
Deep Neural Networks (Part VI). Ensemble of neural network classifiers: bagging
The article discusses the methods for building and training ensembles of neural networks with bagging structure. It also determines the peculiarities of hyperparameter optimization for individual neural network classifiers that make up the ensemble. The quality of the optimized neural network obtained in the previous article of the series is compared with the quality of the created ensemble of neural networks. Possibilities of further improving the quality of the ensemble's classification are considered.
Deep Neural Networks (Part V). Bayesian optimization of DNN hyperparameters
Deep Neural Networks (Part V). Bayesian optimization of DNN hyperparameters
The article considers the possibility to apply Bayesian optimization to hyperparameters of deep neural networks, obtained by various training variants. The classification quality of a DNN with the optimal hyperparameters in different training variants is compared. Depth of effectiveness of the DNN optimal hyperparameters has been checked in forward tests. The possible directions for improving the classification quality have been determined.
Machine Learning: How Support Vector Machines can be used in Trading
Machine Learning: How Support Vector Machines can be used in Trading
Support Vector Machines have long been used in fields such as bioinformatics and applied mathematics to assess complex data sets and extract useful patterns that can be used to classify data. This article looks at what a support vector machine is, how they work and why they can be so useful in extracting complex patterns. We then investigate how they can be applied to the market and potentially used to advise on trades. Using the Support Vector Machine Learning Tool, the article provides worked examples that allow readers to experiment with their own trading.
Random Forests Predict Trends
Random Forests Predict Trends
This article considers using the Rattle package for automatic search of patterns for predicting long and short positions of currency pairs on Forex. This article can be useful both for novice and experienced traders.
Deep Neural Networks (Part I). Preparing Data
Deep Neural Networks (Part I). Preparing Data
This series of articles continues exploring deep neural networks (DNN), which are used in many application areas including trading. Here new dimensions of this theme will be explored along with testing of new methods and ideas using practical experiments. The first article of the series is dedicated to preparing data for DNN.
Evaluation and selection of variables for machine learning models
Evaluation and selection of variables for machine learning models
This article focuses on specifics of choice, preconditioning and evaluation of the input variables (predictors) for use in machine learning models. New approaches and opportunities of deep predictor analysis and their influence on possible overfitting of models will be considered. The overall result of using models largely depends on the result of this stage. We will analyze two packages offering new and original approaches to the selection of predictors.
Neural network: Self-optimizing Expert Advisor
Neural network: Self-optimizing Expert Advisor
Is it possible to develop an Expert Advisor able to optimize position open and close conditions at regular intervals according to the code commands? What happens if we implement a neural network (multilayer perceptron) in the form of a module to analyze history and provide strategy? We can make the EA optimize a neural network monthly (weekly, daily or hourly) and continue its work afterwards. Thus, we can develop a self-optimizing EA.
Third Generation Neural Networks: Deep Networks
Third Generation Neural Networks: Deep Networks
This article is dedicated to a new and perspective direction in machine learning - deep learning or, to be precise, deep neural networks. This is a brief review of second generation neural networks, the architecture of their connections and main types, methods and rules of learning and their main disadvantages followed by the history of the third generation neural network development, their main types, peculiarities and training methods. Conducted are practical experiments on building and training a deep neural network initiated by the weights of a stacked autoencoder with real data. All the stages from selecting input data to metric derivation are discussed in detail. The last part of the article contains a software implementation of a deep neural network in an Expert Advisor with a built-in indicator based on MQL4/R.
Neural Networks: From Theory to Practice
Neural Networks: From Theory to Practice
Nowadays, every trader must have heard of neural networks and knows how cool it is to use them. The majority believes that those who can deal with neural networks are some kind of superhuman. In this article, I will try to explain to you the neural network architecture, describe its applications and show examples of practical use.
Connecting NeuroSolutions Neuronets
Connecting NeuroSolutions Neuronets
In addition to creation of neuronets, the NeuroSolutions software suite allows exporting them as DLLs. This article describes the process of creating a neuronet, generating a DLL and connecting it to an Expert Advisor for trading in MetaTrader 5.
Dialectic Search (DA)
Dialectic Search (DA)
The article introduces the dialectical algorithm (DA), a new global optimization method inspired by the philosophical concept of dialectics. The algorithm exploits a unique division of the population into speculative and practical thinkers. Testing shows impressive performance of up to 98% on low-dimensional problems and overall efficiency of 57.95%. The article explains these metrics and presents a detailed description of the algorithm and the results of experiments on different types of functions.
Neural Networks in Trading: An Agent with Layered Memory (Final Part)
Neural Networks in Trading: An Agent with Layered Memory (Final Part)
We continue our work on creating the FinMem framework, which uses layered memory approaches that mimic human cognitive processes. This allows the model not only to effectively process complex financial data but also to adapt to new signals, significantly improving the accuracy and effectiveness of investment decisions in dynamically changing markets.
Royal Flush Optimization (RFO)
Royal Flush Optimization (RFO)
The original Royal Flush Optimization algorithm offers a new approach to solving optimization problems, replacing the classic binary coding of genetic algorithms with a sector-based approach inspired by poker principles. RFO demonstrates how simplifying basic principles can lead to an efficient and practical optimization method. The article presents a detailed analysis of the algorithm and test results.
Neural Networks in Trading: A Multi-Agent Self-Adaptive Model (Final Part)
Neural Networks in Trading: A Multi-Agent Self-Adaptive Model (Final Part)
In the previous article, we introduced the multi-agent self-adaptive framework MASA, which combines reinforcement learning approaches and self-adaptive strategies, providing a harmonious balance between profitability and risk in turbulent market conditions. We have built the functionality of individual agents within this framework. In this article, we will continue the work we started, bringing it to its logical conclusion.
Overcoming The Limitation of Machine Learning (Part 6): Effective Memory Cross Validation
Overcoming The Limitation of Machine Learning (Part 6): Effective Memory Cross Validation
In this discussion, we contrast the classical approach to time series cross-validation with modern alternatives that challenge its core assumptions. We expose key blind spots in the traditional method—especially its failure to account for evolving market conditions. To address these gaps, we introduce Effective Memory Cross-Validation (EMCV), a domain-aware approach that questions the long-held belief that more historical data always improves performance.
Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 4): The Hidden Flaw in Your Financial ML Pipeline — Label Concurrency
Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 4): The Hidden Flaw in Your Financial ML Pipeline — Label Concurrency
Discover how to fix a critical flaw in financial machine learning that causes overfit models and poor live performance—label concurrency. When using the triple-barrier method, your training labels overlap in time, violating the core IID assumption of most ML algorithms. This article provides a hands-on solution through sample weighting. You will learn how to quantify temporal overlap between trading signals, calculate sample weights that reflect each observation's unique information, and implement these weights in scikit-learn to build more robust classifiers. Learning these essential techniques will make your trading models more robust, reliable and profitable.
Big Bang - Big Crunch (BBBC) algorithm
Big Bang - Big Crunch (BBBC) algorithm
The article presents the Big Bang - Big Crunch method, which has two key phases: cyclic generation of random points and their compression to the optimal solution. This approach combines exploration and refinement, allowing us to gradually find better solutions and open up new optimization opportunities.
Self Optimizing Expert Advisors in MQL5 (Part 16): Supervised Linear System Identification
Self Optimizing Expert Advisors in MQL5 (Part 16): Supervised Linear System Identification
Linear system identifcation may be coupled to learn to correct the error in a supervised learning algorithm. This allows us to build applications that depend on statistical modelling techniques without necessarily inheriting the fragility of the model's restrictive assumptions. Classical supervised learning algorithms have many needs that may be supplemented by pairing these models with a feedback controller that can correct the model to keep up with current market conditions.
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 17): Modelling Technical Indicators
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 17): Modelling Technical Indicators
In this discussion, we focus on how we can break the glass ceiling imposed by classical machine learning techniques in finance. It appears that the greatest limitation to the value we can extract from statistical models does not lie in the models themselves — neither in the data nor in the complexity of the algorithms — but rather in the methodology we use to apply them. In other words, the true bottleneck may be how we employ the model, not the model’s intrinsic capability.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 5): Sequential Bootstrapping—Debiasing Labels, Improving Returns
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 5): Sequential Bootstrapping—Debiasing Labels, Improving Returns
Sequential bootstrapping reshapes bootstrap sampling for financial machine learning by actively avoiding temporally overlapping labels, producing more independent training samples, sharper uncertainty estimates, and more robust trading models. This practical guide explains the intuition, shows the algorithm step‑by‑step, provides optimized code patterns for large datasets, and demonstrates measurable performance gains through simulations and real backtests.
Circle Search Algorithm (CSA)
Circle Search Algorithm (CSA)
The article presents a new metaheuristic optimization Circle Search Algorithm (CSA) based on the geometric properties of a circle. The algorithm uses the principle of moving points along tangents to find the optimal solution, combining the phases of global exploration and local exploitation.
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 18): Searching For Candlestick Patterns
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 18): Searching For Candlestick Patterns
This article helps new community members search for and discover their own candlestick patterns. Describing these patterns can be daunting, as it requires manually searching and creatively identifying improvements. Here, we introduce the engulfing candlestick pattern and show how it can be enhanced for more profitable trading applications.