Add a new article
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 6): Engineering a Production-Grade Caching System
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 6): Engineering a Production-Grade Caching System
Tired of watching progress bars instead of testing trading strategies? Traditional caching fails financial ML, leaving you with lost computations and frustrating restarts. We've engineered a sophisticated caching architecture that understands the unique challenges of financial data—temporal dependencies, complex data structures, and the constant threat of look-ahead bias. Our three-layer system delivers dramatic speed improvements while automatically invalidating stale results and preventing costly data leaks. Stop waiting for computations and start iterating at the pace the markets demand.
Implementing the Truncated Newton Conjugate-Gradient Algorithm in MQL5
Implementing the Truncated Newton Conjugate-Gradient Algorithm in MQL5
This article implements a box‑constrained Truncated Newton Conjugate‑Gradient (TNC) optimizer in MQL5 and details its core components: scaling, projection to bounds, line search, and Hessian‑vector products via finite differences. It provides an objective wrapper supporting analytic or numerical derivatives and validates the solver on the Rosenbrock benchmark. A logistic regression example shows how to use TNC as a drop‑in alternative to LBFGS.
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 17): Modelling Technical Indicators
Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 17): Modelling Technical Indicators
In this discussion, we focus on how we can break the glass ceiling imposed by classical machine learning techniques in finance. It appears that the greatest limitation to the value we can extract from statistical models does not lie in the models themselves — neither in the data nor in the complexity of the algorithms — but rather in the methodology we use to apply them. In other words, the true bottleneck may be how we employ the model, not the model’s intrinsic capability.
Unified Validation Pipeline Against Backtest Overfitting
Unified Validation Pipeline Against Backtest Overfitting
This article explains why standard walkforward and k-fold CV inflate results on financial data, then shows how to fix it. V-in-V enforces strict data partitions and anchored walkforward across windows, CPCV purges and embargoes leakage while aggregating path-wise performance, and CSCV measures the Probability of Backtest Overfitting. Practitioners gain a coherent framework to assess regime robustness and selection reliability.
Integrating MQL5 with Data Processing Packages (Part 8): Using Graph Neural Networks for Liquidity Zone Recognition
Integrating MQL5 with Data Processing Packages (Part 8): Using Graph Neural Networks for Liquidity Zone Recognition
This article shows how to represent market structure as a graph in MQL5, turning swing highs/lows into nodes with features and linking them by edges. It trains a Graph Neural Network to score potential liquidity zones, exports the model to ONNX, and runs real-time inference in an Expert Advisor. Readers learn how to build the data pipeline, integrate the model, visualize zones on the chart, and use the signals for rule-based execution.
Neuro-Structural Trading Engine — NSTE (Part I): How to Build a Prop-Firm-Safe Multi-Account System
Neuro-Structural Trading Engine — NSTE (Part I): How to Build a Prop-Firm-Safe Multi-Account System
This article lays the system architecture for a multi‑account algorithmic trading setup that operates cryptocurrency CFDs on MetaTrader 5 while respecting prop‑firm constraints. It defines three core principles—fixed dollar risk, one script per account, and centralized configuration—then details the Python–MQL5 split, the 60‑second processing loop, and JSON-based signaling. Readers get practical lot‑size computation, safety checks, and position management patterns for reliable deployment.
Feature Engineering With Python And MQL5 (Part IV): Candlestick Pattern Recognition With UMAP Regression
Feature Engineering With Python And MQL5 (Part IV): Candlestick Pattern Recognition With UMAP Regression
Dimension reduction techniques are widely used to improve the performance of machine learning models. Let us discuss a relatively new technique known as Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP). This new technique has been developed to explicitly overcome the limitations of legacy methods that create artifacts and distortions in the data. UMAP is a powerful dimension reduction technique, and it helps us group similar candle sticks in a novel and effective way that reduces our error rates on out of sample data and improves our trading performance.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 8): Bayesian Hyperparameter Optimization with Purged Cross-Validation and Trial Pruning
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 8): Bayesian Hyperparameter Optimization with Purged Cross-Validation and Trial Pruning
GridSearchCV and RandomizedSearchCV share a fundamental limitation in financial ML: each trial is independent, so search quality does not improve with additional compute. This article integrates Optuna — using the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator — with PurgedKFold cross-validation, HyperbandPruner early stopping, and a dual-weight convention that separates training weights from evaluation weights. The result is a five-component system: an objective function with fold-level pruning, a suggestion layer that optimizes the weighting scheme jointly with model hyperparameters, a financially-calibrated pruner, a resumable SQLite-backed orchestrator, and a converter to scikit-learn cv_results_ format. The article also establishes the boundary — drawn from Timothy Masters — between statistical objectives where directed search is beneficial and financial objectives where it is harmful.
Overcoming The Limitation of Machine Learning (Part 9): Correlation-Based Feature Learning in Self-Supervised Finance
Overcoming The Limitation of Machine Learning (Part 9): Correlation-Based Feature Learning in Self-Supervised Finance
Self-supervised learning is a powerful paradigm of statistical learning that searches for supervisory signals generated from the observations themselves. This approach reframes challenging unsupervised learning problems into more familiar supervised ones. This technology has overlooked applications for our objective as a community of algorithmic traders. Our discussion, therefore, aims to give the reader an approachable bridge into the open research area of self-supervised learning and offers practical applications that provide robust and reliable statistical models of financial markets without overfitting to small datasets.
Battle Royale Optimizer (BRO)
Battle Royale Optimizer (BRO)
The article explores the Battle Royale Optimizer algorithm — a metaheuristic in which solutions compete with their nearest neighbors, accumulate “damage,” are replaced when a threshold is exceeded, and periodically shrink the search space around the current best solution. It presents both pseudocode and an MQL5 implementation of the CAOBRO class, including neighbor search, movement toward the best solution, and an adaptive delta interval. Test results on the Hilly, Forest, and Megacity functions highlight the strengths and limitations of the approach. The reader is provided with a ready-to-use foundation for experimentation and tuning key parameters such as popSize and maxDamage.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 9): Integrating Bayesian HPO into the Production Pipeline
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 9): Integrating Bayesian HPO into the Production Pipeline
​This article integrates the Optuna hyperparameter optimization (HPO) backend into a unified ModelDevelopmentPipeline. It adds joint tuning of model hyperparameters and sample-weight schemes, early pruning with Hyperband, and crash-resistant SQLite study storage. The pipeline auto-detects primary vs. secondary models, prepends a fitted column-dropping preprocessor for safe inference, supports sequential bootstrapping, generates an Optuna report, and includes bid/ask and LearnedStrategy links. Readers get faster, resumable runs and deployable, self-contained models.
Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Detection of Market Anomalies (DADA)
Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Detection of Market Anomalies (DADA)
We invite you to get acquainted with the DADA framework, which is an innovative method for detecting anomalies in time series. It helps distinguish random fluctuations from suspicious deviations. Unlike traditional methods, DADA is flexible and adapts to different data. Instead of a fixed compression level, it uses several options and chooses the most appropriate one for each case.
Coral Reefs Optimization (CRO)
Coral Reefs Optimization (CRO)
The article presents a comprehensive analysis of the Coral Reef Optimization (CRO) algorithm, a metaheuristic method inspired by the biological processes of coral reef formation and development. The algorithm models key aspects of coral evolution: broadcast spawning, brooding, larval settlement, asexual reproduction, and competition for limited reef space. Particular attention is paid to the improved version of the algorithm.
Neuro-Structural Trading Engine — NSTE (Part II): Jardine's Gate Six-Gate Quantum Filter
Neuro-Structural Trading Engine — NSTE (Part II): Jardine's Gate Six-Gate Quantum Filter
This article introduces Jardine's Gate, a six-gate orthogonal signal filter for MetaTrader 5 that validates LSTM predictions across entropy, expert interference, confidence, regime-adjusted probability, trend direction, and consecutive-loss kill switch dimensions. Out of 43,200 raw signals per month, only 127 pass all six gates. Readers get the complete QuantumEdgeFilter MQL5 class, threshold calibration logic, and gate performance analytics.
Pair Trading: Algorithmic Trading with Auto Optimization Based on Z-Score Differences
Pair Trading: Algorithmic Trading with Auto Optimization Based on Z-Score Differences
In this article, we will explore what pair trading is and how correlation trading works. We will also create an EA for automating pair trading and add the ability to automatically optimize this trading algorithm based on historical data. In addition, as part of the project, we will learn how to calculate the differences between two pairs using the z-score.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 10): Bet Sizing for Financial Machine Learning
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 10): Bet Sizing for Financial Machine Learning
Fixed fractions and raw probabilities misallocate risk under overlapping labels and induce overtrading. This article delivers four AFML-compliant sizers: probability-based (z-score → CDF, active-bet averaging, discretization), forecast-price (sigmoid/power with w calibration and limit price), budget-constrained (direction-only), and reserve (mixture-CDF via EF3M). You get a signed, bounded position series with documented conditions of use.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 11): Kelly Criterion, Prop Firm Integration, and CPCV Dynamic Backtesting
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 11): Kelly Criterion, Prop Firm Integration, and CPCV Dynamic Backtesting
The bet-sizing signal from Part 10 is concurrency-corrected but carries no payoff-ratio adjustment, no response to a hard drawdown budget, and no validation across combinatorial paths. This article covers three additions: a two-stage architecture in which a Kelly payoff multiplier is applied on top of get_signal, preserving the concurrency correction while incorporating win/loss asymmetry; a prop firm integration layer that calibrates the sigmoid w parameter continuously from the remaining drawdown budget under FundedNext Stellar 2-Step rules; and a CPCV backtest framework that simulates a fresh account state across all φ[N, k] paths, producing a Sharpe distribution and a PBO audit.
Predicting Renko Bars with CatBoost AI
Predicting Renko Bars with CatBoost AI
How to use Renko bars with AI? Let's look at Renko trading on Forex with forecast accuracy of up to 59.27%. We will explore the benefits of Renko bars for filtering market noise, learn why volume is more important than price patterns, and how to set the optimal Renko block size for EURUSD. This is a step-by-step guide on integrating CatBoost, Python, and MetaTrader 5 to create your own Renko Forex forecasting system. It is ideal for traders looking to go beyond traditional technical analysis.